Right... back from holiday and ready to talk about Welsh buses and the like.
First of all, the historical aspect. As per usual,
@aron2smith is coming up with the usual medley of hits in relation to deregulation, privatisation and austerity as being
the issues behind the decline in Welsh bus services. They are only factors. Let's looks at things over the longer term - as with UK bus services in general, patronage peaked in the 1950s. Since then there have been a catalogue of reasons why bus patronage has fallen - the rise in living standards making the private car more desirable, the rise of fridges meaning two or three shopping trips a week weren't needed, the decline of the evening economy as cinemas closed as TV dominated the entertainment world, and so it goes on and on. Overlaid onto that, there was the decline in the Welsh coal industry in South Wales (which underpinned much of the bus patronage in the country) - in the Rhondda, 11 of the 13 pits closed between Nationalisation and the late 1970s as smaller pits were closed in favour of concentrating production at larger pits that were also invested in to produce more coal with less men. Moreover, it meant fewer workers journeys and as villages lost their pits, that had an impact on the overall financial performance of bus operations and cuts began to follow. Also, there was a lot of duplication between the various nationalised bus operations (Rhondda, Western Welsh, United Welsh, Red & White and South Wales Transport) and as the financial position deteriorated, this led to various bits of rationalisation before and after the formation of the National Bus Company. Of course, the National Bus Company was created with immediate financial pressures itself. It decided to exit from most of Pembrokeshire with the closure of St Davids depot (leaving it to the private sector and the council to fill the gaps) in 1971. The 1970s were a continual decline in service provision, especially in mid Wales, but that was nothing compared to the MAP schemes of the early 1980s which saw services massively cut back - National Welsh (the fusion of Rhondda, R&W and WW) was especially keen on such schemes and it was notable that they received very few new buses after 1980 as they simply didn't need them and/or couldn't afford them. Crosville also undertook MAP schemes, notably in Wrexham where the cuts enabled the Flint depot to ultimately close. Deregulation was a massive upheaval in the Welsh Valleys as National Welsh, the local council firms and new independents competed; for much of the country, the rewards were so scant that competition was limited. The exception was Wrexham where a ruinous strike by Crosville drivers saw independents come in and the depot closed. However, to suggest that decline was largely the product of deregulation and privatisation is simply naive, and frankly, not true.
Another aspect that has muddied the waters was the local government reorganisation of 1994. Previously, there were 8 local authorities responsible for the provision of bus (and many other) services. That was suddenly removed with the creation of unitary authorities. The irony was that Powys remained intact (but became a unitary) whilst the smallest country (Gwent) was split into 6 components. That led to a fragmentation of bus service support as certain counties had differing views and priorities. And that's something we can get onto in more detail... how important are bus services to local authorities, but we digress. Yet another factor has been the resurgence of local rail services in South Wales e.g. Maesteg line reopened 1992, Vale of Glamorgan line 2005, Ebbw Vale line 2008 - the latter decimated the local bus services down the valley. I also confidently predict that the introduction of SW Metro will turbocharge that decline as more bus passengers are abstracted. Of course,
@Dwarfer1979 has mentioned the feeder services that were introduced for certain lines; I think it was Caerau to Maesteg, and one at Ystrad Mynach but despite full integration including ticketing, they never saw any major take up. So that's the history as was - I could write a lot more (and I think it's broadly accurate). Note: the idea of bus rail integration is eminently laudable but it is really dependant on geography. In somewhere like Bangor, it's difficult whilst in Swansea, the location of that station makes it really difficult route services past the station with little space to have any form of interchange. And as
@markymark2000 has also mentioned, a number of the diversions that were made have now been abandoned as the numbers using them were derisory.
Then we have the more recent history and current day. Well, where do we start?
It is fair to say that Arriva's record (which was distinctly underwhelming anyway) declined markedly after their purchase by Deutsche Bahn as money was salted away to bolster their own issues in Europe; a clear illustration why cross subsidy doesn't work. It's ok having a cash cow but if you don't feed the cow, the yield will drop!! First were actually ok for much of the 2000s (despite their own travails though the FtR concept in Swansea was always fatally flawed) and Stagecoach were pretty decent. However, in the post Covid world, the approach of the Welsh Government was not the same as their English counterparts and so services were simply reduced or axed outright. That's the backdrop to these proposals and it seems that we're seeing the usual failings from TfW in not addressing the key challenges in getting bus patronage increasing.
Now I know that
@markymark2000 gets very frustrated with local authorities and data issues. That's understandable. I'm disappointed when I see the position in Flintshire but I could say the same with many other local authorities. And yes, things have got worse since austerity. However, there were always massive variations between the LAs - Gwynedd were pretty decent whilst Flintshire and Wrecsam have always been flaky. Moreover, there is a massive pressure on ALL LAs with limited funds and a massive increase in Social Care and SEND requirements. Remember that these are statutory requirements that LAs must provide and extend to road maintenance, education, planning and so on. The provision of bus services is not a statutory requirement and so it's little wonder that it doesn't get prioritised. As
@RT4038 is alluding to, it's not that LAs are anti-bus. They simply have neither the money nor motivation to do it. So what's happened is that roles have been amalgamated - the previously dedicated Public Transport Officer is now also responsible for SEND Transport, and they've also perhaps lost their person who was doing the bus stop timetable updates too. It's not a case of laziness or fecklessness - it's simply that resources are so stretched and that knowledge and skills have been lost along the way. I don't have the figures for Wales but SEND transport costs have more than doubled between 2018 and now.
So perhaps in that case, TfW would be a good solution to provide a unified approach to information provision and the like? Sadly, TfW has often shown itself to be lacking in the knowledge and skills to execute their existing limited plans. I had no issue with the TrawsCymry-fication of certain bus routes and the amalgamation of services except to say that the whole TC strategy has been lost as politicians began meddling (remember the Cardiff Airport service?) and it drifted towards a compromised branding exercise than something more strategic.