Bletchleyite
Veteran Member
There is only so far that argument takes you - into a vicious circle of continued centralisation and regional decline, for example
Would you prefer the subsidy stopped?
There is only so far that argument takes you - into a vicious circle of continued centralisation and regional decline, for example
Which leaves the train as the only viable option, if you close the valley lines to convert them into tram lines, then this could have a detrimetal impact on the economy of the valleys.
Obviously you'll get the same effect if you convert the tram to street running in the centre of Cardiff, the tram would become very unreliable and people could lose their jobs as a result.
Right. Current spending is higher in areas where there is more need.
But if you compare the tax take versus public spending - London spends £3k less than it earns in taxes, Wales spends £4.5k more than it earns in taxes (all per persons).
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/gove...alpublicsectorfinances/2015to2016#main-points
Why?
Once again, Metrolink in Manchester works well and is very popular.
Indeed. I get annoyed when the Welsh Government takes every opportunity to bite the hand that feeds it.
(Getting off topic now, sorry).
But if you hadn't noticed, the Valleys aren't Manchester!
If you close the railway for 6 months, for conversion to a tram line, then you're leaving the people of the valleys without a viable transport option to get to their jobs in Cardiff.
The people of Oldham managed it with buses for that kind of period.
I believe the cost of heavy rail, is far outweighed by the economic benefits that it gives the valleys.
Bit of background, the valleys are on their arse economically, meaning that there are very few jobs.
So to get a decent job you need to commute to Cardiff, to do this you need a reliable transport system. The car isn't really an option because of the large upfront costs and congestion.
Which leaves the train as the only viable option, if you close the valley lines to convert them into tram lines, then this could have a detrimetal impact on the economy of the valleys.
Obviously you'll get the same effect if you convert the tram to street running in the centre of Cardiff, the tram would become very unreliable and people could lose their jobs as a result.
Therefore conversion to LR looks good on paper, but in reality could end up costing the taxpayer more.
Would you prefer the subsidy stopped?
Well any programme of infrastructure works - be it tram conversion, electrification etc. is not without disruption. But I don't quite see how the Thames Valley can deal with the disruption of the GWML electrification works but the Valley Lines absolutely couldn't manage. Does that mean that you think anything other than DMUs is impossible for the Valley Lines?
There was still a full train service during the weeks in the Thames Valley, and there are multiple alternative routes.
However due to the geography of the Valleys there are no alternative routes.
This thread is getting repetitive. Comparisons with Manchester are not helpful.
Just remind everyone - improvements are planned only to the area I have rather crudely outlined in red.
View attachment 42613
A true SE Wales Metro would be upgrading and electrifying the whole region. Ebbw Vale, the Valley in most dire need of immediate service enhancements, gets DMUs for foreseeable future, even though it could be a quick win for electrification with NR already doing the SWML.
The plan is very much for trams (not tram-trains) north of Queen St, meaning the Core VL will be separated from everything else.
Once the Core VL have been converted, political will and funding will fall away.
Is there anything good which has happened in Manchester since 1992 which you don't attribute to Metrolink? What about City's recent good form? Down to Pep Guardiola being able to catch a tram to the Etihad?
Would none of this have happened with proper investment in HR? If LR is really so inherently superior, did HR lines really have to be torn up to enable it to go ahead, rather than (for example) a light rail line being built across the city centre following the 1968 plan from Wythnshawe to Middleton? And must every reference to mega, global or alpha cities be followed by an apologia for penny-pinching in the provinces coupled with colossa-spending in London?
Surely, it would be best to prioritise electrification of the ‘core valley lines’ along with Penarth & the line to Barry Island - and possibly to Rhoose (Cardiff Airport) and onto Bridgend, over doing anything to put trams onto the streets of Cardiff? This rail system has been treated as some sort of 3rd world transport system for long enough. It is time for the stinking diesels to go from these services with frequent stop /starts between stations.
It is highly regrettable that the UK government pulled the plug on the electrification of the main line from Cardiff to Swansea as that also has local commuting trains in addition to the Class 800’s that stop at Bridgend, Port Talbot & Neath. Had that been done, then I would have thought that the UK government would also have desired to see the Vale of Glam Coast diversionary route also electrified to 25Kv? That being a future possibility, then would they want to see the Cardiff to Barry/Penarth line wired at 750 volts DC as that would mean that if the main line was eventually electrified, they would have to continue to use the Class 800’s as bi-modes instead of reducing the weight by removing the diesel engines - which no doubt, Hitachi would wish to see happen?
Would it not be prudent to electrify the core valleys to 750 volts DC and the Penarth & Barry lines to 25Kv and have dual voltage trains (or tram-trains) - with possible battery operation between Queen street & Central to stop conflict between the two overhead electrical systems? This would also solve one the main critical points made on this forum about the metro > the lack of through trains between the valleys and the coast plus the splitting of the suburban City Line - which almost encircles Cardiff.
Of course, they could do the whole Valley Lines to Coast system as 750 volts DC and in the event that the mainline is closed between Cardiff & Bridgend (assuming it was electrified to 25Kv) and the Class 800’s had diesel operation removed, then surely, the local trains could be used to shift the mainline passengers between Cardiff & Bridgend?
Assuming that the present Manchester to west Wales diesel services remain, then of course they could continue to operate whatever happens regarding electrification.
(An increase in the frequency of trains (or tram-trains) on the line through Rhoose / Llantwit Major would not only solve the overcrowding issues on this route but should also negate the need for the Welsh Government to continue spending money on the bus link to the Airport from downtown Cardiff. This route is also the quickest way between Barry and Bridgend & points west).
I believe the cost of heavy rail, is far outweighed by the economic benefits that it gives the valleys.
Bit of background, the valleys are on their arse economically, meaning that there are very few jobs.
So to get a decent job you need to commute to Cardiff, to do this you need a reliable transport system. The car isn't really an option because of the large upfront costs and congestion.
Which leaves the train as the only viable option, if you close the valley lines to convert them into tram lines, then this could have a detrimetal impact on the economy of the valleys.
Obviously you'll get the same effect if you convert the tram to street running in the centre of Cardiff, the tram would become very unreliable and people could lose their jobs as a result.
Therefore conversion to LR looks good on paper, but in reality could end up costing the taxpayer more.
This thread is getting repetitive. Comparisons with Manchester are not helpful.
Just remind everyone - improvements are planned only to the area I have rather crudely outlined in red.
A true SE Wales Metro would be upgrading and electrifying the whole region. Ebbw Vale, the Valley in most dire need of immediate service enhancements, gets DMUs for foreseeable future, even though it could be a quick win for electrification with NR already doing the SWML.
The plan is very much for trams (not tram-trains) north of Queen St, meaning the Core VL will be separated from everything else.
Once the Core VL have been converted, political will and funding will fall away.
Didn't we spend time discussing how freight will still be allowed on the lines? If so, there's no option but to use tram-trains. The RSSB and other bodies will simply not permit LR operation alongside HR freight unless all safety requirements are met, and meeting them means fitting LR trains will all of the signalling and safety equipment needed to mix with arbitrary HR services. At that point, why would you restrict the South Wales Metro to only LR-converted lines?
Would it not be prudent to electrify the core valleys to 750 volts DC and the Penarth & Barry lines to 25Kv and have dual voltage trains (or tram-trains) - with possible battery operation between Queen street & Central to stop conflict between the two overhead electrical systems? This would also solve one the main critical points made on this forum about the metro > the lack of through trains between the valleys and the coast plus the splitting of the suburban City Line - which almost encircles Cardiff.
Of course, they could do the whole Valley Lines to Coast system as 750 volts DC and in the event that the mainline is closed between Cardiff & Bridgend (assuming it was electrified to 25Kv) and the Class 800’s had diesel operation removed, then surely, the local trains could be used to shift the mainline passengers between Cardiff & Bridgend?
Because that is the plan!
The geography of Oldham is quite different to that of Merthyr for example.
Merthyr is in a Valley, whereas Oldham is pretty flat.
Were the HR lines 'torn up'? They got fiddled with a bit at the Manchester end, and ended up on a ramp down onto the streets rather than staying up on a viaduct, but the rest of them was left pretty much as-is. The Bury line had 750V DC OHLE installed and the Altrincham line had its converted from 25kV AC to 750V DC. As I understand it even the original colour-light signalling was retained.
LR means everything from a 3-segment low-floor tram like in Besançon all the way up to the DLR with its 90m full ATO high-floor segregated lines, just as HR means everything from the Marston Vale line up to HS2. There isn't one sort of LR system. It's simply the idea of rail transportation lighter than heavy rail and not designed for heavy stuff like coal or fast international services. LR conversion of the Valleys can mean nothing more than using a slightly different sort of EMU.
I think original Metrolink got a new signalling system, but it was entirely conventional, with BR-style colour lights rather like the T&W signalling. I don't think Metrolink had train protection added, but T&W got train-stops based on German Indusi (required because of tunnel operations).
With over 85,000 views and well over 1000 responses, I would like to thank everybody who has taken the time to respond to my post thus far. It has certainly generated an interesting discussion about the South Wales Metro.
With this comment, the debate passes into total meaninglessness. It is clear that, every time someone points out a disadvantage with light rail AS ACTUALLY IMPLEMENTED in Manchester, and AS APPARENTLY PLANNED in South Wales, such as low capacity, low speed, lack of cross-city connections, you just change the definition and redefine 'light rail' in such a way as suits you. The argument has become pure semantics.
With this comment, the debate passes into total meaninglessness. It is clear that, every time someone points out a disadvantage with light rail AS ACTUALLY IMPLEMENTED in Manchester, and AS APPARENTLY PLANNED in South Wales, such as low capacity, low speed, lack of cross-city connections, you just change the definition and redefine 'light rail' in such a way as suits you. The argument has become pure semantics.
Does anyone have proof that any of those are actually going to be the case?
What if it's high capacity (60m single, 120m double trams)? What if it runs across to Cardiff Central? What if it runs faster than the Pacers on the railway lines and no worse than Metrolink in central Cardiff, getting loads of people closer to their Cardiff destinations?
That's presumably the problem with this 'groundbreaking procurement process' they're using. As I see it they're asking for solutions from industry without being prescriptive of exactly what those will entail. I suspect they're getting all kinds of innovative ideas from the bidders, picking a smorgasbord of elements they like and then asking all to make comparable bids for those various combinations of features. Problem is by definition all the details will be commercial confidential until those final bids are in and evaluated.
Does anyone have proof that any of those are actually going to be the case?
What if it's high capacity (60m single, 120m double trams)? What if it runs across to Cardiff Central? What if it runs faster than the Pacers on the railway lines and no worse than Metrolink in central Cardiff, getting loads of people closer to their Cardiff destinations?
I'm not absolutely set on light rail as I've said, I would find a 25kV S-Bahn using Class 319s, 323s or similar quite affordable and quite sensible. Of course new EMUs could be bought later when money was available. But, looking at Metrolink, I don't think the advantages of that should be decried in the way some people are.
There are of course other options which shouldn't be decried, like a high floor version of the Rotherham tram-trains running on the existing formations, but electrifying to 750VDC for now as some have suggested. Or even the option of raising the trackbed/lowering platforms and going for those exact units - that could mean 100% accessibility from day one, and if operated under LR rules on the Valley Lines new stations and accessibility of existing stations could be done very cheaply and "passively" (e.g. the return of barrow crossings).
Indeed, having done a bit of reading into the Class 399:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Rail_Class_399
I think it (or a version with the floor at UK platform height as per the Metrolink trams) could be absolutely perfect for the application even if it never runs one metre on the street. It has standing areas for short journeys and a comfortable seated area for longer trips. It has wheelchair space. It has level boarding. It has huge windows (South Wales is pretty scenic). It can run on 25kV or 750VDC overhead. I bet they could do a version with a 915mm height floor if desired, and I'm sure a modu-bog would be possible too if desired. It looks attractive and modern, a new take on what must be the best of the second generation trams. It's not a filthy, smelly DMU. What's not to like about it?
With the astronomical cost over runs of the tram-train project in Sheffield, why on earth would any infrastructure contractor want to work with NR (or vice versa) to do the same thing all over again somewhere else?

VoG services beyond the end of DC wires at Barry or Rhoose would be linked with main line routes heading east of Cardiff Central to Ebbw Vale, the Marches or Chepstow and would be worked using Bimode trains, exploiting the committed AC electrification on the main line. While 25kV capability, battery banks etc for the core valleys fleet seem desirable, these features all add weight, cost and complexity to what could otherwise be a very simple, lightweight vehicle. The best option might be to design the new fleet with 25kV capability in mind so a proportion of the fleet might be so converted if desired at some time in the future, as is specified for new Merseyrail and T&W fleets. At Cardiff, having platforms #6-8 electrified purely on DC while #0-4 are AC only simplifies operations and engineering challenges. With DC on VoG, no service from the valleys would have to switch systems at the station nor would any section of overhead line need to be switchable between the totally self contained systems (earthing concerns aside). AC bi-mode units arriving from the east on the main line going to Bridgend via VoG or main line would simply switch to diesel mode in the station and proceed under the DC wires (however far they go) among the valley-coast local services.
With this comment, the debate passes into total meaninglessness. It is clear that, every time someone points out a disadvantage with light rail AS ACTUALLY IMPLEMENTED in Manchester, and AS APPARENTLY PLANNED in South Wales, such as low capacity, low speed, lack of cross-city connections, you just change the definition and redefine 'light rail' in such a way as suits you. The argument has become pure semantics.
As has been said over and over and over again by locals, Central, Queen St and Cathays stations are all within 5 minutes walking distance of the education and employment areas they serve. Short of literally dropping people off at the door of their office, or maybe putting them in their chair, it's not possible to get any closer.
With the astronomical cost over runs of the tram-train project in Sheffield, why on earth would any infrastructure contractor want to work with NR (or vice versa) to do the same thing all over again somewhere else?
What could possibly go wrong? A government with no prior experience of handling a rail franchise contract or managing rail infrastructure, using a procurement process never used before anywhere, ever. With one bidder who pulled out and another whose bid collapsed thanks to their construction partner going into liquidation, but who are insisting on staying in the process, which if granted special treatement by TfW to allow them to pull their bid back together and find another partner, could be challenged in the courts by the remaining two bidders.
All the final bids were in on 21st December, so there's no reason for TfW not to release their plans of what they want. Unless of course they still don't know and their is no ITT available to publish.
On your first point, I defer to the posters who live in Wales and have gone through this in more detail than I have. Their pessimism seems to have some basis, given the Welsh Govt's persistent mismanagement of rail, apparent preference for road schemes, concentration on a 'core Valley lines' concept which is meaningless if it does bot in some way narrow the scope of the current Valley Lines, and inexplicable secretiveness over the whole process.
As for your other suggestions, I have no problem with certain aspects of LR practice being introduced to operations like the Valleys - lighter weight vehicles (assuming they still have sufficient capacity, and are not street trams trying to do an EMU's job), regardless operation (if it saves substantial costs), even 750v DC electrification (assuming that wouldn't impede operation of other electric trains), though I think the real solution to that one is that the safety standards need to be revisited. I'm also happy to see on-street LR, though the arguments being mounted in this thread that on-street LR networks are somehow unviable unless you nick a parts of HR formations to go with them seem to me nonsensical (as indeed shown by the Metrolink Ashton line).
Words fail me. Why on earth does this plan for Cardiff Central include a new multi-storey car park? Is that not going to encourage yet more traffic onto the roads, probably in rush-hour? Does the WAG not have any confidence in it's plan for the new tram (or train) system in getting people to Cardiff city centre?From: https://www.walesonline.co.uk/business/business-news/new-vision-sees-cardiff-central-14157440
"Improvements to public realm north and south of the station [Cardiff Central] and between Metro Central and Queen St station to improve access to the Interchange and to encourage walking."