The northbound Madrid train (a red Frecciarossa 1000 operated by Iryo) passes over a rail weld, likely fractured within its heat-affected zone, that breaks under the impact of the passing train
The first 5 cars of the 8-car train pass safely over the break, but repeated impacts turn a break into a catastrophic rail failure, and the 3 rear cars of the northbound train are derailed as the rail shatters.
Whether as a result of the position of a crossover between the two tracks or just through the random dynamic behaviour as the rear portion of the train dug into sleepers and ballast, the derailed cars fouled the southbound track, striking a southbound Renfe service. -------------------------------
The Hatfield rail crash in the UK has many similar elements of the Adamuz disaster. While the trigger and mechanism of derailment were quickly clear, it took six and a half years to understand the full picture of why a rail was allowed to shatter underneath a high speed train.