I wasn't in the UK at the time of the 2014 referendum, and wasn't keeping very closely abreast of the issues, and as a result I didn't form any solid opinion beyond slightly favouring no as an indefinite preservation of the status quo.
Since coming to live full-time in Scotland though, and in light of the Brexit referendum and subsequent events, I've converted to firmly supporting independence. It is not out of any fervent passion for the European Union, or any dislike of England and its people, but rather a growing feeling that the political and constitutional arrangements underpinning the United Kingdom cannot support the idea of the UK being a union of equal partners, and that by their inherent nature they favour English interests far above those of the other nations. (Please note that whenever I use English as an adjective I am referring to people or voters (as appropriate) who live in England, rather than to all people who identify as English, or to English people as an ethnic grouping.)
My fundamental belief is that the Scottish Parliament should be elected by the people of Scotland and that it should not exist at the whim of the Parliament of the United the Kingdom, and that its powers should not be checked or revised by the Parliament of the United the Kingdom, and that it should be able to exercise all the normal powers and prerogatives of a sovereign parliament. The Scottish Government, with the confidence of the Parliament and with reference to the people as appropriate should be allowed to set its own domestic and foreign policy, and to conclude international treaties, and to participate or not participate in international and intergovernmental organisations as it feels appropriate - and I specifically note here, for the avoidance of doubt, that the likes of the UN, EU, and NATO are included in this point.
I do not see any realistic way of achieving this other than by means of independence, but I do remain prepared to consider proposals that would deliver greater autonomy to all nations within the UK.
be in the details but the current trajectory of the UK government towards more authoritarianism (e.g. attempting to stifle protest, break the Unions, sending asylum seekers halfway around the world, etc.) is very much against my personal beliefs and values.
Regardless however, what makes you think an independent Scotland would be less authoritarian? I'd argue that over the course of the covid pandemic the Scottish government demonstrated their own penchant for authoritarianism, and seemed to very much enjoy placing restrictions on peoples everyday lives. The warning signs are there....
I think leaving the Union on the grounds of disliking the present government would be a bit short-sighted. Governments come and governments go.
However I hope it doesn't come to this. At some point the country will have to come to it's senses and get rid of Johnson. Voting to be independent because of him would be foolish, many people have more constructive reasons than that and I respect it, but this isn't something to use your protest vote on.
These are all valid points, as are others like them that I haven't quoted. Forming an opinion for independence based purely on the actions and ideology of the current Westminster government, or its recent predecessors, is risky short-termism - but as Berliner notes...
The same could also be said to those who oppose independence. Why base your opinion on the SNP? They are merely a vehicle to get independence. An independent Scotland run by wholly independent Scottish Labour, Liberal or Conservative parties, for example, is entirely possible and may turn out to be extremely prosperous. It would be nice if these parties gave us their plans on how they would run Scotland rather than just trot out tired excuses as to why we have to remain in the union.
... so is forming an opinion against independence based purely on the actions and ideology of the SNP. I consider however the a significant difference lies in the fact that Scotland is more exposed the actions and policies of the Westminster government - regardless of its leanings - and that this introduces the possibility of those policies and actions differing from those that would be chosen by the Scottish electorate. The people in other parts of the UK are not exposed to the potentially-differing choices of the Scottish electorate in anywhere near the same way.
Spain will veto any attempt for Scotland to join the EU if they get independence, solely to prevent Catalonia from having similar ideas.
Scotland joining the EU is now completely different from the Catalan question as the UK is no longer an EU member. Scotland joining the EU would not set a precedent for Catalonia.
@najaB has it correctly - the main thrust of Spain's objection was to the briefly-floated notion that Scotland could have "inherited" its figurative portion of the UK's EU membership and thus skipped the process of acceding as a new state. The EU, quite reasonably, was not prepared to accept this. Beyond that the Spanish position will be satisfied so long as independence is achieved through due process of law, as such a process sets no precedent for Catalonia or any other region of Spain.
It should be at most a once in a generation thing ie every 30 years. It’s a referendum not a neverendum.
I would vote No again in Indyref 2 (and 3, 4, 5 etc - They will never give up)
This is a particularly tired trope, I'm afraid, as presumably when people tire of referendums they will stop voting for parties offering referendums, no?
The only way the SNP would go into coalition with anyone at Westminster is for a guarantee of a second independence referendum which makes it politically dangerous for Labour to even give the vaguest hint of a possible coalition running up to a GE.
The SNP have previously offered to provide
confidence and supply short of a coalition, and there's no reason to assume that they wouldn't offer to do so again - but yes, Labor do have good cause to be weary of the association given how
even the suggestion of it has been portrayed in the past.
Once we've negotiated what Scottish waters are, yes.
The Blair Government took care of this already in
Section 126 of the Scotland Act 1998, and there's an exact definition of the Scottish land and sea border given in the
Civil Jurisdiction (Offshore Activities) Order 1987. The 1998 act was then tweaked by the
Scottish Adjacent Waters Boundaries Order 1999, the
Wikipedia article for which includes a basic diagram.
I have seen unofficial statements to the effect that there is no obstacle in principle which would prevent Scotland from joining the EU, and that while we would need to (in theory) have a plan in place to adopt the Euro they wouldn't put any time limits on the process.
I know that the UK and Denmark were given a permanent opt-out as a condition of signing the Maastricht Treaty, but the others seem to be a position where it's a matter of just getting around to it. Sweden previously opted not to adopt the Euro through a referendum, Bulgaria, Croatia and Romania are working through the fulfilments for it, and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland simply haven't done so yet.
Yes, an acceding state is required to
commit to adopting the euro, and is obliged to go through with the adoption when it satisfies the convergence criteria. There is no fixed timeframe in which this process occurs. A loophole exists in that one of the convergence criteria is completing a period of stable participation in the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM II); since non-eurozone states are responsible for deciding when they start participating in ERM II they can simply remain outside it indefinitely (which is the route that Sweden has taken).
I feel that independence in the modern world is just a pipe dream, it is essential that you are part of a larger group, beit the UK or the EU, and being a member of either means giving up part of your so called independence to abide by the group rules
But I think that the ultimate goal is for all members without an opt-out to adopt the Euro, and this in itself sort of raises a question as to whether Scotland would be fully independent if it adopts a foreign shared currency rather than it's own.
The bit in bold is something that the SNP needs to explain to voters it is hoping to persuade to vote Yes to independence.
Two of the main arguments made in support of Brexit as I recall. And yet having broken free from the rest of the UK, the Scottish Government will pursue EU membership. If I were in your position (i.e. undecided) I'd think very carefully about what is being offered here, or more to the point what Sturgeon et al would like you to think is being offered....
With respect, I think this is a fundamental misunderstanding of the concept - perhaps not helped by various notions of 'independence' appearing in discussions of Brexit. The core belief is that Scottish sovereignty should be vested in the people and Parliament of Scotland (even if exercised on behalf of the Crown, etc etc) and that it should be up to the people and Parliament to determine whether elements of it are, for instance, pooled with the EU or any other supranational body.
That said, I can admit freely that the idea of Scotland being some piratical Braveheart nation beholden to no others is quite an amusing joke.
What mandate ? Despite the best efforts of Boris and his pals the SNP still could not win a majority, either of seats or percentage of votes, in the last Scottish Government election, and depend on the support of their little Green helpers; Which assumes that every Green voter also supports independence, despite it not being their raison d'etre. And I know for a fact that not even every SNP voter supports independence, but vote for them as the least worse option, and as an anti-Boris protest.
They formed government. That's been the measure of a mandate at Westminster for quite a long time now. Of course the exact numbers of seats and votes are still of note if you want to assess the proportionality of parliament and the 'representativeness' of a government, and if we do that with the 2021 Scottish election we find that the SNP won 49.6% of seats on the back of 47.7% of constituency votes, while the Conservatives won 24% of seats on 21.9% of constituency votes, and Labour 17% of seats on 21.6% of constituency votes - so the SNP unquestionably took the largest single-party block of votes, and by some measure.
If we repeat the exercise for Conservative mandate arising from the 2019 general election, we see that they won 56.2% of seats on the back of 43.6% of the votes while Labour trailed with 31.1% of seats on 32.1% of votes. And Blair's 1997 result is even more fun - 63.4% of seats from 43.2% of votes, while the Conservatives scraped with 25% of seats from 30.7% of votes.
With regard to how strong support for independence is within the SNP and Greens, yes, it's quite fair to say that you can't assume a 1:1 match - but by that same measure, you can't automatically assume that 100% of Labour and Conservative votes are inherently opposed to it. Plus the usual caveats of elections not being readable as direct plebiscites apply.
And as an aside - in the spirit of keeping a reasonably civil atmosphere, would you please avoid phrases like "little Green helpers"?
Was there not a monetary union of eire & uk (a while ago)?
There was a fixed peg between the Irish pound and the pound sterling from the establishment of the Irish pound in 1927 until early 1979, when it joined the European Monetary System, but not an official monetary union.
Also, for information (and not in any way meant as a criticism), use of the name 'Eire' is now generally discouraged in English - 'Ireland' is preferred, or 'Éire' in Irish.