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More Delay for HS2, and how should we proceed?

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Bletchleyite

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I take it you haven't been to Leeds for quite a while then - or Manchester. Or Liverpool. It's not just partying/entertainmet which sustains them - although that seems to be approved of for london's theatreland.
Certainly they lost a lot of manufacturing, but there is still a lot going on, including financial services stuff.

Leeds, Manchester and Liverpool are cities, not towns.

In terms of regenerating places like Blackburn, Burnley and their ilk - places that haven't really recovered from the loss of mills and coal mining - then rail investment would certainly make a difference - but not HS2, rather South East style 4tph electric commuter services into major cities like Manchester and Leeds, rather than mucky, run down 1980s DMUs once or twice an hour and that's if it isn't cancelled.
 
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HSTEd

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I take it you haven't been to Leeds for quite a while then - or Manchester. Or Liverpool. It's not just partying/entertainmet which sustains them - although that seems to be approved of for london's theatreland. Sheffield's biggest employers are now Healthcare and education - although I believe they actually produce as muchsteel as they ever have.
I live in Manchester!
The reality is that Manchester, Liverpool, Sheffield etc are "the handful of other cities".

They are hardly representative of the rest of "the north", unlike places like Burnley, Blackburn, Bradford et al.

HS2 would create an economic conglomerate far exceeding London itself, which will increase its ability to improve the standard of living in these places.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

rather South East style 4tph electric commuter services into major cities like Manchester and Leeds, rather than mucky, run down 1980s DMUs once or twice an hour and that's if it isn't cancelled.
Assuming you can find the operational subsidies that would be required to operate that system long term, without huge and politically impossible increases in fares.
I'm skeptical, given the high grade of the road system in the (southern?) north west, whether you could truly drive custom high enough to get anything close to a reasonable farebox recovery.

EDIT:

Ultimately, without the planning system restricting construction in major cities, I am fairly confident a lot of towns would be rapidly heading the way of Old Sarum. But that is all very off topic.
 
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Parjon

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HS2 would create an economic conglomerate far exceeding London itself, which will increase its ability to improve the standard of living in these places.
When anything Osborne said would bring benefit to the UK has been proven in the fullness of time to be nothing more than destructive, why believe this just because it's about a train line?

As HS2, as is, is directly damaging to Liverpool's economy (both already experienced by us, and forecast into the future) so how can it be beneficial to us?

Our city has been deemed expendable, for some reason.

Simply not being actively undermined with negative messaging to potential investors would be a step up.
 

Bletchleyite

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Assuming you can find the operational subsidies that would be required to operate that system long term, without huge and politically impossible increases in fares.
I'm skeptical, given the high grade of the road system in the (southern?) north west, whether you could truly drive custom high enough to get anything close to a reasonable farebox recovery.

You can't regenerate places without putting money in. And Metrolink is the only part of the North West's rail network that comes close to recovering costs through the farebox, and it doesn't really because the farebox doesn't pay for infrastructure improvements.
 

HSTEd

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When anything Osborne said would bring benefit to the UK has been proven in the fullness of time to be nothing more than destructive, why believe this just because it's about a train line?
Because the economic advantages of transport improvements are well documented across the globe?

As HS2, as is, is directly damaging to Liverpool's economy (both already experienced by us, and forecast into the future) so how can it be beneficial to us?
Because if the national pie is bigger there will be more money for all?
 

Noddy

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The key quote from today:

"Transport infrastructure is a key part of that, but not just big rail projects, but also local projects, improving local bus services, fixing pot holes, all of these things make a difference in people's day-to-day lives," the prime minister said.
Source: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-66909732


So Sunak plans to replace (bits of) HS2 with a few bob to local authorities to maybe subsidised an hourly bus service (withdrawn at the next budget?) and fix some pot holes. Great stuff Rishi, great stuff…
 

HSTEd

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You can't regenerate places without putting money in. And Metrolink is the only part of the North West's rail network that comes close to recovering costs through the farebox, and it doesn't really because the farebox doesn't pay for infrastructure improvements.
And as repeatedly litigated on this forum, conversion of more of the railway network to Metrolink (the only way to affordably get what you want) is politically fraught and would require huge fights with the unions.

Heavy EMU metro services in the north do beter than the Northern Rail average (Merseyrail), but nowhere near well enough. Conversion to a light rail Metrolink solution would be a very different prospect.

EDIT:
Edited with subsidies per passenger-km.
In 2018-2019, the last year for which proper stats are available, it was about 19.4p/p-km for Merseyrail, and about 29.4p/p-km for Northern.
 

Arkeeos

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Perhaps people might like to consider again in which direction the traffic will flow if both Manchester and Leeds are reinstated. I can tell you (without evidence! to back it up) It'll be Mancunians and loiners going to London return. Very few Londoners will be excited at the prospect of going to Manchester or Leeds... just trust me on this. All the best jobs and attractions are in London. People won't travel north without a reason and a fast train service from London to Bradford won't offset the dire state of many northern towns and cities.
Improving transport links between places is a proven method of improving the economic performance of all places connected.
 

Austriantrain

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Perhaps people might like to consider again in which direction the traffic will flow if both Manchester and Leeds are reinstated. I can tell you (without evidence! to back it up) It'll be Mancunians and loiners going to London return. Very few Londoners will be excited at the prospect of going to Manchester or Leeds... just trust me on this. All the best jobs and attractions are in London. People won't travel north without a reason and a fast train service from London to Bradford won't offset the dire state of many northern towns and cities.

That was the experience as well when the LGV SE first opened. It was so much easier suddenly to get to Paris, and so many people did, that it actually strengthened Paris and weakened Dijon, Lyon etc.

Of course, 20 years later, the smaller cities started to turn things around, less because of the TGV, more because of profound rethinking how to present themselves (much, I think, as Liverpool did).
 

Bletchleyite

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As HS2, as is, is directly damaging to Liverpool's economy (both already experienced by us, and forecast into the future) so how can it be beneficial to us?

How is HS2 damaging to Liverpool's economy? Liverpool will (if built in full) have two trains per hour on it with about 1.5 times the capacity it has now. With Liverpool being out on a sort of peninsula type thing and so having a small hinterland, this seems the right level of service to me.
 

Austriantrain

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Ultimately improving links to the economic engines in London (or a handful of other cities) is the only chance any of these places have for recovery.

Most of the depressed northern towns simply have no economic raison d'etre in the post agriculture, post coal, post mass manufacturing environment.
No reasonable amount of government spending can alter that reality, tighter integration with London et al is the best chance available to improve standard of living in these places.

I would argue that the reverse is true. The north would profit much more by having better connections between the northern cities, which would strengthen them all.

Arguably, after HS2 phase 1, NPR should be the next to be built; and not (as it seems, even though it’s probably cynical) as a round-about route designed to give the HS2 Manchester leg a better raison d‘etre - even though of course that might still be the best outcome.
 

Bletchleyite

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Arguably, after HS2 phase 1, NPR should be the next to be built; and not (as it seems, even though it’s probably cynical) as a round-about route designed to give the HS2 Manchester leg a better raison d‘etre - even though of course that might still be the best outcome.

NPR basically includes and depends on HS2 2B. 2A is a bit moot as it's the easiest and cheapest bit (basically mostly through open farmland) so might as well be done.
 

The Ham

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If you are worried about NW connections further south then maybe be asking why XC don't provide any trains from the NW to the south west. Id say Plymouth Torbay and Cornwall are of more use to most people in the North west than Rugby and Watford! If the money from HS2 was redistributed we could have a decent fleet of long XC bi mode trains connecting the nation up , including cities such as Liverpool which is scandalously not served by XC.

You actually wouldn't be any HS2 money, you'd just need the powers to be to accept that XC could cover the costs of the extra leases (which they almost certainly would as the cost per seat would fall due to the trains, assuming 80x's, would be higher density and needing "less staff" - in that one driver would be needed for 302 seats rather than 250 seats).

Arguably lengthening XC services would result in a faster increase in passenger numbers - and therefore actually make the justification for HS2 easier. As such it's unlikely you'd find those in favour of HS2 even thinking (least alone arguing) that XC or other TOC's shouldn't be allowed additional rolling stock. Rather they are probably fairly vocal for more rolling stock to be provided to XC.

Are all of those Manchester to London trains full? No they are not. This project smacks more and more as a political gesture . There are other less expensive ways of opening up capacity for freight and local trains. But going back to my original point, I was agreeing with another poster that Hs2 is politically unpopular to the majority because it doesn't seem to benefit anyone all that much (to the man on the street anyway who doesn't understand capacity increases etc etc).

HS2, by building new platforms, bit only shows longer HS2 services but also longer local services.

For example CityC has 4 platforms (not through platforms), one used by long distance services (80x/390/HST), two by local services (1xx/3xx) and one by regional express services (TPE/XC services).

Platform 1 sees two express trains an hour (9 coaches long)
Platform 2 sees four semi fast services an hour (5 coaches long, 2 sharing a platform)
Platforms 3&4 each see nine local services (3 coaches long, 3 sharing a platform).

Super Express 2 (SE2) comes along and removes the long distance services but also had capacity for upgraded regional services at part of Power Regional Rail (PRR) which will link CityC with other regional cities.

There'll be a need for local services to replicate some of the express trains, but with shorter turn around times, so you can increase the frequency of those from 2tph to 3tph.

The regional express trains move across to the new platforms (and could lengthen to become 1/2 of 16 rather than 1/2 of 12, so if comparing against 400m and 280m would allow 200m Vs 140m, so realistically, assuming that there's actually 420m of platform, 9 x 23m trains Vs 6 x 23m) given 3 platforms for local services, as these no longer have to squeeze into 2 platforms, they can all be lengthened to 5 coaches long as you only need 2 trains sharing a platform to have the same frequency.

It's this sort of capacity increase which, unless you look into it, which is easy to overlook when looking at SE2 HS2.

Now the reality is (and actual planners will probably tell me that I've over simplified things) that such a simple model is probably over started the increase in capacity (not least due to other platform lengths along the lines which the services call at and accessing the platforms).

However, the point is that just lengthening InterCity trains (which even to Manchester at 3tph would need 165 coaches just to have an 11 coach fleet of 80x's, compared to HS2 services which would need 144 coaches for 16 coach services, but would provide far less seating per train - 826 of which 70 first class seats compared with 1,100 with a higher percentage of first class seats) wouldn't give you that potential for extra capacity for local and regional express services.

Perhaps people might like to consider again in which direction the traffic will flow if both Manchester and Leeds are reinstated. I can tell you (without evidence! to back it up) It'll be Mancunians and loiners going to London return. Very few Londoners will be excited at the prospect of going to Manchester or Leeds... just trust me on this. All the best jobs and attractions are in London. People won't travel north without a reason and a fast train service from London to Bradford won't offset the dire state of many northern towns and cities.

It depends on the reason for travel. I've worked for several companies located about an hour for London. The reason they were successful was not only could they work locally but they could access the London projects without the high staff and office costs of being based in London.

What that hour of travel is a pain, it's only undertaken when needed - which could be off peak (unlike commuting). You also tend to be able to employ better quality staff for the same or less pay (or actually be able to employ staff - not necessarily an issue for management or technical roles, but admin and support staff - and that was an issue 10 years ago so nothing to do with Brexit).

That will open up opportunities for those within (say) 40 minutes of Manchester to be employed there and bring their pay back to their home town to spend locally. It may not be many but money spent locally is likely to benefit locals who will spend it locally. It may not restore a town, but it is likely to improve it.

Whilst it's true that there's lots in London, there's also a lot of people and so it's not always easy to do the things you want to do. The time we went a week before COVID lockdowns came into place was about the best ever time we've been at there were far less people (but was still fairly busy).

I live about an hour from London by rail, we go to local places far more often than we do go to London. Yes people will go to London, but likely a few times a year.

Whilst it's likely that it'll be less likely the other way, there's still likely to be a reasonable amount.

For example, the last train from London is suitable to go to the theater, however we are as likely to go to one of the local/regional theaters as to go to a London one (cost being a significant factor, even ignoring the train costs).

Leeds, Manchester and Liverpool are cities, not towns.

In terms of regenerating places like Blackburn, Burnley and their ilk - places that haven't really recovered from the loss of mills and coal mining - then rail investment would certainly make a difference - but not HS2, rather South East style 4tph electric commuter services into major cities like Manchester and Leeds, rather than mucky, run down 1980s DMUs once or twice an hour and that's if it isn't cancelled.

Indeed, however (no matter how much anyone may wish it) it's going to be hard to justify 3tph when the current 2tph is 3 coaches long.

It's why (see my point above about station capacity) HS2 could actually be useful for local services, as if the services are lengthened from 3 coaches to (say) 6 coaches and the cost of lengthening lots of small stains to allow 9 coach trains was significant then the works required to make it 3tph (or even 4tph) of 6 coaches could probably be an easier thing to justify.


When anything Osborne said would bring benefit to the UK has been proven in the fullness of time to be nothing more than destructive, why believe this just because it's about a train line?

As HS2, as is, is directly damaging to Liverpool's economy (both already experienced by us, and forecast into the future) so how can it be beneficial to us?

Our city has been deemed expendable, for some reason.

Simply not being actively undermined with negative messaging to potential investors would be a step up.

Hello again, are you going to answer the question about the 400m platforms in Liverpool:

When were these 400m stations announced given that the first meeting about 400m station options was reported in December 2020:




With this report from September 2021 confirming that the commission was still yet to report:




Therefore it's not unreasonable for not everyone (including myself) to be aware of these suggested sites. Especially given that I've not been able to easily find any follow up information on this commission from the last two years.


As an aside it also reports the economic impact on Liverpool as:



Whilst that's not a great range of figures to be expected, it's not certain that Liverpool would see a reduction in GDP due to HS2.

However at I've said before, Liverpool is an area where future schemes to connect it to the core HS2/NPR network to overcome these issues should have been put forwards much earlier in the process than now.
 

Austriantrain

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NPR basically includes and depends on HS2 2B. 2A is a bit moot as it's the easiest and cheapest bit (basically mostly through open farmland) so might as well be done.

It depends on the northern part of HS2b, admittedly the most expensive one of the whole phase 2. Politically, it might well be worth it to focus on NPR first, both for the Tories, who have to try and retain at least some of the former red wall-seats, as well as for Labour, who will want to regain as many of them as possible.
 

Sonik

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It depends on the northern part of HS2b, admittedly the most expensive one of the whole phase 2. Politically, it might well be worth it to focus on NPR first, both for the Tories, who have to try and retain at least some of the former red wall-seats, as well as for Labour, who will want to regain as many of them as possible.
The issue is that Sunak is quite deliberately attempting to make it into a political wedge issue where the North is made to choose between HS2 or better local connections.

This is evidently a false dichotomy because both are needed, and HS2 will greatly facilitate development of local services, both by freeing up bottlenecks like Winsford-Weaver and Castlefeild, plus the infrastructure overlap between HS2 and NPR. Building networks piecemeal (without an overall stratigic plan) risks creating stranded infrastructure that only addresses individual issues, while exacerbating problems elsewhere.

The economic distribution effect of HSR is well proven in France, and Birmingham is already visibly benefiting both with development and corporate relocation before HS2 is even built.

It's also always been the long distance services that are more financially sustainable (and even contribute to financing local services) so the arguments about costs and revenue are purely politics based on a false narrative.
 
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eldomtom2

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Ultimately, without the planning system restricting construction in major cities, I am fairly confident a lot of towns would be rapidly heading the way of Old Sarum. But that is all very off topic.
Without the planning system we'd have urban sprawl from London to Preston!
 

chris2

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As there have been various open questions stated upthread about the future of the network, and I notice that this thread has been recently renamed to “and how should we proceed”, I thought it might help those not fully aware of the current plans and phasing to have a look at the northern layout of Phase 1 and to consider what eventualities might arise from all the continuing uncertainty around the system's future. This isn't intended to add to the discussion around what else the network should / could have been; rather what might arise from the current state of play. Apologies to those who already know all this.

Here is the delta junction in Birmingham.

Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 14.55.53.png

The line to the central Birmingham station (Curzon St) is well underway and the TBM logo there is Mary Ann which is +200metres into the first bore.

Another TBM starts next year.

The three-way junction allows trains from the South to go into Brum or to bypass Birmingham on their way North. And vice versa.

The northern arm would allow trains from Leeds / Manchester to go into Birmingham and vice versa.

The viaducts for this are currently being constructed.

It seems reasonable to assume that all of these connection possibilities will be built as there's no sign from current construction works that these plans have been fundamentally altered. It is also worth pointing out that none of this complex construction is necessary if the line is to forever remain a shuttle between London and Birmingham.

The line travels north from the delta junction and there is plenty of well-progressed construction works along this route including the crossing of the M42 (Marston box) and the A38 / WCML dive-under at Streethay.

The northern ends of Phase 1 are the NW spur past Lichfield which splits into two. The more northerly line merges into Phase 2 while the southerly spur links onto the WCML at Handsacre.


Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 15.02.38.png

There has been uncertainty around the future of the Handsacre junction. According to this report, on page 50, there are various configuration states of HS2. Config. D which has Handsacre junction operating separately and distinctly from both the initial OOC->Curzon and anything regarding Phase 2A. This suggests the connection is considered separate to that of the Phase 2 build and therefore a phase 2 cancellation would not necessarily involve cancelling the Handsacre connection. Moreover, in the event of a phase 2 cancellation, as many have said, it would be absolutely crazy not to build this connection as it would render all of the work to build the grade separated viaducts at the delta junction plus the considerable amount of line to the north of the junction utterly pointless.

Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 15.11.39.png
So I think it is reasonable to assume that Handsacre is definitely happening if Phase 2 is definitely not. It's perhaps more in question if Phase 2A is retained, although as shown above, the general assumption is that it forms an intermediate stage of configuration that opens up possibilities for trains to the north (although there are limitations at OOC that prevent it from being able to serve the full service spec that Euston would offer).

One open question I can't answer is the status of the NE spur at Kingsbury. Can anyone report any construction on this stretch? In the event that the stump is created, could it become a connection into the line to Derby and could this facilitate some kind of service into the East Midlands / Leeds / Sheffield in the event that the East Midlands link is cancelled?

If I remember rightly, various sources regarded the eastern leg of HS2 as the most useful part of the whole original Y network as it provided capacity release on both the MML and ECML.

Finally, the overall length of Phase 2A to Crewe is only around 2.5 times the distance from Water Orton to Handsacre (the bit that's being built simply to connect HS2 to a conventional line). It also bypasses some slow bits of the WCML and also includes train / maintenance depots and other useful things. So it adds quite a meaningful amount to the usefulness of HS2 and various others have said that in relative terms, this section is reasonably cheap. Plus it already has royal assent.

Perhaps someone with knowledge could shed insight into how much land has been purchased / early works that have already happened for Phase 2A.

Screenshot 2023-09-25 at 15.28.37.png

It does seem disingenuous to me for the government to be allowing the cancellation of phase 2 to be seen as a way to save cash in the here-and-now. HS2 is going to carry on costing £billions every year until phase 1 is complete and it's hard to see how that changes if you cancel phase 2A which is already on pause or phase 2b which isn't even confirmed yet.

It seems to be fairly widely assumed that the government are going to allow phase 1 to continue, with even critics grudgingly conceding that the works are too far advanced to cancel.

Whilst disappointing and frustrating to see a project cost more because of delay and interruptions, the long term view is that a significant piece of high speed railway will be built that will retain options for future extensions. Perhaps smaller parcels of extensions to the network will be more palatable / less in the public crosshairs in future.
 

squizzler

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The issue is that Sunak is quite deliberately attempting to make it into a political wedge issue where the North is made to choose between HS2 or better local connections.
if so, then he has failed. Andy Burnham successfully spun a South vs North narrative around HS2, with a little help from the likes Hesseltine and Johnson who have considerable reputations as big boosters of regionalism. Any cuts to the programme are a betrayal of "Levelling up"

If anything this speculation and its fallout has built more awareness of the benefits of HS2, and how the programme works with Northern Powerhouse Rail, amongst voters.
 
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camflyer

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It depends on the northern part of HS2b, admittedly the most expensive one of the whole phase 2. Politically, it might well be worth it to focus on NPR first, both for the Tories, who have to try and retain at least some of the former red wall-seats, as well as for Labour, who will want to regain as many of them as possible.

Trouble is that NPR is currently little more than a few doodles on a map so even if everyone decided to stop HS2 Phase 2 an and concentrate on NPR there would still be 10-15 years before there were any benefits. At least a lot of prep work has already been done on the HS2 route to Manchester.

We definitely need to get going to NPR (and a new name would help too) but as a country we should be able to do more than one megaproject at the same time.
 

eldomtom2

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Would we, though? There's plenty of places between London and MK even where there's nothing built and no laws preventing it.
Obviously sprawl is not instantaneous. But if you look at somewhere like America...

The point is that planning is not the enemy.
 

Nottingham59

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One open question I can't answer is the status of the NE spur at Kingsbury. Can anyone report any construction on this stretch?
There's certainly nothing visible from the M42 alongside.

Satellite images show settlement ponds for the 'Delta Junction Concrete Section Manufacuring Plant" have been built across the line of route. So I don't expect any construction beyond the Plant anytime soon.

Does anyone know of more recent satellite mapping?
 

HSTEd

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Does anyone remember that plan to send Crossrail to Tring to reduce the number of trains into Euston.

Does anyone know if OOC redevelopment has rendered that unworkable now?
Cause that would save a few platforms at Euston for the rebuild, especially if you brought forwad the Bakerloo rolling stock replacement to allow the Watford DC to be abolished.
 

Arkeeos

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Trouble is that NPR is currently little more than a few doodles on a map so even if everyone decided to stop HS2 Phase 2 an and concentrate on NPR there would still be 10-15 years before there were any benefits. At least a lot of prep work has already been done on the HS2 route to Manchester.

We definitely need to get going to NPR (and a new name would help too) but as a country we should be able to do more than one megaproject at the same time.
Yes, HS2 2b is something that can be built, its lined up, more changing just wastes more time.

Obviously sprawl is not instantaneous. But if you look at somewhere like America...

The point is that planning is not the enemy.
There are more places than America, the choice isn't between the excessive arbitrary bureaucracy of our planning system or America.
 

HSTEd

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Obviously sprawl is not instantaneous. But if you look at somewhere like America...

The point is that planning is not the enemy.
I would prefer America to the current solution.
Housing is better quality and considerably more available.
 

Grimsby town

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Do you mean "current line" as in the classic railway or as in the proposed and now axed HS2 Eastern leg?
It would be marginally slower than the latter but would still absolutely crush the classic railway, unless the station dwell times were somehow increased to 20+ minutes. Indeed average journey times would probably end up faster because of a reduction of the average waiting time from ten minutes to five or ~3.3 minutes.

Trains like this are operated every day on the classic railway, and they don't suffer that kind of massive performance degradation.



HS2 as it exists today will never be completed, the project is dead, it just hasn't stopped moving yet.
The real question now is what comes after.


I was comparing to the current journey time to Leeds from London of 2 hours 15 mins but future timetables will reduce that further towards 2 hours. At best the S shaped HSR line would achieve 1 hour 45 minutes so slightly quicker for Leeds and slowe for York. For long distance trips reduced waiting time is less of advantage because far more people don't have flexibility.

Part of phase 1 is being built and that part is pretty pointless without additional phases. Once OOC to the Midlands is built, the economic case for Euston shoots up. £5bn to allow a £45bn infrastructure to double in utilisation is a very easy win. It makes no sense to go completely back to the drawing board for another 10 years. Do we just hope the issues that HS2 has faced go away? I'd suggest it's far more likely that they'll also occur on any replacement scheme.
 

Arkeeos

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Does anyone remember that plan to send Crossrail to Tring to reduce the number of trains into Euston.

Does anyone know if OOC redevelopment has rendered that unworkable now?
Cause that would save a few platforms at Euston for the rebuild, especially if you brought forwad the Bakerloo rolling stock replacement to allow the Watford DC to be abolished.
I doubt it would be unworkable, given it would probably be a viaduct over some industrial estate, but freeing up a few platforms at Euston wouldn't do much since you would have to plan a new tunnel to connect hs2 to above ground euston which would surely wipe out any saving. Does anyone know why crossrail to tring was cut? I imagine it would risk causing delays in the crossrail tunnel.

Do we just hope the issues that HS2 has faced go away? I'd suggest it's far more likely that they'll also occur on any replacement scheme.
the closer a project gets to finishing the more accurate its budget will be, there's no reason to think that every station will run into the same problems as Euston. Curzon street, Interchange and OOC all seem to be getting on fine.
 

Mikey C

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The mood in the media has shifted from cancelled to delayed, supposidly big tory donors weren't happy about Rishi's U turns. Boris, David Cameron and George Osborne publicly telling Rishi not to cancel has likely shifted it as well.

Rishi was big on NPR so I'm still expecting him to repackage Crewe to Manchester under that.
I suspect that Sunak has been surprised by the negative response to the proposed Manchester cancellation from his own side, and many traditional Tory supporters and funders, meaning a hasty rethink.
 

snowball

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4 Mar 2013
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Leeds
One open question I can't answer is the status of the NE spur at Kingsbury. Can anyone report any construction on this stretch? In the event that the stump is created, could it become a connection into the line to Derby and could this facilitate some kind of service into the East Midlands / Leeds / Sheffield in the event that the East Midlands link is cancelled?
If I remember correctly, the phase 1 plans show a railhead and haul road for phase 1 construction on the alignment of what would eventually be the first few hundred yards of the route towards East Midlands Parkway or Leeds. Beyond those first few hundred yards, there is no current legal authority to build anything.
 
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