So this was just a Tory politician whipping up some hysteria about THEY WANT TO CLOSE OUR LINE so that he can appear to be the saviour who rescued the route from a non-existent threat? :roll:
I probably shouldnt be surprised most copies of Private Eye show fairly damning evidence of idiots being in charge on the Island.
Theres a lot of enthusiastic ideas for new stock in this thread, some
very inventive, but most people seem to be ignoring the more significant problems.
The current stock isnt an issue its age is almost a benefit since they were built so long ago that they are so simple that theres very little that can go wrong. Well still have the 483s operating after most Sprinters and Pacers are recycled as razor blades (hmm, would you trust razors made out of 142s? Squealing as they encountered the contours of your jaw bone? Bouncing up and down as they tried to tackle your chin?

).
The real problem is the reduction in passenger numbers, at a time when they are going up at virtually every station on the mainland. The Isle of Wight seems to be slowly transformed from a living working island into a retirement home, which obviously impacts upon demand for travel.
So, not only are the passenger numbers falling, but the average fare per passenger will be lower as pensioners will pay less than those of working age.
Just take a look at the passenger numbers. Down from 1,444,772 passengers per year in 2011/2012 (1,984 passengers in each direction a day) to 1,192,030 passengers in 2013/2014 (1,637 passengers in each direction a day). Pretty rubbish when compared to growth elsewhere in the UK. And those numbers arent even the worst the 2011/2012 figures were lower than five years previous in 2006/2007 (so its not simply a case that the Lichfield City and Lichfield Trent Valley fare being cheaper than the Ryde Pier Head to Ryde Esplanade fare is the only reason for the lower numbers the Gold Cards may have artificially added a few to the numbers but the numbers were dropping anyway).
On some lines, theres an obvious fix to dealing with lower passenger numbers (a failing branch may be revived by running through services to main line destinations), but theres not a lot to be done here, other than the necessary infrastructure changes (loop at Brading?) to allow a regular half hourly service so that trains can meet the ferries (instead of the current 20/40 split).
You can throw new stock at it (£1.5bn for the S7/S8 stock on London Underground = 191 trains/ 1,395 cars... how many million to kit out the Isle of Wight with new stock? How do you share that cost around a thousand return journeys a day?), you can put 1960s/1970s Underground stock on the Island as a sticking plaster but the Island Line has bigger problems.
Still, if the line is as profitable on its own as some on this thread like to believe then itd surely be a lucrative micro franchise that companies will be falling over themselves to operate... rather than a loss making pimple on the side of a significantly bigger (and overall-profitable) franchise.