cymro inside
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- 15 Aug 2010
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the one is was thinking of only ran for one summer sometime around 1986-1990
but i cant remember which year
but i cant remember which year
Hers a January letter from the Minister about Cambrian Hourly.
As to the 2 extra units thing ;
- If the service is Shrewsbury to Aber only it won't work due to marginal turnaround times.
- If it combines/detaches with existing Holyhead to BHM INTL service it would work.
- If it combined with existing Crewe to Shrewsbury shuttle it would work.
His letter to fellow A.Ms does not fill me with total enthusiasm, the cost,the cost etc. After almost 6 weeks after the letter, not a mention, now If Ieuan Wyn Jones was an A.M on the line(unlikely Plaid in Montgomery) he may be more upbeat, I hope the local A.Ms are pushing him,but the sitting member for Montgomery does not enthuse me.
I don't in my opinion now see any money on the table from WAG before the elections , and ATW have stated they wont run an hourly service unless some one pays for it.
So no hourly service this year. Hope I am wrong but I have seen too many Ministerial letters like this.
Bob
If there was a good business plan for the hourly service with profit ATW would run it, obviously ATW have done their sums and obviously there isn't any profit in it so they won't run it without funding, I don't blame them to be honest and I can't see it being run unless ATW are told they have to do it, if an hourly service is not in their Franchise agreement they will decline obviously.
Hopefully the next franchise will sort this out and the winning bidder will start the ordering process before they start running the franchise, to ensure a decent timetable for running additional/new stock.
From my calculations I have found it impossible to compile an hourly timetable between Shrewsbury and Aberystwyth with the infrastructure that I understand has provided considering the following-
The existing tight turnround of Cambrian Trains at Aberystwyth of 5 mins or less which is rather ambitious for long distance trains coming from Birmingham.
Long single line section between Dovey Junction and Aberystwyth (single platform) of approx 30mins. As I see it a down train after leaving Dovey Jn would have to travel to Aberystwyth and return to Dovey Jn (a journey time of over one hour ) before another train could be allowed to depart. ERTMS or no ERTMS it cant be done.!
There will be still a long section between Talerddig and Machynlleth of around 25 mins each way which is extremely tight for one up and one down train to occupy to maintain an hourly service.
Perhaps someone can explain how this hourly service been planned with the track layout proposed.
That's a public timetable fiddle, WTT gets them in 5-6 minutes earlier than that leaving a 10 minute turnaround, it works. Next time anyone travels down there, see how many minutes early you arrive... Its the same with most terminus stations so dont be suprised by it.From my calculations I have found it impossible to compile an hourly timetable between Shrewsbury and Aberystwyth with the infrastructure that I understand has provided considering the following-
The existing tight turnround of Cambrian Trains at Aberystwyth of 5 mins or less which is rather ambitious for long distance trains coming from Birmingham.
Long single line section between Dovey Junction and Aberystwyth (single platform) of approx 30mins. As I see it a down train after leaving Dovey Jn would have to travel to Aberystwyth and return to Dovey Jn (a journey time of over one hour ) before another train could be allowed to depart. ERTMS or no ERTMS it cant be done.!
There will be still a long section between Talerddig and Machynlleth of around 25 mins each way which is extremely tight for one up and one down train to occupy to maintain an hourly service.
Perhaps someone can explain how this hourly service been planned with the track layout proposed.
Announced today £10millions to be spent on road widening between Aberyswyth and Machynlleth this WAG money announced by the Road/Rail Minister Ieuan Wyn Jones from the budget today, seems this the end of the hourly rail aspiration. More political gain in roads.Story on BBC Wales text
Bob
I was called by BBC online today the journo seemed to think that an announcement was imminent on the hourly service. He said he had spoken with WAG Transport people earlier. I think he hoped I or SARPA had some more info on the impending announcement. Had to disappoint him and expressed SARPA members concern over lack of progress etc.
Re Dyfi Bends- the money comes out the Capitol budget pot the money for Cambrian Hourly would come from the Revenue budget. The 2 are not mutually dependent as you know Bob you've had nothing from capitol to redouble Wrexham to Chester yet but the revenue budget has coughed up for WAG1 & 2 before they can run via Wrexham. We've had the capitol cough up for our re instated capacity but the revenue lags behind to run the trains.
I was called by BBC online today the journo seemed to think that an announcement was imminent on the hourly service. He said he had spoken with WAG Transport people earlier. I think he hoped I or SARPA had some more info on the impending announcement. Had to disappoint him and expressed SARPA members concern over lack of progress etc.
Re Dyfi Bends- the money comes out the Capitol budget pot the money for Cambrian Hourly would come from the Revenue budget. The 2 are not mutually dependent as you know Bob you've had nothing from capitol to redouble Wrexham to Chester yet but the revenue budget has coughed up for WAG1 & 2 before they can run via Wrexham. We've had the capitol cough up for our re instated capacity but the revenue lags behind to run the trains.
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If anything its potentially bad news for Wrexham to Chester redoubling as "capitol" pot has taken a big cuts hit and that another £10 million out of it. In fact anything stuck in NR's costly and lengthy GRIP process is in trouble as the budgets will get far tighter by the time NR decides how big its quote will be for these schemes. I'm hearing worried noises from down south about Maesteg and Rhymney lines there worried the euro money will go elsewhere as NR is taking for ever to push these schemes through the GRIP process.
I'm hearing worried noises from down south about Maesteg and Rhymney lines there worried the euro money will go elsewhere as NR is taking for ever to push these schemes through the GRIP process.
Maesteg is ½ hourly frequency, can't remember about Rhymney but Id presume a service increase.
my officials are currently discussing timetable and rolling stock options with Arriva Trains Wales. We have funded a project to increase the capacity of the railway infrastructure in order to facilitate an hourly service, and this work has been largely completed. The next step is for Network Rail to complete its ERTMS resignalling project which will allow the new infrastructure that we funded to be commissioned and brought into live operation. As you will be aware, Network Rail has experienced delays in delivering the ERTMS project and now expect to complete by the end of February. I will then consider the case for introducing an hourly daytime service.
Sounds like (A.) capital spending still seems available and (B.) the original date for re-doubeling of 2010, which had slipped to 2013, has now been brought forward slightly again.Further additional services west of Swansea are a Priority 1 objective for the regional transport consortia SWWITCH within its Regional Transport Plan. With the exception of Fishguard, any additional services are dependant upon the redoubling of the single track between Gowerton and Loughor which is a current capacity restraint. This is due to be completed by the end of 2012.
It certainly seems from this that the only passengers he really cares about giving an improved service frequency are those from his constituency, and even then only those wanting to head for Cardiff in the morning, not those wanting to head south in the afternoon/evening (why make the 2nd WAG express in the same direction as the first?!? I liked the idea of a 2nd one until I heard it'd not be going Cardiff -> Holyhead in the morning and back in the afternoon/evening). Without using LHCS, I see no way of obtaining the 3 158s needed for the Fishguard service.There are no current plans, however, for use of locomotive hauled trains apart from the Holyhead Cardiff express train services
From a letter from Ieuan Wyn Jones dated 7th Feb 2011:
Sounds like he is using the non-completion of ERTMS as an excuse for not introducing the hourly service "by 2011" as the National Transport Plan claims. I read on this fourm that ERTMS is supposed to go live tommorow (well, today now, just gone midnight!). Is that still the plan? If so, we might get an anouncment within the next 3-6 weeks (wild guess on my part).
I would hope the hourly service runs throughout the day, from about 07:30 to 19:30 with the present services continuing outside these hours.
Also, from the same letter:
Sounds like (A.) capital spending still seems available and (B.) the original date for re-doubeling of 2010, which had slipped to 2013, has now been brought forward slightly again.
The suggested method of using the Holyhead - Birmingham path to allow an hourly Cambrian main line service is the one I expected to be used.
From the timetables, I think 5 sets of 4-car 158 are needed at the moment for the 2-hourly Holyhead - Birmingham service. Therefore I suggested to WAG that the London Midland Birmigham - Shrewsbury could then be extended through to Holyhead instead using:This would have released 6 to 8 158s, three of which I suggested should be used to provide a 2-hourly Fishguard - Cardiff express (via the Swansea District Line). It is interesting that he accepted that Fishguard services were techniclly possible before the re-doubling, as back when the petition was launched he gave waiting for the re-doubling as his reason for not acting. However my suggestion for how to get the 158s didn't seem to go down well, as this quote (again from the same letter) shows:
- A London Midland Turbostar
- 3 sets of Mrk2 Coaches (inc. a DBSO) hauled by a 57 or 47
- and 1 pair of ATW 158s
It certainly seems from this that the only passengers he really cares about giving an improved service frequency are those from his constituency, and even then only those wanting to head for Cardiff in the morning, not those wanting to head south in the afternoon/evening (why make the 2nd WAG express in the same direction as the first?!? I liked the idea of a 2nd one until I heard it'd not be going Cardiff -> Holyhead in the morning and back in the afternoon/evening). Without using LHCS, I see no way of obtaining the 3 158s needed for the Fishguard service.
Just how much has the transport capital budget been cut? And why haven't I seen a list of what schemes in the National Transport Plan have had to go because of this cut?
Maesteg is ½ hourly frequency, can't remember about Rhymney but Id presume a service increase.
It certainly seems from this that the only passengers he really cares about giving an improved service frequency are those from his constituency, and even then only those wanting to head for Cardiff in the morning, not those wanting to head south in the afternoon/evening (why make the 2nd WAG express in the same direction as the first?!? I liked the idea of a 2nd one until I heard it'd not be going Cardiff -> Holyhead in the morning and back in the afternoon/evening). Without using LHCS, I see no way of obtaining the 3 158s needed for the Fishguard service.
Just how much has the transport capital budget been cut? And why haven't I seen a list of what schemes in the National Transport Plan have had to go because of this cut?
I suggested to WAG that the London Midland Birmigham - Shrewsbury could then be extended through to Holyhead instead
Also bare in mind that WAG have paid to have the Welshpool Dynamic Loop and Dyfi Junction loop work done. So if there's no extra trains what was the point of spending all that public money?
And in turn this would make train crews bases at Shrewsbury who work for LM without jobs unless they switch to ATW, The route from International to Shrewsbury I feel should be run by LM and not ATW as they have the stock, the resourses and this route is not in Wales with ATW being the Welsh franchise and London Midland being the main stay mislands franchise this would certainly free up 158's for the hourly Aber run and more for elsewhere, however ATW would not give this route up without a huge fight as they would loose a large chunk of money, however if WAG are funding ATW it should be for Wales of course.Logical thing would be to give ATW the current Birmingham - Shrewsbury "stopper", allowing just one company on the line from Wolves to Shrewsbury, allowing better integration between services (and potentially allowing the slow service to feed the Holyhead trips if the Cambrian becomes hourly to Birmingham).
And in turn this would make train crews bases at Shrewsbury who work for LM without jobs unless they switch to ATW, The route from International to Shrewsbury I feel should be run by LM and not ATW as they have the stock, the resourses and this route is not in Wales with ATW being the Welsh franchise and London Midland being the main stay mislands franchise this would certainly free up 158's for the hourly Aber run and more for elsewhere, however ATW would not give this route up without a huge fight as they would loose a large chunk of money, however if WAG are funding ATW it should be for Wales of course.
And in turn this would make train crews bases at Shrewsbury who work for LM without jobs unless they switch to ATW, The route from International to Shrewsbury I feel should be run by LM and not ATW as they have the stock, the resourses and this route is not in Wales with ATW being the Welsh franchise and London Midland being the main stay mislands franchise this would certainly free up 158's for the hourly Aber run and more for elsewhere, however ATW would not give this route up without a huge fight as they would loose a large chunk of money, however if WAG are funding ATW it should be for Wales of course.
I agree TDK. I still can't udnerstand why ATW have to run the Sunday trains that call at stations that should by served by LM, being as the latter as geographically the operator for that area. I mean, I can udnerstand long distance service going through to Birmingham, as that is a major market for Mid Wales customers, but the locla services should be provided by the local TOC.
But why does Wolverhampton - Shrewsbury need two TOCs running trains at badly co-ordinated times (as I say, four minutes apart at Shrewsbury)?
Wouldn't it be better to have one TOC running things, co-ordinating trains, sharing resources, with more incentive to improve services (since they'd get 100% of the ORCATS money)?
ATW already run service wholly within England (Shrewsbury - Crewe stoppers, Crewe - Chester shuttle), after all.
But why does Wolverhampton - Shrewsbury need two TOCs running trains at badly co-ordinated times (as I say, four minutes apart at Shrewsbury)?
Wouldn't it be better to have one TOC running things, co-ordinating trains, sharing resources, with more incentive to improve services (since they'd get 100% of the ORCATS money)?
ATW already run service wholly within England (Shrewsbury - Crewe stoppers, Crewe - Chester shuttle), after all.
I woulkd argue that better co-ordination of services doesn't necessarily require the same TOC! For instance Swansea to Llanelli has departures at xx00 and xx05 some hours, both run by ATW. The reason for this is pathing the slower service behind the faster one, or at least it used to be, until the klatest timetable change.
As TDK says, it's a question of resources. Shrewsbury - Crewe does link up two places that are already importnat parts of the ATW network, both are train crew depots unless I am mistaken. It's the same with Chester - Crewe. I'm approaching things from the perspective of TOC boundaries rather than national ones - there should be a LM stopping service speperate from the ATW one on Sundays, as there is the rest of the week!