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Airport expansions

AlastairFraser

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New players into the London Market are already being forced into Gatwick, so soon Stansted will be that overflow. Want to serve London? Stansted might soon be your best option unless you're willing to pay a *lot* for slots from another airline.
It would probably be easier to buy slots off airlines like e.g. Bulgaria Air or KM Malta Airlines, who would probably appreciate the lower costs associated with Stansted-based operations.
 
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Bald Rick

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With the exception of Emirates, Stansted is a low cost fortress and history has shown us that Long Haul Low Cost isn't usually successful.

I imagine that Emirates would much rather serve Heathrow or Gatwick than Stansted, but they serve both with A380s and to boost capacity to London, Stansted was their only option.

They serve Stansted as a regional airport for East Anglia, rather than London , although no doubt some London passengers fly there. Comparable Emirates flights are often more expensive for Stansted than LHR.
 

route101

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Edinburgh Airport is a horrible passenger experience in peak times - like a shopping centre at Christmas. I've ended up flying from Glasgow (if it has the flights) over going there!
Yes, I have been lucky with Edinburgh but it has been busy in the mornings at security. Glasgow is only really busy at peak holiday times now and quiet in the evenings.
 

camflyer

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They serve Stansted as a regional airport for East Anglia, rather than London , although no doubt some London passengers fly there. Comparable Emirates flights are often more expensive for Stansted than LHR.

Stansted is my closest airport but whenever I've looked at flight which would need a connection in the ME, I've always gone for Emirates or Qatar from Heathrow (and once, Gatwick). Apart from the cost another reason is the redundancy of flights. Qatar have up to 9 flights a day from Heathrow (and BA have 3 more) so if there are any problems then it's easy to get transferred onto the next one. London is also their flagship route so tends to get the best crew. Same way the BA/AA operate a virtually hourly service between Heathrow and New York. This high frequency is especially important on business routes.
 

renegademaster

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Heathrow’s main owners are the Qatari, Singapore, and Saudi governments and a French private equity fund.
If we would become protectionist/xenophobic move to stop this the UK financial sector would get banned back in retaliation and we would stop taking all the money we generate from similar British investments abroad
 

telstarbox

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@Bald Rick

Can we expand Heathrow to that level and still do net zero? I know some people say aviation is a small contributor relative to say housing, where an insulation programme would knock out a lot of emissions.
 

Skymonster

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Baggage handler or Starbucks barista jobs paying £14/hour in London aren’t growing the economy.
Yes they are - they are earning a living, paying taxes and NI and are not dependent on state hand outs - that’s growing the economy.

And if the airline is foreign it won’t even create new high-paying maintenance/engineering jobs, as those airlines will maintain their engineering bases in their home countries.
On the engineering side that boat sailed long ago. There’s a reason why British Airways flies A380s to Manila empty, and A320 family aircraft to Eastern Europe. The UK workforce priced itself out of the market.

Foreigners connecting through Heathrow on cheapo fares don’t contribute to any growth whatsoever.
Yes they do - more jobs created (see above).

I’ll bet you one shiny pound that there isn’t a single route from Heathrow whose existence is dependant on cheapo ex-EU fares.
And I bet you there are plenty that do. But its not just about cheapo ex-EU fares - business class passengers connect too, and in some cases it can be very lucrative (e.g. KLM’s long haul business class is a bit poor in comparison to some others, and it doesn’t offer first at all).

So far, no one has mentioned that expansion at Stansted has also been announced in October 2024, on top the expansion discussed in this thread
Stansted isn’t a hub - its a point-to-point airport. There’s a reason why Heathrow is slot constrained but Stansted slots are much easier to come by. Its because the network (proper) airlines want Heathrow, because that’s where the connections are and they contribute valuable revenue. Emirates only makes Stansted work for the same reason it makes [say] Newcastle work - its at one end of a spoke and the passengers hub through Dubai to all manner of destinations. Stansted will remain primarily a low-cost / charter ghetto while ever its airline customers don’t offer proper network connectivity.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Can we expand Heathrow to that level and still do net zero?
Haven’t you got over that claptrap yet? Net zero is an unachievable pipe-dream that just costs everyone more, will make undertaking many normal activities more challenging, and inhibits economic growth. We simply cannot afford to restrict aviation growth in the name of net zero - if we do, plenty of countries will ignore it and carry on, and the UK will become even more of a low-wage, low-output backwater.
 
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Tetchytyke

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they are earning a living, paying taxes and NI and are not dependent on state hand outs
Anyone in London on a wage that low will almost certainly be on Universal Credit.

But its not just about cheapo ex-EU fares - business class passengers connect too
The business class tickets are sold at even more of a steep discount. There’s a reason why ex-EU tickets were so popular with tier point runners.
 

Bald Rick

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@Bald Rick

Can we expand Heathrow to that level and still do net zero? I know some people say aviation is a small contributor relative to say housing, where an insulation programme would knock out a lot of emissions.

Not my area pf professional interest, but absent widespread adoption of some form of sustainable aviation fuel and/ or carbon capture, I cant see it being remotely possible.
 

camflyer

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Not my area pf professional interest, but absent widespread adoption of some form of sustainable aviation fuel and/ or carbon capture, I cant see it being remotely possible.

We aren't too far off battery powered planes being viable for short flights though there is no conceivable technology which would be zero emissions for long haul. Sustainable aviation fuels will bring it down though.
 

Magdalia

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Yes they are - they are earning a living, paying taxes and NI and are not dependent on state hand outs - that’s growing the economy.
That doesn't grow the economy, it keeps the economy firmly in the no growth rut that it has been stuck in for 15 years.

Growth comes from shifting out of low wage low productivity industries into high wage high productivity industries.
 

Bald Rick

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We aren't too far off battery powered planes being viable for short flights

We are not far off battery powered planes for short flights (shorter than most commercial flights in this country) in small aircraft (much smaller than most commercial flights in this country. A friend of mine os working in the sector. But this is irrelevant to UK commercial airport expansion.

We are a long, long way off commercial size / distance electric aircraft.
 

AlastairFraser

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We are not far off battery powered planes for short flights (shorter than most commercial flights in this country) in small aircraft (much smaller than most commercial flights in this country. A friend of mine os working in the sector. But this is irrelevant to UK commercial airport expansion.

We are a long, long way off commercial size / distance electric aircraft.
What about the prospects of ZeroAvia's hydrogen planes? Don't you think that they will be initially introduced into service in the next decade or so?
 

telstarbox

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Yes they are - they are earning a living, paying taxes and NI and are not dependent on state hand outs - that’s growing the economy.


On the engineering side that boat sailed long ago. There’s a reason why British Airways flies A380s to Manila empty, and A320 family aircraft to Eastern Europe. The UK workforce priced itself out of the market.


Yes they do - more jobs created (see above).


And I bet you there are plenty that do. But its not just about cheapo ex-EU fares - business class passengers connect too, and in some cases it can be very lucrative (e.g. KLM’s long haul business class is a bit poor in comparison to some others, and it doesn’t offer first at all).


Stansted isn’t a hub - its a point-to-point airport. There’s a reason why Heathrow is slot constrained but Stansted slots are much easier to come by. Its because the network (proper) airlines want Heathrow, because that’s where the connections are and they contribute valuable revenue. Emirates only makes Stansted work for the same reason it makes [say] Newcastle work - its at one end of a spoke and the passengers hub through Dubai to all manner of destinations. Stansted will remain primarily a low-cost / charter ghetto while ever its airline customers don’t offer proper network connectivity.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==


Haven’t you got over that claptrap yet? Net zero is an unachievable pipe-dream that just costs everyone more, will make undertaking many normal activities more challenging, and inhibits economic growth. We simply cannot afford to restrict aviation growth in the name of net zero - if we do, plenty of countries will ignore it and carry on, and the UK will become even more of a low-wage, low-output backwater.
I don't need to get over it but the UK government has a legal commitment to deliver it?
 

camflyer

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That doesn't grow the economy, it keeps the economy firmly in the no growth rut that it has been stuck in for 15 years.

Growth comes from shifting out of low wage low productivity industries into high wage high productivity industries.

Even an economy built around high productivity jobs in shiny offices and science parks will still need people to make coffee, clean the toilets and keep the building secure.
 

Bald Rick

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What about the prospects of ZeroAvia's hydrogen planes? Don't you think that they will be initially introduced into service in the next decade or so?

ZeroAvia will make engines rather thsn planes. There is the possibility that regional planes of low caoacity with said engines will be in service within a decade. But they won’t be seen at Heathrow bar exceptional circumstances.
 

AlastairFraser

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ZeroAvia will make engines rather thsn planes. There is the possibility that regional planes of low caoacity with said engines will be in service within a decade. But they won’t be seen at Heathrow bar exceptional circumstances.
Do you not think Loganair will consider ordering some with a ZeroAvia powertrain?
 

Magdalia

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Even an economy built around high productivity jobs in shiny offices and science parks will still need people to make coffee, clean the toilets and keep the building secure.
You are right, but it is the people doing the high productivity jobs in the shiny offices and science parks who are delivering the economic growth, and paying the taxes that fund public services, not the people on the minimum wage making the coffee, cleaning the toilets and keeping the building secure.

By creating more low wage jobs, for example by airport expansion, it gets more difficult to find people to make the coffee, clean the toilets and keep the building secure in the shiny offices and science parks that are going to deliver the economic growth. So more low wage jobs, that don't support high productivity growth delivery, hold the economy back.
 

Cross City

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By creating more low wage jobs, for example by airport expansion, it gets more difficult to find people to make the coffee, clean the toilets and keep the building secure in the shiny offices and science parks that are going to deliver the economic growth. So more low wage jobs, that don't support high productivity growth delivery, hold the economy back.

Conveniently forgetting all of the high paid jobs airport expansion creates.
 

camflyer

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Conveniently forgetting all of the high paid jobs airport expansion creates.

Lawyers, architects and planning consultants do especially well out of the endless rounds of applications and appeals for these big infrastructure projects. They get paid whether the project gets built or not.
 

Snow1964

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The Government is rumoured to be due to make an announcement next week (but we will have to wait and see)

Because approvals for planning major projects that are referred to Secretary of State have time limits, there has to be an announcement on Gatwick expansion by 27 Feb, and Luton by 3rd Apr. I think there might be something for Bristol too (but not sure of date). Unlike few months ago they cannot award themselves a time extension by saying review period included an election.
 

Magdalia

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Conveniently forgetting all of the high paid jobs airport expansion creates.
The above discussion gives me the impression that there are not many of those. The foreign airlines making use of the enhanced capacity will be keeping most of their high paid jobs at home, not bringing them here. And even if there is a decent number of high paid jobs from airport expansion, the impact on GDP is only marginal compared to clusters of high tech start-ups that go from nothing to making millions.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Because approvals for planning major projects that are referred to Secretary of State have time limits, there has to be an announcement on Gatwick expansion by 27 Feb, and Luton by 3rd Apr.
An announcement can be to postpone a decision. This has already happened twice with a sewage works near Cambridge:


The decision on whether to relocate a sewage treatment works has been delayed for a second time by a government department.

Anglian Water was asked by the government to look at relocating the plant from the existing site in the north of Cambridge, to allow the area to be used for housing, and submitted plans to build a new facility on Honey Hill, near Horningsea, on the outskirts of the city.

A Development Consent Order (DCO) application was received on 12 July 2024 and a decision was due to be made in October, but the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) had said it wanted more time to consider the issue.

The decision was expected to be made this week, but a statement issued by Environment Secretary Steve Reed said the deadline had now been further extended to 14 April.
 
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pug1

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You are right, but it is the people doing the high productivity jobs in the shiny offices and science parks who are delivering the economic growth, and paying the taxes that fund public services, not the people on the minimum wage making the coffee, cleaning the toilets and keeping the building secure.

By creating more low wage jobs, for example by airport expansion, it gets more difficult to find people to make the coffee, clean the toilets and keep the building secure in the shiny offices and science parks that are going to deliver the economic growth. So more low wage jobs, that don't support high productivity growth delivery, hold the economy back.
I think you raise a good point, but the economic impact of an airport like Heathrow isn’t rooted in the direct job creating effect. Of course it does provide jobs for a wide range of skill levels, from cleaners and security through to engineers, pilots and other high paid service sector careers. However the justification is access to global markets. Now I don’t have the stats to hand, and I’m not sure exactly how much business travel has dropped off with the advent of remote working and Teams (which is excellent by the way, I’m a big proponent of the WFH revolution!), but LHR is the largest air cargo hub in the U.K.

People might not realise but belly freight in passenger aircraft contributes quite significantly to a long haul flight revenue. Whilst business travel may have dropped off, the ability to ship high end tech to and from the U.K. rapidly is something that must not be understated. The route network from LHR offers an almost unrivalled access to the entire globe with flexibility in terms of routes and frequency. This can only compliment our service sector economy where global connectivity is equally important.
 

TravelDream

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On the engineering side that boat sailed long ago. There’s a reason why British Airways flies A380s to Manila empty, and A320 family aircraft to Eastern Europe. The UK workforce priced itself out of the market.

There are still a large number of airplane engineering jobs in the UK.
They are pretty well-paid and are relatively skilled jobs.

Just a few weeks ago, BA announced a multi-million pound investment in their widebody maintenance facility in Cardiff.

It currently just services 777 and 787 aircraft, but will be upgraded to also deal with A350s.


BA actually has a lot of workers in South Wales

You're right that they send their A380s to the Philippines, but the UK is obviously cost-effective enough for BA to continue to invest and expand its own maintenance facilities.


We are not far off battery powered planes for short flights (shorter than most commercial flights in this country) in small aircraft (much smaller than most commercial flights in this country. A friend of mine os working in the sector. But this is irrelevant to UK commercial airport expansion.

Battery powered aircraft exist and are operational, but I would question their usefulness given the very short range and the fact they can't leave the vicinity of the airport.

Commercial electric aircraft - even those with just 9 seats - are very far off. Several decades if ever.

While better for the environment (dependent on the electricity source and dependent on the impact of battery production), they are going to be just as loud as current aircraft as the propellers are the prime producer of noise.
 

pug1

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There are still a large number of airplane engineering jobs in the UK.
They are pretty well-paid and are relatively skilled jobs.

Just a few weeks ago, BA announced a multi-million pound investment in their widebody maintenance facility in Cardiff.

It currently just services 777 and 787 aircraft, but will be upgraded to also deal with A350s.


BA actually has a lot of workers in South Wales

You're right that they send their A380s to the Philippines, but the UK is obviously cost-effective enough for BA to continue to invest and expand its own maintenance facilities.




Battery powered aircraft exist and are operational, but I would question their usefulness given the very short range and the fact they can't leave the vicinity of the airport.

Commercial electric aircraft - even those with just 9 seats - are very far off. Several decades if ever.

While better for the environment (dependent on the electricity source and dependent on the impact of battery production), they are going to be just as loud as current aircraft as the propellers are the prime producer of noise.
Correct about aircraft engineering. Just for awareness, often the case that airlines disperse their aircraft all over the globe when requiring deep maintenance (such as C-Check) and this is a capacity issue as opposed to a cost saving. There simply aren’t the number of MRO facilities in the U.K. to cope with the demand.
 

TravelDream

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Correct about aircraft engineering. Just for awareness, often the case that airlines disperse their aircraft all over the globe when requiring deep maintenance (such as C-Check) and this is a capacity issue as opposed to a cost saving. There simply aren’t the number of MRO facilities in the U.K. to cope with the demand.

True. And just to add, BA does actually have a big A320 maintenance facility in Glasgow as well as the facilities at Heathrow and Gatwick.
 

gabrielhj07

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Maybe a Eurostar-HeX based connection with a dedicated bus shuttle between StP and Paddington would work out for Paris/Brussels. And maybe Amsterdam, plus Luxembourg, Dusseldorf and Cologne/Bonn & with some subsidised E* expansion.
I’m sure there will be an army of people biting your hand off to sit on a bus for an hour instead of in the Lounge.


On the engineering side that boat sailed long ago. There’s a reason why British Airways flies A380s to Manila empty, and A320 family aircraft to Eastern Europe. The UK workforce priced itself out of the market.
Think that’s more to do with Cardiff being full than anything else.
 

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