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One compromise could be that Ukraine commits not to join NATO, but instead has security guarantees from NATO that fall short of Article 5 coverage. Putin could dress that one up as a victory.

Up until today Zelensly was trumpeted by Russia an illigitimate Nazi. So this is an interesting development. So we will either see Lavrov sacked, or they are looking for an off ramp or at least some sort of de escalation. This coupled with the admission of troop losses has rather changed the...

Notwithstanding the risks of escalation, the defence Secretary has said that actually it would be counter productive. Because a no fly zone applies to everyone. Not just the Russians. Therefore the Russian army convoys could move through Ukraine with impunity. A no fly zone was considered in...

Please can you provide evidence for this. And that doesn't mean some random posting on Twitter. Has there been a poll done? Can we see the results? Is there really a huge public support for shooting down Russian aircraft and starting World War 3?

Make no mistake, Ukraine will fall to the Russians eventually. But they've got a serious bloody nose in the process, and will get bogged down in an insurgency for years to come. This is not what they planned for. The difficult decision for the Ukrainians is how long they hold out for. Of...

Someone once asked me where I'd hide in the event of a nuclear war. I said in the middle of Trafalgar Square.

I think you overestimate the public will for a no fly zone. 80% of the public probably don't even know what one is. A bunch of noisy journalists and some self appointed experts on Twitter do not represent public opinion. Much like those who were constantly calling for more Covid restrictions.

China could end up being the mediator here.

Putin has the Western population rattled. For him that's job done.

A bit of context. Russia has four nuclear readiness states. Putin yesterday ordered an increase from the bottom one to the second from bottom. The US is at Defcon 3 and has been for a while. It was raised without a fuss. Putin just loves the theatre that goes with this. As with Covid, there are...

Kiselyov has been spouting this line for quite some time. It's nothing new from him and is for domestic consumption. If they wanted us to hear it, RT would report it, and they are not.

And there are talks planned as the Belarus border. This is serious leverage to get their own way, and it may well work for them.

There are also Chechen fighters going in. This is useful for Putin, as the deaths will not fall directly on his shoulders, but those of his useful idiot in Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov.

Russia was involved in the Balkan conflict, particularly the Kosovo element later on. There was a situation at one point where NATO troops and Russians were facing each other down at an airport.

It's going to be a difficult decision for Ukraine: Either continue to put up stiff resistance, to give the Russians a high casualty level before the inevitable (sadly) fall of Kyiv, with the associated risk of death and destruction within your country Or get it all over faster, forming a...

We have been here before. The Balkan war of the 1990s was just as fierce, and there were some horrendous atrocities carried out. And this was in a country just the other side of Italy, a place that had hosted the Olympics not 10 years before, a place tha t had been a hiday destination. The...

Liveuamap is a great resource

This is worth a read from Channel 4 News: I had no idea that NATO Article 5 was rather nuanced. https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-could-uk-go-to-war-with-russia-and-could-there-be-nuclear-conflict

Add to this Boris Yeltsin was in a drunken stupor most of the time and never launched an attack.

Then there's the person who actually presses the button. There is no big red thing in the nuclear briefcase that physically launches anything. A general somewhere would actually be tasked with doing the deed. If the president is suicidal, they probably are not, and would disobey orders.