Snow1964
Established Member
Wales ordered its trains August 2018, which probably means it considered the fleet size back in 2016 or 2017 based on then passenger numbers.Isn't a fairly big part of the issue the unreliability of the 197s, with nowhere near as many in service each day as was planned? After all they're actually up on stock from the long term plan given that the Cambrian is still 158s.
If I remember correctly this was when there were still plans for a M4 relief road around Newport, before pay as you go. Before anyone understood working from home and the exodus of business from London to regional cities. Clearly lot has happened in 10 years and some of the passenger number forecasts have proved to be wildly low, so the new fleet can't cope on some lines.
They have extended the maintenance contracts for 158s (from memory up to 3 years), so clearly giving themselves breathing space to order some extra intermediate vehicles or whole sets