I will also agree that a grain of salt should be taken with all of the VOSA registrations. Things like the 15 still saying Penicuik - Eastfield when it hasn't done that in years mean that there will likely be things that aren't quite accurate like the 47 still saying Crewe Toll for instance. We can get a rough idea of the changes but certainly there will be some things that the registrations don't quite cover
Absolutely. Minor route changes such as a new loop or a change in the middle of the route are very hard (if not impossible) to spot within the VOSA registration.
You would think this is likely where all of 176-190 (and if 195-199 are joining too?) are going to be needed. I’ve had a look at a potential scenario for the 46/48 - as described previously, and the PVR is somewhere between 20 and 25 - which would be very high for Marine. That is the two routes running every 20 minutes each and combining to be every 10 minutes. Therefore you’d think it’s certainly quite possible for Marine to lose the 2 back to Longstone? The 45 would probably stay put. Still, that’s a very high amount of singles for Marine. While possible, I do fear every 30 minutes on these routes probably won’t work, especially when they are not alongside each other. If it was this we’re probably looking somewhere between 15 and 18.
If (and this is a big if) the 30 is finally becoming a double deck I wonder if we may see frequency enhancements to the 36 and 38? Again impossible to tell.
Lots of missing pieces to this and I’m sure all will be revealed soon. This is certainly the biggest network change since the trams started in 2014, and possibly since Neil Renilson’s days.
Could be a pretty high number of vehicle movements ahead, particularly with the single decks. I have even considered a scenario where all of the Evora’s end up at Marine, which was probably unthinkable before now.