Snapshots of short periods don't give any indication of actual reliability. I don't have such figures and am reluctant to draw a conclusion on any gut feeling, however it makes 319s or their maintenance regimes look, (they are after all just trains that are there to run a service).
You earlier said they were good trains as you've only ever been on a 319 which has broken down once. The number of journeys you've made on 319s must be extremely small compared to the total number of journeys which 86 different units have made. I'm reluctant to say classes which I've used a lot which have never failed while I've been on them as last year I said I've never been on a 150 which has broken down and then a few weeks later I was on one which failed!
While TPE experienced teething problems with their 350s, they seem to have sorted them out now. While the 350/4s were brand new TPE had up to 90% of them in service at any time, while Northern never have more than 80% of their 319s in service at any time.
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The question is, if the reported 12 additional units are cascaded by 2017, the NW will likely have the largest fleet of 319s in the country. Clearly, less than 20 units satisfy the LIV-MAN/MIA, the LIV-MCV, the LIV-WBQ and the LIV-WGN current service requirements. If the reported 12 additional 319s are sent next year, where will they be deployed? The only route likely to be added next year will be the MCV-PRE.
RAIL reported they will start to arrive in the autumn this year which suggests the only thing which will happen initially is they will go off for refurbishment and be used to train more crews.
Arriva did mention the option of using 319s on the Glossop line from December 2017 until the new CAF EMUs despite Porterbrook saying the 323s will remain with Northern until 2018/2019, so the only viable reasons for that are 6 car 323 working on other routes or/and putting 323s on newly electrified Northern routes.
319s will have to cover the Airport-Blackpool services initially and hopefully by the time the new CAF EMUs are ready to enter service the Manchester-Stalybridge and Bolton-Wigan wires will be ready. Also note Hazel Grove to Bolton is to become 2tph and a couple of extra units will be required for Liverpool South Parkway to Blackpool. Although, the number of 319s required for Chat Moss will be reduced when TPE start their second service on the route.
32 x 319s will be 37% of them so it's possible another operator will take on a similar or higher number of 319s.