Fascinating thread which I have read with interest.
This is a subject I'm interested in as a new entrant to the driver grade with 30 years of my working life left. I even discussed This topic in my DM interview.
What has reassured me about my own shelf life is that, although the technology to make driverless trains a reality is clearly already present (and has been for many years), the wider rail industry moves at a glacial pace. Some topics on the current drivers rules course can be demonstrated using videos from as far back as the 1950s, and further. Not because of nostalgia, but because this is how large swathes of the UK network still operates in 2015.
The real question is whether the will is there to spend the necessary cash to deliver full automation. The network is largely Victorian and requires massive amounts of investment just to maintain it at operational standard. The level of investment made to introduce full automatic operation is astronomical. It is also of questionable benefit when we already have the safest railway in Europe.
GSM-R is a "new" technology to the railway but actually relies on early 90s 2G technology. ERTMS is gradually being rolled out but isn't expected in the region I will be driving in until around 2040, by which time I will be approaching retirement. Even then the level 2 standard being adopted will still require a driver at the controls.
As with the aviation industry I reckon the real point is, although technology may be available for pure automation, will the public ever accept it? As noted in previous posts the DLR has been driverless since its inception, but a member of staff is carried on every train and these staff are still capable of bringing the railway to a grinding halt when they strike.
All in all I am confident that I will have a valued job as a driver for the remainder of my working life - albeit perhaps switching from a "driving" towards a "monitoring" role as the years past.
I sincerely hope I'm right!