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UK General Election 2024

Now that we are in the final throes of the campaign, who will you be voting for?

  • Labour

    Votes: 104 49.5%
  • Conservative

    Votes: 8 3.8%
  • Reform

    Votes: 18 8.6%
  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 57 27.1%
  • Green Party

    Votes: 15 7.1%
  • SNP

    Votes: 4 1.9%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 1 0.5%
  • Independent

    Votes: 3 1.4%

  • Total voters
    210
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edwin_m

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I am not sure we have any spare barracks anymore.

We don't, apparently back in 1950s was around 300,000 that joined National service each year (was normally 2 years).

I have heard military could only train about tenth of that number (30,000) max in a year nowadays.
Put them in the hotels vacated when all the migrants have gone to Rwanda?

30,000 also appears to be the annual intake to the military under this plan, which doesn't leave much over for those that are actually looking for a career in the forces.
 
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LNW-GW Joint

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:lol: :lol:

Edit - I stayed up all night to watch the results come in during the 1997 election and I haven’t done it since because I had a reasonable idea of how things were going to go.
I think I will take the Friday off to watch this unfold through as it’s going to be quite an interesting night I reckon.
I try and stay up until the result is pretty certain (which is sometimes very late/early).
My first election was in 1964, when Harold Wilson won with his "white heat of technology" after "13 years of Tory misrule".
It took 3 years to fall apart (devaluation, IMF loan etc).

Results don't come in as early nowadays, with polls closing at 10 rather than 9.
And increasingly, some counts get put off till the Friday.
 

The Ham

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Just read through the BBC article:

At the end it talks about funding:

How would the government pay for the national service scheme?
The Tories estimate the scheme would cost £2.5bn - two fifths of which the party said it would raise by “cracking down on tax evasion and avoidance”.

The rest would come from money being diverted from the UK Shared Prosperity Fund, a pot of money which was set up to make up for financial support community organisations lost when the UK left the European Union.

Previously, this money has been billed as supporting the government's levelling up agenda.

Mr Cleverly told the BBC that funding was due to end but has been extended by three years, at which point it will be diverted to pay for national service.

He said the money would be spent around the country and the "levelling up impact ... will continue"

So not only did this mean that they're going to upset a lot of people aged 18 and potentially their relatives, it's also going to mean less leveling up.

"Switching" leveling up spending of £1.5 billion a year from things like infrastructure and the like to provide money for this (which they argue is still going to be spent around the country so will still be levelling up) sounds odd.

Especially given that (assuming the spread of 18 year olds is fairly even across the populations of the regions) that about 1/4 of the money would end up in London and the South East.
 

JKF

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Maybe those ‘volunteers’ could be out with a shovel one weekend per month digging out cuttings for the HS2 Birmingham to Crewe section, and spin that as a continuing commitment to ‘levelling up’.
 

HSTEd

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Maybe those ‘volunteers’ could be out with a shovel one weekend per month digging out cuttings for the HS2 Birmingham to Crewe section, and spin that as a continuing commitment to ‘levelling up’.
They will probably build an enormous statue of Maggie, on the scale of that statue in India.

It could be built in the North East of england to ensure the spending is leveling up.
 

JGurney

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The BBC article

Thanks, but makes the whole thing even crazier. So the headline about compulsory military service for all 18-year-olds turns out to mean a maximum of about 4% of 18-year-olds will be selected for this.
I am starting to envisage all the cases brought by people who wanted to get in and were rejected, alleging discrimination was involved.
 

Horizon22

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As Cleverly said this morning, people will be compelled to do it but it isn’t compulsory

These people shouldn’t be allowed to operate power tools, let alone run the country

Mandatory voluntary service!

I imagine there would just be a mass level of civil disobedience considering there's no real punishment for saying no.

This is all theoretical considering they're unlikely to be in a position to implement this.
 

Horizon22

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In fairness what else would you call it? It's not really a job if you don't get paid

I wouldn't consider something "voluntary" if you're being forced to do it!

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

I try and stay up until the result is pretty certain (which is sometimes very late/early).
My first election was in 1964, when Harold Wilson won with his "white heat of technology" after "13 years of Tory misrule".
It took 3 years to fall apart (devaluation, IMF loan etc).

Results don't come in as early nowadays, with polls closing at 10 rather than 9.
And increasingly, some counts get put off till the Friday.

By 3-4am, you've got a pretty good idea.

For General Elections they have to count overnight; local elections they've got more scope to do it the following day(s)
 

muz379

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wonder if there will be exemptions for 18 year olds that have managed to secure trainee train drivers roles .
 

HSTEd

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Complete non starter?
Well if the old vote for it, it is doable.

I expect they would be forced to use increasingly draconian measures to get the young to "volunteer" though.
If not imprisonment, barring them from voting, going to university etc until they obey.
 

takno

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This National Service thing is proving to be a fantastic dead cat bounce scheme. It won't change anybody's mind either way, and hardly anybody thinks they will even do it, but this thread has barely mentioned how badly everything is actually goingin the real country for the better part of 2 days.
 

jfollows

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I also find it deeply hypocritical that this "national service" is justified on the basis that "other countries do it" whereas the same party justifies "Brexit" on the basis that our country is in some special way uniquely different from other countries to justify doing things differently.

Of course, I have come to expect hypocrisy from this desperate party in order to extract every possible vote it can.
 

birchesgreen

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So, it seems Cleverley was wrong (i know, you are all shocked), according to leaked documents you WILL be jailed for refusing National Service.

Not sure where they will be jailed considering the jails are already full but hey ho.
 

Gloster

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Up the creek
So, it seems Cleverley was wrong (i know, you are all shocked), according to leaked documents you WILL be jailed for refusing National Service.

Not sure where they will be jailed considering the jails are already full but hey ho.

Perhaps they will see it as a military offence and so you will be held in a military gaol. They will now have lots of additional soldiery who can do the guard duty in these prisons: the half of the conscripts who turned up guarding the half that didn’t.
 

The Ham

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This National Service thing is proving to be a fantastic dead cat bounce scheme. It won't change anybody's mind either way, and hardly anybody thinks they will even do it, but this thread has barely mentioned how badly everything is actually goingin the real country for the better part of 2 days.

Maybe, but it does highlight how the Tories are mostly coming up with (as one person described it) more ways of punishing people they don't like.

18 year olds are less likely to vote for them (although before this I suspect more would have than after this, it's also likely to show young people that "they're not so the same" and so may make them more likely to vote), so they bring this in.

Small boats are something they can be tough on (but it's actually a tiny amount of the net migration numbers), but rather than making it so people don't have to risk their life to get here they're moving a tiny number of the tiny number to another country. Even if Rwanda were taking 200 a year (Rwanda has previously said 1,000 over the five year trail), well there was 45,000 small boat crossing in 2023, so that's a 1:225 chance of being removed from the UK. That's less likely (1:216) than rolling 6 on a pair of dice three times in a row.

That's almost as likely as, at random, one child from a junior school with 2 forms per year group being picked (1:240). In that setting, most parents wouldn't be overly concerned that it would be their child, or even that it was someone that their child was particularly close to.

LBQT+ is something else they've picked up on, as are "benefits scroungers", those striking/protesting (unless it's farmers of fishing), eating tofu, being a lawyer who follows the law, live in London (as everyone who does is clearly part of the elite) have a religious beliefs (unless they happen to align with ours) and there's probably more. The problem with such policies is that, whilst someone may currently part of the "in crowd", it doesn't take a lot for them to not be:
Get made redundant.
Get ill.
Have a child, spouse/partner, parent or other close person which has a health issue who needs significant care.
Be involved in an accident.
Continue to love a child or friend who comes out a LBQT+
Not accept a 0.5% pay rise when inflation is running at 3% and ask for something closer to 5% (as you've already had 5 years of 0.5% pay rises whilst inflation had been running at an average of 3%, so have already effectively taken a 13% pay cut) - especially if you see the company making reasonable profits
Find that the home counties (or even anywhere south of Watford Gap) are basically London anyway when it comes to being part of the elite.
Fall in love with someone who has recent ancestry which isn't British (your probably fine if they can trace back on both sides for 20 generations and their all British, at a push maybe a bit of Irish).
Work in an industry where wages have kept up with inflation or worse risen ever so slightly (of course if you're making a lot of money by being a CEO, or from shares that's different) as you're the reason that inflation is so high (and nothing to do with other factors).
Realise that you should, because of your religious beliefs, have compassion for the sick, widows, orphans and aliens (as a starter that should include all Christians - although many who want a "Christian country" haven't read that bit in the bible; mostly because they haven't read the Bible, other than they may have been told a few Bible stories, but not the good Samaritan) and decide to do something about it.

That's before some other wedge issue comes up.

There's a reason that it's such a big subject of conversation, whilst it wont impact most people and may not even impact how many will vote, it will impact the way floating voters think and it's likely to shift a lot of the "don't knows" a bit further away from voting Tory. In some seats a few hundred shifting from "I don't know but voting Tory" to "I don't know but voting for someone other" could mean a lose for the current Tory MP.
 

bspahh

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There’s a game being played here to try and frighten people into voting for them by making people think that we’re under a certain type of threat that he’s been trying to warn us about (but obviously can’t fully disclose).

It’s surely just going to be yet another huge misstep by them though isn’t it?

On Thursday, Andrew Murrison, The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Defence replied to a written question in parliament:

Mark Pritchard Conservative, The Wrekin
To ask the Secretary of State for Defence, whether he has made an assessment of the potential impact of the reintroduction of national service on national security.

Andrew Murrison The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Defence
The Government has no current plans to reintroduce National Service. Since 1963, when the last national servicemen were discharged, it has been the policy of successive Governments that the best way of providing for the defence of our country is by maintaining professional Armed Forces staffed by volunteers. The demanding, increasingly technical, nature of defence today is such that we require highly trained, professional men and women in our Regular and Reserve Armed Forces, fully committed to giving their best in defending our country and its allies.

If potentially unwilling National Service recruits were to be obliged to serve alongside the professional men and women of our Armed Forces, it could damage morale, recruitment and retention and would consume professional military and naval resources. If, on the other hand, National Service recruits were kept in separate units, it would be difficult to find a proper and meaningful role for them, potentially harming motivation and discipline. For all these reasons, there are no current plans for the restoration of any form of National Service.

"For all these reasons, there are no current plans for the restoration of any form of National Service."
Two days is a long time in politics
 
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sor

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I also find it deeply hypocritical that this "national service" is justified on the basis that "other countries do it" whereas the same party justifies "Brexit" on the basis that our country is in some special way uniquely different from other countries to justify doing things differently.

Of course, I have come to expect hypocrisy from this desperate party in order to extract every possible vote it can.
it's very close to voter ID in that respect, where the tories suddenly like to bring up how most of Europe has it when it suited (omitting they also have widely available if not mandatory ID cards), rather than looking at countries like Canada which implemented the policy in a far more thoughtful and relevant way by accounting for the lack of that ID card.

as said before, the tory version of "national service" is not going to get a positive opinion from people who think the country has shafted them at every opportunity, so why should they give anything back
 

MP33

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When National Service was in its final years and Britain was withdrawing from the Empire. A large Army was no longer required and a number of men who were called up, were rejected for the most spurious of medical reasons.

This election is channelling 1983. The Conservatives have a splinter party, Reform (SDP) to contend with. There is a Manifesto containing election killing ideas (Labour).

After the election, who are the Conservatives going to get to do a Neil Kinnock and make a speech destroying the extremists at the Conference. Who is going to do a Eric Heffer and walk out and who is going to do a Derek Hatton by remaining in his seat and heckling.
 

nw1

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I also find it deeply hypocritical that this "national service" is justified on the basis that "other countries do it" whereas the same party justifies "Brexit" on the basis that our country is in some special way uniquely different from other countries to justify doing things differently.

Of course, I have come to expect hypocrisy from this desperate party in order to extract every possible vote it can.

Also, it's likely that the ardent supporters of Brexit and ardent supporters of National Service probably belong to the same demographic that the Tories are trying to retain - so in some ways there is a consistency between the two.
 

AlterEgo

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Also, it's likely that the ardent supporters of Brexit and ardent supporters of National Service probably belong to the same demographic that the Tories are trying to retain - so in some ways there is a consistency between the two.
No surprise that the cohort most in support of National Service is the one which just about dodged it while their parents got conscripted.
 

takno

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Maybe, but it does highlight how the Tories are mostly coming up with (as one person described it) more ways of punishing people they don't like.

18 year olds are less likely to vote for them (although before this I suspect more would have than after this, it's also likely to show young people that "they're not so the same" and so may make them more likely to vote), so they bring this in.

Small boats are something they can be tough on (but it's actually a tiny amount of the net migration numbers), but rather than making it so people don't have to risk their life to get here they're moving a tiny number of the tiny number to another country. Even if Rwanda were taking 200 a year (Rwanda has previously said 1,000 over the five year trail), well there was 45,000 small boat crossing in 2023, so that's a 1:225 chance of being removed from the UK. That's less likely (1:216) than rolling 6 on a pair of dice three times in a row.

That's almost as likely as, at random, one child from a junior school with 2 forms per year group being picked (1:240). In that setting, most parents wouldn't be overly concerned that it would be their child, or even that it was someone that their child was particularly close to.

LBQT+ is something else they've picked up on, as are "benefits scroungers", those striking/protesting (unless it's farmers of fishing), eating tofu, being a lawyer who follows the law, live in London (as everyone who does is clearly part of the elite) have a religious beliefs (unless they happen to align with ours) and there's probably more. The problem with such policies is that, whilst someone may currently part of the "in crowd", it doesn't take a lot for them to not be:
Get made redundant.
Get ill.
Have a child, spouse/partner, parent or other close person which has a health issue who needs significant care.
Be involved in an accident.
Continue to love a child or friend who comes out a LBQT+
Not accept a 0.5% pay rise when inflation is running at 3% and ask for something closer to 5% (as you've already had 5 years of 0.5% pay rises whilst inflation had been running at an average of 3%, so have already effectively taken a 13% pay cut) - especially if you see the company making reasonable profits
Find that the home counties (or even anywhere south of Watford Gap) are basically London anyway when it comes to being part of the elite.
Fall in love with someone who has recent ancestry which isn't British (your probably fine if they can trace back on both sides for 20 generations and their all British, at a push maybe a bit of Irish).
Work in an industry where wages have kept up with inflation or worse risen ever so slightly (of course if you're making a lot of money by being a CEO, or from shares that's different) as you're the reason that inflation is so high (and nothing to do with other factors).
Realise that you should, because of your religious beliefs, have compassion for the sick, widows, orphans and aliens (as a starter that should include all Christians - although many who want a "Christian country" haven't read that bit in the bible; mostly because they haven't read the Bible, other than they may have been told a few Bible stories, but not the good Samaritan) and decide to do something about it.

That's before some other wedge issue comes up.

There's a reason that it's such a big subject of conversation, whilst it wont impact most people and may not even impact how many will vote, it will impact the way floating voters think and it's likely to shift a lot of the "don't knows" a bit further away from voting Tory. In some seats a few hundred shifting from "I don't know but voting Tory" to "I don't know but voting for someone other" could mean a lose for the current Tory MP.
I suppose you have a point in that it's what you might call "continuity stupid". A reliable Rishi promise that they'll keep it up with the crazy undeliverable gimmicks after the election, keeping everybody constantly on edge with the threat that "you or somebody you know is, in our opinion a wrong 'un, and sooner or later we'll release Suella on them".

Quite radical to marginalize all children or people who know them though. Daring, you might say, if you got the feeling they knew what they were doing.
 

Enthusiast

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I also find it deeply hypocritical that this "national service" is justified on the basis that "other countries do it" whereas the same party justifies "Brexit" on the basis that our country is in some special way uniquely different from other countries to justify doing things differently.
The justification for "doing things differently" (e.g. leaving the EU) is that the UK is different to other European countries (in particular EU members). About 170 countries are not EU members. This makes EU countries, not the rest, unusual. They are more than unusual in name only. Among many other things, normal countries do not allow their legislature to be trumped by a supranational organisation.

That's less likely (1:216) than rolling 6 on a pair of dice three times in a row.
Just on a point of pedantry, 1:216 are the chances of rolling six on a single die three times in a row. The chances of rolling a pair of dice to show six on each three times in a row is 1:46,656.
 

nw1

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The justification for "doing things differently" (e.g. leaving the EU) is that the UK is different to other European countries (in particular EU members). About 170 countries are not EU members. This makes EU countries, not the rest, unusual. They are more than unusual in name only. Among many other things, normal countries do not allow their legislature to be trumped by a supranational organisation.
Let's move this to the Brexit thread if we want to continue debating this point.
 

Fermiboson

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National Service is not happening in any meaningful or organised way, period; the top brass will veto it. They have enough trouble housing their current soldiers in barracks that are not about to collapse from mold as is.

It is, however, a very worrying trend where the Tories try to lean more and more into the far right. It would lead to a situation like in the US where there are multiple minority groups who feel that electing someone other than the Tories is literally a life or death issue (and this is indeed already the case in some). Leaving aside all the usual issues with political radicalisation and polarisation, it also means Labour can do effectively anything they want, which ironically makes it easier for sections of the population who feel there is no possibility of their interests being represented becoming disillusioned and not participate, and hence make it easier for the far right to come into some position of influence.
 

AlterEgo

Verified Rep - Wingin' It! Paul Lucas
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The justification for "doing things differently" (e.g. leaving the EU) is that the UK is different to other European countries (in particular EU members). About 170 countries are not EU members. This makes EU countries, not the rest, unusual.
"There are 30 households in my street. 28 of them are in the residents' association for the street. Only my household and my friend's household at the other end of the street have decided not to join. This might seem unusual, but have you considered there are 28 million households in the UK? Only 28 of them are in my street's resident's association, so I don't think we are outliers at all".
 
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