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South Wales 'Metro' updates

Gareth Marston

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Have you actually looked at a map?
Please tell me how you are going to get 2 tram tracks down here?
<iframe src="https://www.google.com/maps/embed?p...80!4f-19.528370143033996!5f0.7820865974627469" width="600" height="450" frameborder="0" style="border:0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
And tell us how you are going to give access to it?



Do you actually know where Cardiff Rhoose Airport is?

Definite crayon attack going on here, though I like his absolutely fanaticism that he thinks he can rip up a dual carriageway were still making paying PFI payments for. Anything goes as long as you get your "cheap to run" light rail system.
 
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Gareth Marston

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Solving them with HR means committing to spending lots of money in perpetuity on HR technology and staffing. A one-time investment means you can run the same services, or better, for less cost.

Can you provide any hard evidence to back up your cost claims? Such as official studies into the costs of the two modes? Vehement insisting is one thing but without any evidence......


Most of us suspect that it's because you can dumb down the network with fewer less well paid staff and keep the rolling stock costs downy by providing standing space not seats like Metrolink.Whilst this approach may work on new lines over realtively short distances where there was no or poor public transport previously there will be a tipping point of attractiveness on longer distance networks.

Given that ATW staff have been told recently by their MD that TfW are expecting the bidders to employ more not fewer staff the magic chimera of reduced staffing costs looks like a mirage.
 

Bletchleyite

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Given that ATW staff have been told recently by their MD that TfW are expecting the bidders to employ more not fewer staff the magic chimera of reduced staffing costs looks like a mirage.

It would seem fairly obvious that any LR network will not be operated by "ATW" or its successor, so that would seem irrelevant.
 

gareth950

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It would seem fairly obvious that any LR network will not be operated by "ATW" or its successor, so that would seem irrelevant.
The next operator of the Wales and Borders franchise will also be operating the Metro (what comes of it) and Core Valley lines. It is being let as a single integrated contract.
 
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Gareth Marston

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It would seem fairly obvious that any LR network will not be operated by "ATW" or its successor, so that would seem irrelevant.

Nope as gareth950 has said that is not so. The Welsh Government have made an agreement with the unions about no compulsory redundancies and this pledge has been repeated to ATW by TfW. No if your a train driver about 40 years old on a train drivers salary with mortgage and children just how big is that voluntary redundancy package going to have to be to persuade you to give up being a train driver or take - 50% pay cut to be one a light rail one? Retirement is not till your 67 and the goalposts could be moved again before then.

Spend an hour on Platform 6/7 at Cardiff Central and observe the train crew. Core Valley Lines will be keeping its current staff cost base for the forseeable future and with extra services promised that means more staff and more cost. In fact the WG have already spiked the one real day to day cost benefit that LR can provide.
 

Bletchleyite

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Nope as gareth950 has said that is not so. The Welsh Government have made an agreement with the unions about no compulsory redundancies and this pledge has been repeated to ATW by TfW. No if your a train driver about 40 years old on a train drivers salary with mortgage and children just how big is that voluntary redundancy package going to have to be to persuade you to give up being a train driver or take - 50% pay cut to be one a light rail one? Retirement is not till your 67 and the goalposts could be moved again before then.

Some will take early retirement. Some would take voluntary and do another job, say if they're bored of shiftwork, some because they want to go and drive shiny new trams instead. Some more could be transferred to other bits of ATW.

There is absolutely nothing saying they would have to carry on working on the Core Valley Lines, they simply need to keep their driver/guard job *on the railway* if they wish. If it's LR, it will be a standalone operating contract with its own staff who will be recruited from outside.
 

Dai Corner

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Nope as gareth950 has said that is not so. The Welsh Government have made an agreement with the unions about no compulsory redundancies and this pledge has been repeated to ATW by TfW. No if your a train driver about 40 years old on a train drivers salary with mortgage and children just how big is that voluntary redundancy package going to have to be to persuade you to give up being a train driver or take - 50% pay cut to be one a light rail one? Retirement is not till your 67 and the goalposts could be moved again before then.

Spend an hour on Platform 6/7 at Cardiff Central and observe the train crew. Core Valley Lines will be keeping its current staff cost base for the forseeable future and with extra services promised that means more staff and more cost. In fact the WG have already spiked the one real day to day cost benefit that LR can provide.

Providing secure, well-paid jobs is important to a Labour Government, of course. Pay cuts and compulsory redundancies are a no-no.
 

Chester1

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Nope as gareth950 has said that is not so. The Welsh Government have made an agreement with the unions about no compulsory redundancies and this pledge has been repeated to ATW by TfW. No if your a train driver about 40 years old on a train drivers salary with mortgage and children just how big is that voluntary redundancy package going to have to be to persuade you to give up being a train driver or take - 50% pay cut to be one a light rail one? Retirement is not till your 67 and the goalposts could be moved again before then.

Spend an hour on Platform 6/7 at Cardiff Central and observe the train crew. Core Valley Lines will be keeping its current staff cost base for the forseeable future and with extra services promised that means more staff and more cost. In fact the WG have already spiked the one real day to day cost benefit that LR can provide.

There is still room for de-skilling jobs and reducing wages through natural wastage and replacing the current pay grades for new staff. If light rail conversion goes ahead trams would either have no second person or a customer service person only while retain guards on all heavy rail services. New drivers could be recruited on a tram drivers pay grade with current drivers staying on a legacy pay grade and moving back to heavy rail services as Cardiff based drivers retire. Again, I don't support conversion as currently proposed but I can see staff costs dropping relative to number of passengers.
 

gareth950

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If it's LR, it will be a standalone operating contract with its own staff who will be recruited from outside.

Are we just shouting past each other now?

We've told you, the Core Valley lines and Wales & Borders franchise are being let as a single contract. A single contract. The Core Valley lines will not be it's own, standalone operating contract. The Welsh Govt considered this initially, but rejected this approach in favour of a single contract for the whole of Wales.
Please explain what part of that you don't understand. I have written it in English, not Welsh.
 

NotATrainspott

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Have you actually looked at a map?
Please tell me how you are going to get 2 tram tracks down here?
<iframe src="https://www.google.com/maps/embed?p...80!4f-19.528370143033996!5f0.7820865974627469" width="600" height="450" frameborder="0" style="border:0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
And tell us how you are going to give access to it?

Em, I have. Your embed doesn't work, so I can't see if you are looking at any bit in particular, but that road looks absolutely ideal for street running LR. Of course, it might involve a little more than just embedding the rails in the existing lanes, but it's still eminently feasible. Street running doesn't mean you have to share traffic lanes. You could have the two tram tracks directly adjacent and parallel to the road embedded in grass.

Do you actually know where Cardiff Rhoose Airport is?

Yes, I do. It has a shuttle bus to the vaguely nearby station serving the village of Rhoose, which has an hourly service on the Vale of Glamorgan line. That's really pushing the definition of an airport rail link. A shuttle can be acceptable, but it's only for an hourly service. That's really quite crap. The biggest improvement that would need to be made is higher frequency. Then, if possible, having a branch providing a station right outside of the airport. Thankfully the airport is located somewhere which makes it reasonably viable to have a rail link, as an otherwise standard suburban rail service can just be extended there rather than special services needing to be run. With LR, the cost of adding a branch to the airport terminal would be much lower than the equivalent HR branch, while the possible benefit would be pretty much the same.

Believe me, there is no more room for development in Cardiff. If anything, it is now starting to suffer from over-development at the expense of the surrounding areas.

You really don't understand how compact Cardiff as a a city is if you are suggesting LR will get passengers any closer to their destinations than the 3 main HR stations do.

There is plenty of room for development in Cardiff. When you've got semi- and post-industrial areas directly adjacent to the existing urban development, there's no problem. Sure, the bits which are currently busy might be effectively full, but there's space for the city centre to grow. That growth is good - it means more jobs and opportunities for Cardiff and for Wales. Good public transport will make those opportunities available to people living well beyond the city centre.

The Bay is the only place where LR could possibly make a difference. But as I have said, it would just be a duplicate of the frequent, high-end, high-capacity shuttle bus service that already exists, following the exact same route.

Here's the Bay Car. I doubt if a tram would provide a significantly better experience.

http://www.cardiffbay.co.uk/listings/the-baycar-cardiff-bay/

Wasn't one of those problems with a split network being the extra changes need to reach HR services at Central from the Valleys?

Why is a shuttle bus service from Central better than a direct service all the way from the Bay up to the places where people live? If Bay services are in addition to the ones already running via Central then no one is losing out. If you're headed for an HR destination, you get a service via Central. If you're heading for the Bay, you get one of them. If Cardiff city centre is so compact and walkable, then Queen Street will be fine and will see both services.

Providing a public transport system which is so low quality that it cannot attract new custom is penny-pinching, and counter-productive. If LR systems are so automatically wonderful, and so unbelievably cheap that super-duper provision is possible for all, can yiu explain why TfGM can't provide enough trams for passengers to get seats on an outbound tram at 9 on a Saturday?

Does ATW provide enough trains for passengers to get on an outbound train at 9 on a Saturday?

The plural of anecdote is not data. Metrolink provides more services. Sure, they're not going to always provide enough capacity, but they're moving far more people to begin with. The business case is made by the amount of people a system moves about, not some occasional problems about people being left to stand. If Metrolink meant that the existing number of passengers were having to stand, you would have a point, but it's not.

Give me strength ! No-one is asking fir the equivalent of the St Pancras chamoagne bar. Are you seriously suggesting that there is some good engineering reason why bus stop-type shelters cannot be provided on light rail platforms ? If so, that suggests that light rail systems are being built to excessively low standards.

I thought this was pretty easy to understand. If you're building a new stop in the middle of a street, then any space used to provide waiting shelters is space not available for pedestrians or other road users. There isn't unlimited space available in city centres. Out in the suburbs where there's plenty of space, there isn't so much of a problem. If LR takes over an HR station with pre-existing waiting rooms, there's no reason to knock it down.

For about the fourth time, can you please explain why these two things are mutually exclusive ?

They aren't mutually exclusive. But, having higher frequencies means people won't use the waiting rooms so much. You never have unlimited cash to spend on a scheme and money spent on under-used waiting rooms is money not able to be spent on things which actually make transport even better.

People will not switch to a public transport system which, despite being more expensive than heavy rail over equivalent distances, is so low spec that there is not even somewhere dry to wait.

To wait for less time than they probably spent walking to the stop. If you're going to have to wait 15 minutes, you'll want somewhere to sit down. If you're waiting for 3 minutes, you really don't care.

In an era of generally rising rail use ? Forgive me if I'm not particularly impressed. Where do you get these statistics from anyway ?

I got the figures from here. Did other lines see such massive increases in passenger numbers?

Those services can be provided without destroying the HR capabilities of the existing lines they branch off from. As has been pointed out to you approximately 1.3 million times, from the available evidence, the only olace where street running is planned is the city centre, where it would be pointless in terms of extending scope of service, and would lead to substantially reduced capacity and much worse journey times.

Haven't we heard that freight will continue to run on the Valleys after LR conversion? If so, then HR capability is going to be retained. Is there a truly compelling reason for HR passenger services to continue running?

What's the benefit of HR over LR running on segregated ex-HR lines? Having a toilet on board the train?

Can you provide any hard evidence to back up your cost claims? Such as official studies into the costs of the two modes? Vehement insisting is one thing but without any evidence......

Equally, where's the evidence that LR isn't cheaper than HR?

That study you want is very likely in the hands of some civil servants in Cardiff. There will be a business case document for LR conversion, which will set out each of the ways the upfront investment is justified.

Most of us suspect that it's because you can dumb down the network with fewer less well paid staff and keep the rolling stock costs downy by providing standing space not seats like Metrolink.Whilst this approach may work on new lines over realtively short distances where there was no or poor public transport previously there will be a tipping point of attractiveness on longer distance networks.

How do less well paid staff make the network less attractive?

People want frequency and convenience, because the railway has to work around the people's lives rather then people's lives around the railway. LR gives the railway much more flexibility to do that.

Given that ATW staff have been told recently by their MD that TfW are expecting the bidders to employ more not fewer staff the magic chimera of reduced staffing costs looks like a mirage.

What you're advocating is a system where there is no possibility of staffing cost savings whatsoever. How can you criticise LR for something your system can never do? If HR can't reduce costs, there's little reason to invest large sums of money into it. Capital investments are justified by the benefits they provide. If there aren't going to be as many benefits, then the capital investment isn't going to happen.
 

Gareth Marston

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Some will take early retirement. Some would take voluntary and do another job, say if they're bored of shiftwork, some because they want to go and drive shiny new trams instead. Some more could be transferred to other bits of ATW.

There is absolutely nothing saying they would have to carry on working on the Core Valley Lines, they simply need to keep their driver/guard job *on the railway* if they wish. If it's LR, it will be a standalone operating contract with its own staff who will be recruited from outside.

There is no separate company to run the LR system as is kept being explained.

South Wales isn't the South East of England - why do you think fares are so low? Traincrew even Conductor jobs are highly prized relatively well paid jobs there isn't a job market with similar skill/similar pay to transfer to. Hence natural wastage is low. I've seen enough voluntary schemes to know that only a few and then older employees will go for it - the last one in Welsh Government before i left would have been a years gross for someone with 10 years service if i had taken it. My colleagues were somewhat flabbergasted that I was brave enough to leave the secure well paid pension job I had and run my own business two years ago. The bulk of people that work for Welsh government earn less than £30K per annum but stay because its hard to replicate and secure even in Cardiff. Its not McDonalds in ATW or WG.

Sure a few near retirement might go but it will take years f not decades to get to the point you start seeing staff costs come down.
 

Dai Corner

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Why is a shuttle bus service from Central better than a direct service all the way from the Bay up to the places where people live? If Bay services are in addition to the ones already running via Central then no one is losing out. If you're headed for an HR destination, you get a service via Central. If you're heading for the Bay, you get one of them. If Cardiff city centre is so compact and walkable, then Queen Street will be fine and will see both services.

Sorry, you've lost me now. Passengers from the Bay for the Vale of Glamorgan or main line services can currently get the Bay Car bus to Central. Those for the Valleys can get the train and change at Queen Street. If desired, trains (or trams) could be run between the Bay and the Valleys. We were commenting on whether replacing the Bay Car with a tram would bring any significant advantages.
 

Llanigraham

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Em, I have. Your embed doesn't work, so I can't see if you are looking at any bit in particular, but that road looks absolutely ideal for street running LR. Of course, it might involve a little more than just embedding the rails in the existing lanes, but it's still eminently feasible. Street running doesn't mean you have to share traffic lanes. You could have the two tram tracks directly adjacent and parallel to the road embedded in grass.

You stated that tram lines could be put down the middle of Lloyd George Ave, but you quite obviously haven't looked at what it is like. My embedding might not have worked, but even you could have opened Googe Streetview to see. So you can see here is a link:
https://www.google.co.uk/maps/@51.4...284&pitch=0&thumbfov=100!7i13312!8i6656?hl=en
Now you have changed your idea and said they can be fitted in the existing road lanes or in the grass either side!. Do you have any idea how busy this road is, and yet you want to make it worse!
And you still haven't explained how you would get access to this road with your tramlines.

Yes, I do. It has a shuttle bus to the vaguely nearby station serving the village of Rhoose, which has an hourly service on the Vale of Glamorgan line. That's really pushing the definition of an airport rail link. A shuttle can be acceptable, but it's only for an hourly service. That's really quite crap. The biggest improvement that would need to be made is higher frequency. Then, if possible, having a branch providing a station right outside of the airport. Thankfully the airport is located somewhere which makes it reasonably viable to have a rail link, as an otherwise standard suburban rail service can just be extended there rather than special services needing to be run. With LR, the cost of adding a branch to the airport terminal would be much lower than the equivalent HR branch, while the possible benefit would be pretty much the same.

Wow!! You quite obviously haven't looked at a map (again)

There is plenty of room for development in Cardiff. When you've got semi- and post-industrial areas directly adjacent to the existing urban development, there's no problem. Sure, the bits which are currently busy might be effectively full, but there's space for the city centre to grow. That growth is good - it means more jobs and opportunities for Cardiff and for Wales. Good public transport will make those opportunities available to people living well beyond the city centre.

I would love to know where all this space is for development is, especially in the City Centre. Perhaps you would like to close the Coopers Field et all, as that is the only free space I know of?

I got the figures from here. Did other lines see such massive increases in passenger numbers?

That is 20 years old!!
 

Gareth Marston

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Equally, where's the evidence that LR isn't cheaper than HR?

That study you want is very likely in the hands of some civil servants in Cardiff. There will be a business case document for LR conversion, which will set out each of the ways the upfront investment is justified.

So Secret Squirrel in Cathays Park has it then? Then again "it" is just an unknown surmised document that may or may even not exist which you hope proves your theory which you have no certainty it even does and even in the form you hope it does.
 

Gareth Marston

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Sorry, you've lost me now. Passengers from the Bay for the Vale of Glamorgan or main line services can currently get the Bay Car bus to Central. Those for the Valleys can get the train and change at Queen Street. If desired, trains (or trams) could be run between the Bay and the Valleys. We were commenting on whether replacing the Bay Car with a tram would bring any significant advantages.

Id stick him on a train heading for the Valleys at Cardiff Central well never see or hear from him again he's
so hopelessly lost with the geography and reality of South Wales and Welsh Government.
 

Gareth Marston

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What you're advocating is a system where there is no possibility of staffing cost savings whatsoever. How can you criticise LR for something your system can never do? If HR can't reduce costs, there's little reason to invest large sums of money into it. Capital investments are justified by the benefits they provide. If there aren't going to be as many benefits, then the capital investment isn't going to happen.

Your chasing that profitable core again........presumably you want to close the rest of the Welsh rail network?

I was pointing out that the Welsh Government has not planned your idea of LR. The facts are that they appear to have opted for a LR system that is:
  1. not cross city bringing capacity and connectivity dis-benefits.
  2. has no extensions or possibility of them for years so does not spread out to benefit areas poorly served by public transport
  3. has the same staff costs if not greater than the HR system it replaces.
Have you phoned Carwyn Jones up to tell him that his people have got it wrong?
 

Dai Corner

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Id stick him on a train heading for the Valleys at Cardiff Central well never see or hear from him again he's
so hopelessly lost with the geography and reality of South Wales and Welsh Government.

:D

An understanding of the following terms is necessary to follow this thread. If anyone needs them to be explained please say so and we will.

The Valleys
The Vale of Glamorgan

Valley Lines
Core Valley Lines
City Line
Main Line
Cardiff Bay branch

Any more?
 

NotATrainspott

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There is no separate company to run the LR system as is kept being explained.

That being the case makes it even more likely that HR routes will be shifted over to LR. Under one contract, there's a fairly strong financial incentive for bidders to propose infrastructure changes with long-term benefits.

Sure a few near retirement might go but it will take years f not decades to get to the point you start seeing staff costs come down.

The alternative is that costs never come down. If you invest lots of money in HR, you'll see the costs pretty much stay the same at the end of those new assets' lifespans as they are today. With LR, the costs at the end will be lower. The business case for an investment like this runs for decades, not just months or years.

Sorry, you've lost me now. Passengers from the Bay for the Vale of Glamorgan or main line services can currently get the Bay Car bus to Central. Those for the Valleys can get the train and change at Queen Street. If desired, trains (or trams) could be run between the Bay and the Valleys. We were commenting on whether replacing the Bay Car with a tram would bring any significant advantages.

I'm not proposing replacing the Bay Car with a tram. I'm proposing that significant numbers of trains from the Valleys would start running down to the Bay, removing any need for a shuttle service in that direction. The Bay Car can stay around for the people who won't have a direct service. A direct service to the Bay will be far more attractive than any sort of interchange at Central or Queen Street onto a bus or tram.

You stated that tram lines could be put down the middle of Lloyd George Ave, but you quite obviously haven't looked at what it is like. My embedding might not have worked, but even you could have opened Googe Streetview to see. So you can see here is a link:
https://www.google.co.uk/maps/@51.4706357,-3.1684309,3a,75y,180h,90t/data=!3m7!1e1!3m5!1s2_qHfVXWnBKuFZxbobE9Xg!2e0!6s//geo0.ggpht.com/cbk?panoid=2_qHfVXWnBKuFZxbobE9Xg&output=thumbnail&cb_client=maps_sv.tactile.gps&thumb=2&w=203&h=100&yaw=207.24284&pitch=0&thumbfov=100!7i13312!8i6656?hl=en
Now you have changed your idea and said they can be fitted in the existing road lanes or in the grass either side!. Do you have any idea how busy this road is, and yet you want to make it worse!
And you still haven't explained how you would get access to this road with your tramlines.

Oh for goodness' sake. Is Lloyd George Avenue immediately ready for tram lines to be installed? No. Can it be fairly easily made to be? Yes. There are plenty of roads in various cities and towns which are not at all suitable for any sort of tram, and this avenue is not one of them. It is a wide modern boulevard able to be reconfigured to add two tram lines without needing to lose the existing traffic lanes. Whether those tram lines are best laid in a widened central reservation, or over to the side, would depend on detailed analysis. Would this choice make any meaningful difference? No.

Have you ever bothered to look at other modern street running systems? A road like this is a dream for a tram network designer. Sure, it might be busy at times, but it has the width needed to provide trams in addition to existing traffic and pedestrians. Having those trams will also lead to a reduction in road traffic.

Your chasing that profitable core again........presumably you want to close the rest of the Welsh rail network?

I was pointing out that the Welsh Government has not planned your idea of LR. The facts are that they appear to have opted for a LR system that is:
  1. not cross city bringing capacity and connectivity dis-benefits.
  2. has no extensions or possibility of them for years so does not spread out to benefit areas poorly served by public transport
  3. has the same staff costs if not greater than the HR system it replaces.
Have you phoned Carwyn Jones up to tell him that his people have got it wrong?

No I don't want to close the rest of the Welsh rail network.

You are wanting the government to spend many hundreds of millions, if not billions, of pounds on improving the network using HR technology. No government, of any political persuasion, has unlimited money. Transport is not the only thing that money can be spent on, and because there is limited money, it will have to compete against other funding priorities.

What you want is the government to spend a lot of money upfront to make the system better. That's a laudable aim, but what is the financial impact of that? Limiting yourself to HR means you're committing to high levels of subsidy in perpetuity. The scope for cost savings as a result of this investment would be very limited. Therefore, when the government is deciding where to spend its money, that scheme would have to compete with other schemes which have a better financial impact.

There is no business case, however, for closing down the network and seemingly stemming the losses. That's because the existence of the network is useful for the Welsh economy, and trying to save money by closing it would ultimately cost more. Therefore, that's not an option. The only remaining option though is that the bare minimum is done to keep the rail network chugging along - not closing it, but not spending any more money on it than is absolutely required. That's the only realistic HR alternative for the Valleys. Ken Skates wouldn't be lavishing the Valleys with lots of brand new CAF DMUs providing longer trains at higher frequencies. Even if new trains were provided, these would be about minimising costs and capacity would be deliberately stretched to the limit. New trains would be about minimising fleet size and maintenance requirements, not increasing capacity. Merseyrail is seeing exactly that right now as the new fleet is actually going to be smaller than the one it replaces. Yes, the trains are better, but the overall investment is only about keeping things going.

I'm not a Tory and I do know fine well that investments in public services can and will pay for themselves in the right circumstances. The lump of money idea is a nonsense for governments, since their spending decisions stimulate the economy and generate extra tax revenue. The truth of this fact does not mean that any and all public investments are going to pay for themselves. If you want that to happen, you need to work on minimising costs and maximising benefits. An LR system in the Valleys can provide a better service than today at lower cost. The upfront investment needed to get the ball rolling will end up paying itself back. That won't be true for a more expensive investment programme which can't do so much. On a regional suburban stopping railway, almost entirely separated from other heavy rail services, there is not an incredible amount that HR can actively do better than LR.
 

Dai Corner

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I'm not proposing replacing the Bay Car with a tram. I'm proposing that significant numbers of trains from the Valleys would start running down to the Bay, removing any need for a shuttle service in that direction. The Bay Car can stay around for the people who won't have a direct service. A direct service to the Bay will be far more attractive than any sort of interchange at Central or Queen Street onto a bus or tram.

So why in your very next paragraph are you saying how easy it would be to put tram lines in Lloyd George Avenue? This is the road the Bay Car uses to get to the Bay. Where would the trams you are proposing run to/from?

Trains (you do mean trains not trams?) from the Valleys to the Bay would be good idea if in addition to the ones to Central and the Vale.

Oh for goodness' sake. Is Lloyd George Avenue immediately ready for tram lines to be installed? No. Can it be fairly easily made to be? Yes. There are plenty of roads in various cities and towns which are not at all suitable for any sort of tram, and this avenue is not one of them. It is a wide modern boulevard able to be reconfigured to add two tram lines without needing to lose the existing traffic lanes. Whether those tram lines are best laid in a widened central reservation, or over to the side, would depend on detailed analysis. Would this choice make any meaningful difference? No.

By the way, do you know what's behind the fence to the right in the view Graham linked to?
 
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gareth950

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I'm not proposing replacing the Bay Car with a tram.

That's funny, because Cardiff Council are.

I'm proposing that significant numbers of trains from the Valleys would start running down to the Bay, removing any need for a shuttle service in that direction. The Bay Car can stay around for the people who won't have a direct service. A direct service to the Bay will be far more attractive than any sort of interchange at Central or Queen Street onto a bus or tram.

So you suddenly support the current cross-city running that already exists for commuters, eliminating the need for an interchange between Valleys, Vale of Glamorgan and City line services at Central station, as planned by TfW and Cardiff Council?

You are wanting the government to spend many hundreds of millions, if not billions, of pounds on improving the network using HR technology. No government, of any political persuasion, has unlimited money.

As we have said many times, Welsh Govt easily finds an unlimited pot of money for whatever expensive road schemes it decides to fund instead of improving public transport and rail infrastructure.
 

NotATrainspott

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So why in your very next paragraph are you saying how easy it would be to put tram lines in Lloyd George Avenue? This is the road the Bay Car uses to get to the Bay. Where would the trams you are proposing run to/from?

Trains (you do mean trains not trams?) from the Valleys to the Bay would be good idea if in addition to the ones to Central and the Vale.



By the way, do you know what's behind the fence to the right in the view Graham linked to?

I find it hard to understand why this isn't obvious. The Cardiff Bay branch should be much more radically converted to LR than any other part of the existing HR network. Right now it's a single-track line kept separate from anything else along the roads which run parallel. It acts as a hard barrier between Lloyd George Avenue and Bute Street with only a few crossings. This is not good for the area. Using the vast available width along the LGA corridor, the rebuilt Bay line would no longer act as a barrier. Either it would be rebuilt on the grass area and the avenue left pretty much as-is, or the avenue would be rebuilt with the northbound carriageway moved westwards and the tram lines put down the middle. Any tram line down LGA would entirely replace the existing HR Bay line. Even with the level difference between Bute Street and LGA there would be significant benefits from going to tram-standard LR. With that, you can have plenty of pedestrian links between the two streets.

That's funny, because Cardiff Council are.

The Bay Car is a shuttle. I don't want a shuttle. I want through running onto a tram standard Bay branch from the Valley line network. The Bay Car bus would probably continue to exist for the benefit of people not coming from the 'core Valley Line' direction - e.g. people from Newport or Swansea.

So you suddenly support the current cross-city running that already exists for commuters, eliminating the need for an interchange between Valleys, Vale of Glamorgan and City line services at Central station, as planned by TfW and Cardiff Council?

Did I ever say I opposed through-running? I thought you spent several pages criticising me for believing that through running would continue? Why would I expend all this energy if I didn't support through running? Do you think before you post?

Until such time as a concrete deliverable scheme is announced, I will continue to have good reason to believe these plans are preliminary. There is no way the BCR for a split network is superior to the BCR for a continued non-split one.

As we have said many times, Welsh Govt easily finds an unlimited pot of money for whatever expensive road schemes it decides to fund instead of improving public transport and rail infrastructure.

Road infrastructure is an odd one because we don't have tolls, and any new tolled projects have to content with non-tolled alternative routes.

They don't have an unlimited pot of money. If they did so, they would be putting this Newport second bypass in a tunnel. Road schemes can have very significant impacts on the economy. The challenge for public transport is that at this point in time, the economy of Wales is more dependent on private road travel than it is on rail and public transport. Sure, public transport investments will boost the economy, but quite possibly less so than road improvements. There has to be a balance between them.
 

Llanigraham

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I'm not proposing replacing the Bay Car with a tram. I'm proposing that significant numbers of trains from the Valleys would start running down to the Bay, removing any need for a shuttle service in that direction. The Bay Car can stay around for the people who won't have a direct service. A direct service to the Bay will be far more attractive than any sort of interchange at Central or Queen Street onto a bus or tram.
Really?
Perhaps you should reread what you have actually said in other posts!

Oh for goodness' sake. Is Lloyd George Avenue immediately ready for tram lines to be installed? No. Can it be fairly easily made to be? Yes. There are plenty of roads in various cities and towns which are not at all suitable for any sort of tram, and this avenue is not one of them. It is a wide modern boulevard able to be reconfigured to add two tram lines without needing to lose the existing traffic lanes. Whether those tram lines are best laid in a widened central reservation, or over to the side, would depend on detailed analysis. Would this choice make any meaningful difference? No.
Which goes to prove that your "expertise" only goes as far as being able to look at Google Streetview and that you actually have NO experience of what Cardiff is like and have NEVER actually been down The Bay or along the road in question. I also doubt you have any experience of building any street running system, or the planning or engineering requirements.
And you have again failed to answer the question I have now asked twice; how do you propose getting your "system" from the heavy rail line at Quenns St Station towards Lloyd George Ave, etc?

Have you ever bothered to look at other modern street running systems? A road like this is a dream for a tram network designer. Sure, it might be busy at times, but it has the width needed to provide trams in addition to existing traffic and pedestrians. Having those trams will also lead to a reduction in road traffic.
Yes I have, both here in the UK and in Europe.
See my comments above.

No I don't want to close the rest of the Welsh rail network.
Are you sure?

Have you ever been to Cardiff?
What qualifies do you hold to make you such an "expert" on light rail system?
 

Llanigraham

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I find it hard to understand why this isn't obvious. The Cardiff Bay branch should be much more radically converted to LR than any other part of the existing HR network. Right now it's a single-track line kept separate from anything else along the roads which run parallel. It acts as a hard barrier between Lloyd George Avenue and Bute Street with only a few crossings. This is not good for the area. Using the vast available width along the LGA corridor, the rebuilt Bay line would no longer act as a barrier. Either it would be rebuilt on the grass area and the avenue left pretty much as-is, or the avenue would be rebuilt with the northbound carriageway moved westwards and the tram lines put down the middle. Any tram line down LGA would entirely replace the existing HR Bay line. Even with the level difference between Bute Street and LGA there would be significant benefits from going to tram-standard LR. With that, you can have plenty of pedestrian links between the two streets.
What????
That proves that you know nothing about the area, and have done no research about this part of Cardiff, other than looking at a map!

The Bay Car is a shuttle. I don't want a shuttle. I want through running onto a tram standard Bay branch from the Valley line network. The Bay Car bus would probably continue to exist for the benefit of people not coming from the 'core Valley Line' direction - e.g. people from Newport or Swansea.
Make up your mind!

They don't have an unlimited pot of money. If they did so, they would be putting this Newport second bypass in a tunnel. Road schemes can have very significant impacts on the economy. The challenge for public transport is that at this point in time, the economy of Wales is more dependent on private road travel than it is on rail and public transport. Sure, public transport investments will boost the economy, but quite possibly less so than road improvements. There has to be a balance between them.
And where is the mystical tunnel supposed to be?
Have you looked at a map?

Quite honestly, I'm beginning to to think you've never even been to Wales!
 

Dai Corner

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I find it hard to understand why this isn't obvious. The Cardiff Bay branch should be much more radically converted to LR than any other part of the existing HR network. Right now it's a single-track line kept separate from anything else along the roads which run parallel. It acts as a hard barrier between Lloyd George Avenue and Bute Street with only a few crossings. This is not good for the area. Using the vast available width along the LGA corridor, the rebuilt Bay line would no longer act as a barrier. Either it would be rebuilt on the grass area and the avenue left pretty much as-is, or the avenue would be rebuilt with the northbound carriageway moved westwards and the tram lines put down the middle. Any tram line down LGA would entirely replace the existing HR Bay line. Even with the level difference between Bute Street and LGA there would be significant benefits from going to tram-standard LR. With that, you can have plenty of pedestrian links between the two streets.

So now you've discovered a bit more about Cardiff's geography you want to run trams rather than trains from Queen Street to the Bay, abandoning the existing alignment and spending a good chunk of the money available on a new one a few yards away just so a different set of passengers need to change at Queen Street? Far more continue to Central than change for the Bay.

You really ought to spend a few days in South Wales getting to know the area and its public transport.
 

NotATrainspott

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Really?
Perhaps you should reread what you have actually said in other posts!

Can you provide a full quote demonstrating that I have contradicted myself?

Running new through services means many people will no longer need the Baycar. Will it still run? Yes. It isn't replaced; it is augmented. If someone really wants to, they could get a tram from the Valleys down to Central and then switch to the Baycar. I don't know why they would, but they could.

I have never advocated removing existing transport options. I believe the system will end up only adding to them. At worst, there may be some swapping of branches either side of Cardiff but these are liable to happen for timetabling reasons alone with any HR system.

Which goes to prove that your "expertise" only goes as far as being able to look at Google Streetview and that you actually have NO experience of what Cardiff is like and have NEVER actually been down The Bay or along the road in question. I also doubt you have any experience of building any street running system, or the planning or engineering requirements.

Do you? If so, what massive technical barriers do you see in your professional opinion?

And you have again failed to answer the question I have now asked twice; how do you propose getting your "system" from the heavy rail line at Quenns St Station towards Lloyd George Ave, etc?

With a ramp. I didn't bother answering the question because it seems far too trivial to warrant a response. When the Bay branch is closed for LR conversion, some construction workers with earth-moving machinery and demolition kit can adjust the embankment south of Herbert Street so that the tracks descend down to street level. This is no different to what happened in Oldham, where the railway bridge over Oldham Way was demolished and replaced with a level crossing. On either side, the railway alignment was adjusted so that trams were at 0m above street level rather than 4-5m. This was made easy by the large range of permitted gradients allowed by LR standards.
 

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