Plenty of people on here are convinced that they will - furthermore, most of those expressing doubt are either Guards themselves or Drivers.
Perhaps saying something about the factual cost case for DOO would be better than trying to assert that because those skeptical of the cost case are railway staff they must be wrong
Yes more revenue may be collected by staff getting paid less .But given that the average fare on northern is £2.50 how much more is going to be raised is debatable
The people driving the trains be getting paid more as they are taking on more responsibility , the dispatchers dispatching the trains will want more and the number of stations that need dispatchers will increase
How much less revenue staff will get is not massive RPI's at northern are already paid reasonably well anyway . and unless you want revenue to decrease all trains will have to run with them meaning trains will go from having 2 traincrew to having 2 traincrew but with different responsibilities .
In order to comply with the provisions of the DDA either all stations will have to be manned or all trains will have to carry this revenue inspector in order to deploy the ramp to allow for disabled passengers to board and alight . Unless you want the driver to be doing this which will lead to untold delays .
Cost savings:
RPI's checking tickets, on much lower wages than Guards.
Less delays (DOO is quicker as "some" Guards do not always get to the doors in time).
Increased revenue protection as an RPI can concentrate entirely on revenue without having to worry about the doors.
Cost increases:
Installation and maintenance of DOO equipment
Paying Drivers more money to add Station Door duties into the job
I'm really not sure what the costs are involved on each side and I'm unsure if there really is much of a saving.
You need to separate the things like installation and maintenance of DOO equipment which will be costs bourne by network rail from things like the drivers salaries and that which are operating costs for the franchise
The DFT wants to reduce the amount of subsidy it gives to the TOC that is awarded the next northern franchise .
The key to this is reducing the operating costs of the franchise so that the DFT can withdraw subsidy and the TOC can still maintain its profit margin .
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Their is no guarantee that any guards wanting drivers jobs will get them, even if they pass the relevant testing. With the wages now being paid TOCs can afford to be very choosy when it comes to hiring staff, this is becoming very apparent up here in Scotland where very few guards these days are picked to go forward for testing.
As an aside and just to add another little slant into the debate isn't it the case that any new DOO schemes must use stock fitted with bodyside cameras? Not sure where I've heard this but Scotrail were supposed to be retrofitting their class 318 and 320 stock with them although I've heard this has been put off for the foreseeable future due to issues installing them.
It wasnt me that said that about guards going to drivers , i just didnt quote Beveridges properly .