OL, I have noted from your early posts that you are a dyed-in-the-wool railwayman which is fine, but it seems to have robbed you of the ability to see the 'big picture' outside the rail industry.
Nope. I've only worked on the railways for only the last nine years at the age of 31. I have worked before that in various sectors that had nothing to do with the railways. I am perfectly well aware of the wider picture.
The railway IS a business whether you want it to be or not. It's never going to make a profit, but that doesn't stop it being a business. The payback from a railway isn't to be found in the fare box, but as you say in its enabling the country to function effectively by providing an efficient transport system. That doesn't mean it's immune from pressure to improve efficiency; probably the reverse! It's funded by the taxpayer and these days public money is in very short supply, so there is great pressure on rail to reduce costs.
I don't disagree with your broad point. What I disagree with is that savings must be made at any cost, even at the expense of a reduction in safety. I also happen to believe that the DfT is going about this in the wrong way because one of the inevitable consequences of reducing staff numbers is that revenue will be depressed.
One way of reducing costs is do what BR did - shut lines, implement single-tracking, take out junctions and signalling.
Strange to say, but there is an element of that going on. Planned upgrades are shelved or their scopes cut back and the signalling function is being increasingly centralised into regional control centres.
A better way is to take out cost in the form of expensive practices. As I said, I've no idea if non-DOO is an expensive practice but if it is, and if it's been proved the railway can work perfectly OK with DOO, then DOO will inevitably be implemented. Why wouldn't it be?
The problem is, as has been argued already, DOO will not produce the savings desired. McNulty made an erroneous assumption which is that revenue would remain constant, but experience shows that it doesn't. If revenue is to be safeguarded, never mind maximised, you need to have staff to enforce ticketing regulations. So you inevitably move to the Strathclyde model where you replace trains operated by two members of staff with, um, trains operated by two members of staff.
We have an amazingly safe railway with no pax fatalities for several years. And one might note that the last one (Grayrigg) was on a non-DOO train.
That's not correct. Four passengers died during 2013/14, all in separate incidents on stations. At least one of these four happened at a staffed station (East Croydon) and was not struck by a train but died later of his injuries. Two of them appear to have happened at unstaffed stations and the persons involved
were struck by trains (
RSSB report). Could it be argued from these stats (hard data) that the removal of staff from stations has had a negative impact on passenger safety.
As to Grayrigg, the service may not have been DOO but the presence of a guard meant that the alert could be raised with Virgin control, information could be provided to the emergency services and assistance rendered to the passengers. The driver of the train had been seriously injured and knocked unconscious for a while.
Full accident report.
O L Leigh