The Problem is that the Portsmouth/ Southampton services dont justify more coaches after Horsham and in an idea world would be non stop from Gatwick to East Croydon. Unfortunately that would introduce a conflicting move to the fast lines at Three Bridges that would reduce capacity.
Its still not clear how the new Thameslink services are going to be accommodated on BML without considerable infrastructure expenditure especially since the coastway services have been pulled from Thameslink.
Really? The times I've used this service, the front portion that is first stop Barnham always seemed quite full. There even used to be a couple of weekend services down the Arun Valley booked 12 377, although I think this has now stopped.
Excuse me while I drag this thread off topic (sorry!)
As someone who uses these services daily I can say that its quite variable the use they get.
I think the main places being travelled to assuming you are going south from Horsham are Bognor and Chichester, with decent amounts also going to Havant (people working in East Croydon or West End, ticket prices also tend to be more competitive than SWT into Waterloo).
4 coaches is
usually enough for the fast portion south of Horsham, I can't comment on the rear 8 (peak) as I'm not usually in it but it strikes me that almost anyone going to Bognor travells in the fast portion then changes at Barnham onto a shuttle (must only save 5-10 mins but everyone seems to do it) so I have to question what are the eight coaches into Bognor carrying. Is it simply a case of needing 12 coaches as far as Horsham and then having to do something with the rest?
Although I'm not sure if it would work I actually thought the 442s might be nice for the Arun Valley services. They are meant to be comfortable (although I'm yet to ride them I would love 2+2 throughout on the 377s) and I thought 5+5 splitting at Horsham would better match the capacity requirements than the 4fast 8slow at present.
The service I usually catch in the mornings is usually rammed but thats because it runs 4 coaches all the way to 3 bridges, its usually almost full after just Chichester and Barnham, so you can imagine after Horsham and Crawley it's getting pretty busy.
Now to get back on topic:
I've long been in favour of scrapping the Gatwick Express. There always seem to be statements about making things "clear" for airport users. But surely a nice big "Next Train to Gatwick" or "Next Train to London Victoria" & "Next Train to London Bridge" would be clear enough. They could also use one of those at East Croydon though (perhaps I'm about to counter my own argument). I'm forever getting asked by tourists (I'm not sure why there are tourists in Croydon) at ECR where they can catch a train to Gatwick, and they seem bemused when I tell them they need to catch a train to Brighton. (Why they ask me I have no idea, It's usually on platform 6 when I'm waiting for my Tattenham Corner train). Edit - because I'm just that bored I've produced an example of what they could really use at many points around East Croydon complete with example sponsor to reduce cost and with the service that I am forever directing people onto. Please note I have absolutely no design skills whatsoever, just an example of what I think could be used if all the Gatwick Express services were scrapped.
http://img594.imageshack.us/img594/1572/gatwick.png
The most important question is - how good would the 442s look in Southern Livery!