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Northern Rail Stock Shortage Problems

Should Northern Rail Get Priorty Over New Unit Stock ?

  • Yes

    Votes: 82 71.3%
  • No

    Votes: 33 28.7%

  • Total voters
    115
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northwichcat

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There needs to be planning for a mixture of 2, 3, 4 and 6 car formations. The Buxton line, for instance, will need to go up to 6 car on some peak services but most off-peak services can remain as 2 car. I believe platform lengthening at the 4 car platforms on the Buxton line is already being looked at.

3 car 172s with a pair of 2 car DMUs on the busiest services and when special events are on would be ideal for the Mid-Cheshire line.
 
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tbtc

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A Question :o

When the Northern Rail franchise is up in 2014 will the new contact have to include new rolling stock ?

Also with passgener numbers sky high on Northern should all stock after 2014 be a 3 car unit to cope with demand ?

Nobody knows.

I'm not seeing much encouragement in the idea of brand new DMUs being ordered (anywhere) - the next franchise will be seeing EMUs replace DMUs on some Northern lines though which will free up some units. Don't get your hopes up.
 

Greybeard33

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There needs to be planning for a mixture of 2, 3, 4 and 6 car formations. The Buxton line, for instance, will need to go up to 6 car on some peak services but most off-peak services can remain as 2 car. I believe platform lengthening at the 4 car platforms on the Buxton line is already being looked at.

3 car 172s with a pair of 2 car DMUs on the busiest services and when special events are on would be ideal for the Mid-Cheshire line.
I doubt that 3*23m carriages can be justified for off-peak services that currently (before the schoolkids peak) have empty seats even when operated by a 142! Off-peak, 3-car 323s are really unnecessarily large for the Manchester to Crewe, Stoke and Glossop services, and remember that the incremental costs (fuel and maintenance) of running an extra carriage in a DMU are greater than in an EMU.

For most of the lines that are unlikely to be electrified, I would have thought that 172/2s (with end gangways) would give more flexibility to adjust capacity to match demand, and to carry out maintenance outside the peak.
 

northwichcat

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I doubt that 3*23m carriages can be justified for off-peak services that currently (before the schoolkids peak) have empty seats even when operated by a 142!

For most of the lines that are unlikely to be electrified, I would have thought that 172/2s (with end gangways) would give more flexibility to adjust capacity to match demand, and to carry out maintenance outside the peak.

Don't forget about new accessible units having less room for seats than older non-accessible units.

A 2 car 156 has around 150 seats. A 2 car 172 has 116 seats, a 3 car 172 has 188 seats. (A pair of 2 car 172s have 232 seats. )

There's only really the one daily service on the Mid-Cheshire line where 188 seats would be a bit light, so I would imagine there would be more waste in doubling up 2 car units for services with say 170 passengers than using 3 car units on some diagrams all day.

Although, this does depend on service frequency enhancements. If the additional Greenbank-Stockport off-peak service goes ahead then 2 car units would make more sense, with peak time strengthening on a couple of diagrams.

3-car 323s are really unnecessarily large for the Manchester to Crewe, Stoke and Glossop services

Don't forget 3+2 seating and 23m carriages is very rare due to wider 23m carriages causing potential clearance issues. I think the 323s probably have the highest density seating out of all the trains currently on the UK network.
 
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Greybeard33

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Don't forget about new accessible units having less room for seats than older non-accessible units.

A 2 car 156 has around 150 seats. A 2 car 172 has 116 seats, a 3 car 172 has 188 seats. (A pair of 2 car 172s have 232 seats. )
So presumably after accessibility modifications a 156 will be reduced to a similar number of seats to a 172/2? And a 150 maybe have fewer still?

This does beg the question as to whether it is really sensible, taking the long term view, to invest in refurbishment of 30+ year old trains that will probably not provide sufficient capacity, compared with wholesale replacement of the Sprinter and Pacer fleets by new, accessible trains. A large new build order would reduce unit cost, and fleet standardisation would reduce operating costs. Comfortable new trains with adequate capacity would help grow passenger revenue, particularly off-peak, and so might eventually enable a reduction in subsidies.
 

Haydn1971

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Nobody knows.

I strongly suspect someone on here does know what's being prepared, just as I as a road designer know things that aren't in the public domain... Yet !

I'm not seeing much encouragement in the idea of brand new DMUs being ordered (anywhere) - the next franchise will be seeing EMUs replace DMUs on some Northern lines though which will free up some units. Don't get your hopes up.

Whilst refurbishment will extend the life of some cascaded DMU's from the 80's, even the electrification of some routes won't provide enough DMU's for the growth anticipated. Reading through the 2011 RUS for Passenger Rolling Stock, there appears to be a logical line to establish a long term UK based manufacturing base to replace 150 units each year, however, putting aside the 125/225/IEP units, there are about 11,000 E/DMU carriages, assuming a 35 year life span, simplistically speaking, that's 315 new units per year required to maintain current levels.

Whilst I recognise complications over some units being replaced with higher capacities for inner urban operations, there appears to be a obvious need for a long term framework E/DMU production. Taking into consideration, growth, the need to change the operation type of existing units, there is a need now to establish a manufacturing base for at least 300 new carriages a year and a refurbishment base for at least 150 carriages a year, with consideration of pushing unit life past 30-35 years into a 40-45 year timeframe with a complete refurbishment halfway through that period (not just paint and new seats).

Do we have that capability now ? Nope.
 

sprinterguy

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I doubt that 3*23m carriages can be justified for off-peak services that currently (before the schoolkids peak) have empty seats even when operated by a 142!
You don't think so?

I can see a great many similarities between Northern's local network in the North West and Birmingham's Snow Hill lines, for which 3-car and 2-car (Commonly operating in pairs as 4-car trains during the week, and then singly at weekends) class 172s seem to be perfect: Many of the routes in both cases are medium distance and part rural, part urban in nature, with a high density commuter traffic through the core at peak times, as well as a healthy leisure traffic drawn to the principal city at off-peak times.

Northern operate trains that are very similar in capacity, and in some cases, in consist, to the class 150 formations that previously plied their trade on the Snow Hill lines before the 172s took over. Indeed, GMPTE used to have a fleet of 3-car "hybrid" 150s just as Central Trains did more recently.

I can see an awful lot of similarity in particular between the Stratford-upon-Avon route and the Buxton branch, and the 3-car class 172/3s are the regular traction on the Stratford services with 4-car class 172/2 formations used on the more urban services that terminate at Whitlocks End which would be equivalent to the Hazel Grove terminating services, although in the latter case these of course will soon be formed of EMUs.

In short, a mix of 2 and 3-car class 172s seem perfect to me for Northern's services radiating fro Manchester, allowing the flexibility to form up any train length between two and six carriages using units singularly or in pairs.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Not quite. A 156 won't need to be fitted with 8 sets of double doors to comply, which is what a 172 has.
Additionally, the class 156s are already fitted with toilets that are disabled accessible, although perhaps not to the extent that the 2020 regulations will require, and have large luggage areas, so any physical modifications that need to be made to accommodate the 2020 regulations are unlikely to encroach on the existing passenger saloon space. The bigger changes to the class 156s to comply with DDA regulations is likely to be in terms of things like the PIS displays and the vestibules I would have thought.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
So presumably after accessibility modifications a 156 will be reduced to a similar number of seats to a 172/2? And a 150 maybe have fewer still?
Aren't the ex-FNW 150s already "semi-compatible" with the 2020 DDA regulations, in that they are fitted with the larger toilet already, but lack other necessary features such as the passenger information screens? If so, the capacity of the 150s, if fully refurbished to be DDA compliant, shouldn't fall far below this level, which is a capacity of 124 on the 150/1s.
 
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northwichcat

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Additionally, the class 156s are already fitted with toilets that are disabled accessible, although perhaps not to the extent that the 2020 regulations will require, and have large luggage areas, so any physical modifications that need to be made to accommodate the 2020 regulations are unlikely to encroach on the existing passenger saloon space.

If you see them on some of the weekend Liverpool-Manchester Airport services they don't look like they've got a lot of luggage space by the time there's a lot of luggage on board.

Aren't the ex-FNW 150s already "semi-compatible" with the 2020 DDA regulations, in that they are fitted with the larger toilet already, but lack other necessary features such as the passenger information screens? If so, the capacity of the 150s, if fully refurbished to be DDA compliant, shouldn't fall far below this level, which is a capacity of 124 on the 150/1s.

They were refitted around the same time as the c2c 357's were built and given the same type of seating as the 357s. I've not seen the 357s toilets so don't know if they match.

The strange thing is though, the cheaper complaint upgrade of the door open/close buttons didn't happen.

What would be difficult though is to put visual PIS on those refurbished 150s and to have it where it can be seen from any seat without fitting loads of them.
 

AndyLandy

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It seems that the nail has already been largely hit on the head.

It's not necessarily "new" trains that Northern need, it's more and cleaner trains, and an appropriate refurbishment/maintenance cycle to go with them. As has been observed by many folks elsewhere, Northern was leased on a 0% growth franchise, but has clearly seen much, much more than that. The forthcoming electrification schemes will help, but I doubt that'll be enough.

I think it's highly unlikely that electrification will displace all the Pacers, never mind the Sprinters. Instinctively, it seems to me that making the Sprinter fleets accessible is likely to be much more cost-effective than the Pacers and we should ideally be aiming to keep the Sprinters in service until about 2025, possibly even 2030.

I suspect there's merit to procuring a "Pacer 2" type train. (I wrote something about this in another thread, but in summary, a cheap-n-cheerful 75mph DMU) and probably sooner, rather than later. I'd use it on low-capacity routes that aren't likely to be electrified any time soon, and I'd run 150s and 156s in 4-car formations on busier routes which will eventually be electrified.

The other curious advantage to buying new DMUs now, rather than in 10 years, is that they'll be life-expired that bit sooner, hopefully more in-line with future electrification schemes.
 

northwichcat

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It's not necessarily "new" trains that Northern need, it's more and cleaner trains, and an appropriate refurbishment/maintenance cycle to go with them.

I actually think the problem arise because Northern have been the TOC that get the spare units after new orders elsewhere so they've been getting trains that aren't necessarily that well suited to the services they are running.

Since 2004:
* TPE got new 185s and some cascaded 170s.
* The 158s from TPE got cascaded to Northern, CT, Scotrail, FGW and SWT. Although, all but Scotrail and SWT lost 158s as well as gaining them.

Then later on:
* New 172s for LM, LO and Chiltern. Leaving cascaded 150s for Northern and FGW.

If instead of that the following had happened:
* TPE take on the Northern 158s alongside their existing 158s and fully refurbish them like EMT/ATW/Scotrail have done.
* Northern get a new order of 172s as 158 replacement and extra capacity.

Then later on:
* SWT 170s go to Chiltern for extra capacity.
* The FGW 158s go to SWT.
* The FGW 150s go to LM for extra capacity.
* Order of 172s for Northern and FGW. FGW get more 172s than the number of Sprinters they've lost. (Whether or not LO get 172s or not doesn't really make much difference.)

Then I think various operators would have finished up with better suited fleets. Yes LM wouldn't have got sparkly new units but I think the all round benefits would have been greater.
 

AndyLandy

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I actually think the problem arise because Northern have been the TOC that get the spare units after new orders elsewhere so they've been getting trains that aren't necessarily that well suited to the services they are running.

Whilst I would agree that better stock orders would most likely have been beneficial to the Northern franchise, I still feel that it's the overall number of units (or specifically, the lack thereof) that has lead to the biggest objections around the franchise.

I also wonder if some investment in the actual lines and infrastructure isn't well overdue. It still surprises me just how long it takes to get anywhere on the Mid-Cheshire Railway. It's nearly 90 minutes, end to end. If you're travelling between the two cities, the Arriva service does it in about an hour, even using Virgin via Crewe is less than 90 minutes. Admittedly, there are a lot of station calls on the MCR, but the service always feels particularly slow to me.
 

tbtc

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Whilst I would agree that better stock orders would most likely have been beneficial to the Northern franchise, I still feel that it's the overall number of units (or specifically, the lack thereof) that has lead to the biggest objections around the franchise

That's the main thing.

In a way it's better for Northern to get bigger fleets of certain train types (142, 150, 156, 158) over the last few years like they have done than introducing a small fleet of non-standard DMUs - two dozen 172s on LM makes sense because that's roughly the PVR of the of the Snow Hill lines, but Northern's wide reaching services and interworking means it'd be a drop in the ocean.
 

northwichcat

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I also wonder if some investment in the actual lines and infrastructure isn't well overdue. It still surprises me just how long it takes to get anywhere on the Mid-Cheshire Railway. It's nearly 90 minutes, end to end. If you're travelling between the two cities, the Arriva service does it in about an hour, even using Virgin via Crewe is less than 90 minutes. Admittedly, there are a lot of station calls on the MCR, but the service always feels particularly slow to me.

That's mainly due to the train having to go via Stockport because the Sale line was converted to Metrolink. Prior to Metrolink conversion Chester to Manchester Oxford Road via Altrincham was possible in 70 minutes on a train that did all stops between Chester and Altrincham and called at Sale between Altrincham and Manchester Oxford Road. (EMU stoppers also running between Altrincham and Manchester.)

The Stockport diversion slowed down the service by around 10 minutes. Add on 5 minutes for the extra 'recovery time' since privatisation and 3 minutes due to pathing difficulties following Virgin introducing VHF and you're looking at around a 20 minute extension.

The Leftwich viaduct could have it's speed raised from 20mph to 50mph without any track work being done what-so-ever but only for Sprinters and 175s, not for Pacers. I don't know if something similar might apply on the very curvy Deansgate Junction to Skelton Junction.

The local RUA are actually concerned about it not being possible to run the busier services to time now that passenger numbers have increased. Although, replacing 75mph class 142s and 150s with 100mph class 172s (also with better acceleration, longer carriages and wider doors) would probably eliminate that problem.
 

swt_passenger

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The original DfT rolling stock plan clearly did have Northern introducing new diesel units, and their existing stock being consolidated towards other areas such as FGW.

Somewhere along the line this changed and LM became the sole 'lead TOC' for new DMUs - without searching I guess this was a direct result of the Labour government's eventual electrification u-turn...
 

tbtc

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The original DfT rolling stock plan clearly did have Northern introducing new diesel units, and their existing stock being consolidated towards other areas such as FGW.

Somewhere along the line this changed and LM became the sole 'lead TOC' for new DMUs - without searching I guess this was a direct result of the Labour government's eventual electrification u-turn...

Whilst I can see the logic in having a "lead TOC" for getting new trains, I wonder how Go Ahead manage to get such a good deal from the Government in that both LM (mainly diesel) and Southern (electric) have this role?
 

northwichcat

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The original DfT rolling stock plan clearly did have Northern introducing new diesel units, and their existing stock being consolidated towards other areas such as FGW.

Somewhere along the line this changed and LM became the sole 'lead TOC' for new DMUs - without searching I guess this was a direct result of the Labour government's eventual electrification u-turn...

I don't quite follow.

A rolling stock plan did include extra DMUs Northern, TPE and FGW. There was an order proposed for 200-300 new diesel carriages which were proposed to run the Cardiff-Portsmouth route, an additional Manchester-York service and the rest for TBC Northern routes. The rolling stock plan also stated Northern would get the 8 x LO class 150s and the LM class 150s would be split between Northern and FGW.

FGW weren't expected to get any units off Northern permanently. Although they did temporarily get class 158s that had been secured for Northern and 142s that had been used by Northern but had been put in to storage.

The 200+ DMU order was cancelled following the previous governments' review in to rolling stock and realising if they placed a new Thameslink order they'd have over 300 EMU carriages to find new homes for, so they proposed electrification programs to replace that DMU order - with an expected 2 year delay for additional capacity as the new DMUs were scheduled to be in service in 2012 and the replacement option for cascaded EMUs in 2014.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Whilst I can see the logic in having a "lead TOC" for getting new trains, I wonder how Go Ahead manage to get such a good deal from the Government in that both LM (mainly diesel) and Southern (electric) have this role?

I wonder if the proposed Northern/TPE/FGW order had gone ahead and it had been 172s that had been ordered whether TPE and FGW might have actually got cascaded 170s instead with LM getting the 172s.
 

AndyLandy

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That's the main thing.

In a way it's better for Northern to get bigger fleets of certain train types (142, 150, 156, 158) over the last few years like they have done than introducing a small fleet of non-standard DMUs - two dozen 172s on LM makes sense because that's roughly the PVR of the of the Snow Hill lines, but Northern's wide reaching services and interworking means it'd be a drop in the ocean.

I quite agree. Given the wide-ranging and diverse nature of Northern services, I actually wonder if small fleets of new trains for it would actually be counter-productive. If instead, we look to procure newer trains on other services and cascade Sprinter (and possibly Pacer) stock to Northern, they'll simply grow their existing fleets.

I still think there's a case to be made for replacing the 158/9s on the Exeter-Waterloo service and cascading the Express Sprinters for redeployment elsewhere.
 

tbtc

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I quite agree. Given the wide-ranging and diverse nature of Northern services, I actually wonder if small fleets of new trains for it would actually be counter-productive. If instead, we look to procure newer trains on other services and cascade Sprinter (and possibly Pacer) stock to Northern, they'll simply grow their existing fleets.

I still think there's a case to be made for replacing the 158/9s on the Exeter-Waterloo service and cascading the Express Sprinters for redeployment elsewhere.

The only small fleet of non-standard (i.e. new) DMUs that would make sense for Northern would be something to replace the 142s and 156s at Heaton (i.e. Newcastle, Middlesbrough, Whitby, Carlisle, Chathill services)...

...the 142s and 156s could then move south onto the Lancashire/ Yorkshire services...

...BUT the 142 fleet there includes a dozen or so that are used mainly in South Yorkshire (and are sent back to Newcastle every week or two for maintenance as there's not enough room at Nevile Hill in Leeds to look after them), so you'd need to find a way round that.

Maybe when the MML is wired up and the EMT HSTs are no longer looked after in Leeds there'll be space for the Sheffield Pacers to be looked after at Neville Hill (instead of at Heaton)?

Clutching at straws here, I admit - there's just little point in giving Northern yet another tiny class of DMUs to look after)
 

Haydn1971

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A few things spring to mind;
- TransPennine and Northern both end in 2014
- Manchester-Huddersfield-Leeds gets electrified soon
- Northern run a express service from Nottingham to Leeds
- PTE's & ITA's are pushing towards more influence on local rail
- Central localism agenda

Logic suggests that the two franchises are split into a "Northern Express" and a "Northern Metro" where the latter has more integration with the PTE's/ITA's on timetables, levels of service, rolling stock funded through LTP/LSTF/Transport Funds and the express services ran like a traditional TOC taking onboard the express routes ran by Northern and removing the "is this the fast or slow train" questions that are always asked each night coming out of Leeds - metro is slow and local, express is fast and regional.

TPE will have half a fleet of DMU's spare once the Leeds-Manchester route is electrified, some will be required for the spurs to Hull, Scarborough ect, but what about the rest ? Pushing some to the "Northern Express" Nottingham-Chesterfield-Sheffield-Barnsley-Leeds route makes sense, extended to York (or Scarborough) via Harrogate perhaps ? Lincoln-Doncaster-Wakefield-Leeds-Bradford-Halifax-Preston maybe ? Middlesbrough-Hartlepool-Sunderland-Newcastle-Carlise ?
 

tbtc

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A few things spring to mind;
- TransPennine and Northern both end in 2014
- Manchester-Huddersfield-Leeds gets electrified soon
- Northern run a express service from Nottingham to Leeds
- PTE's & ITA's are pushing towards more influence on local rail
- Central localism agenda

Logic suggests that the two franchises are split into a "Northern Express" and a "Northern Metro" where the latter has more integration with the PTE's/ITA's on timetables, levels of service, rolling stock funded through LTP/LSTF/Transport Funds and the express services ran like a traditional TOC taking onboard the express routes ran by Northern and removing the "is this the fast or slow train" questions that are always asked each night coming out of Leeds - metro is slow and local, express is fast and regional.

TPE will have half a fleet of DMU's spare once the Leeds-Manchester route is electrified, some will be required for the spurs to Hull, Scarborough ect, but what about the rest ? Pushing some to the "Northern Express" Nottingham-Chesterfield-Sheffield-Barnsley-Leeds route makes sense, extended to York (or Scarborough) via Harrogate perhaps ? Lincoln-Doncaster-Wakefield-Leeds-Bradford-Halifax-Preston maybe ? Middlesbrough-Hartlepool-Sunderland-Newcastle-Carlise ?

Things are complicated enough already without having more routes with multiple TOCs.

For my money, TPE should be split into:

  • Blackpool route (goes to Northern franchise)
  • Scottish route (goes to WCML franchise)
  • Leeds route (goes to Cross Country franchise or maybe the ECML franchise)
  • Sheffield route (goes to East Midlands franchise)

Nottingham - Harrogate - Scarborough would be some scenic route though
 

Manchester77

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I think the northern express and northern metro idea is better as the express franchise can take routes that northern operate with inappropriate stock
 

AndyLandy

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TPE will have half a fleet of DMU's spare once the Leeds-Manchester route is electrified, some will be required for the spurs to Hull, Scarborough ect, but what about the rest ? Pushing some to the "Northern Express" Nottingham-Chesterfield-Sheffield-Barnsley-Leeds route makes sense, extended to York (or Scarborough) via Harrogate perhaps ? Lincoln-Doncaster-Wakefield-Leeds-Bradford-Halifax-Preston maybe ? Middlesbrough-Hartlepool-Sunderland-Newcastle-Carlise ?

Assuming that TPE will have spare DMUs post-electrification (and they won't all be cascaded to bulk up existing services), using them on ECML regional services seems like a sensible way forward. One assumes you'd be able to path them better on the ECML, since they're faster and I presume they have better acceleration than Sprinters?

You could even hand those services from Northern to the TPE franchise, so the fleet of trains is still managed by one TOC. Although am I right in understanding that the DfT would like to combine those franchises (again)?
 

tbtc

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I think the northern express and northern metro idea is better as the express franchise can take routes that northern operate with inappropriate stock

Changing the franchise boundaries wouldn't necessarily change the stock on each line - I'm not sure which trains you are referring to though
 

Manchester77

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Changing the franchise boundaries wouldn't necessarily change the stock on each line - I'm not sure which trains you are referring to though

In recent months there have been serval 142s operating express services. That's what I meant.
 

AndyLandy

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In recent months there have been serval 142s operating express services. That's what I meant.

I can't help but feel that comes straight back to the OP though. It doesn't matter how you divvy up the franchises if there's not enough stock (or the right kind of stock) to run the services you need to run. Splitting the Northern train fleets would more than likely make this worse, not better, since you'd no longer have the large, common pool of stock to draw services from.
 

tbtc

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In recent months there have been serval 142s operating express services. That's what I meant.

Depends on what you mean by "express" I guess (Class 1?). But changing the franchise boundaries wouldn't magic up lots of "express" trains (it'd just mean that when the "express" TOC didn't have an "express" train to run a service they'd just cancel it instead of using a 142 - is that better?
 

northwichcat

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Changing the franchise boundaries wouldn't necessarily change the stock on each line - I'm not sure which trains you are referring to though

I think most instances where franchise boundaries have been redrawn have seen different stock working on some routes to what operated there previously.

The only small fleet of non-standard (i.e. new) DMUs that would make sense for Northern would be something to replace the 142s and 156s at Heaton (i.e. Newcastle, Middlesbrough, Whitby, Carlisle, Chathill services)...

...the 142s and 156s could then move south onto the Lancashire/ Yorkshire services...

...BUT the 142 fleet there includes a dozen or so that are used mainly in South Yorkshire (and are sent back to Newcastle every week or two for maintenance as there's not enough room at Nevile Hill in Leeds to look after them), so you'd need to find a way round that.

Maybe when the MML is wired up and the EMT HSTs are no longer looked after in Leeds there'll be space for the Sheffield Pacers to be looked after at Neville Hill (instead of at Heaton)?

Clutching at straws here, I admit - there's just little point in giving Northern yet another tiny class of DMUs to look after)

Another complication is Cumbria, Tyne & Wear and Northumbria seem to want to be a separate franchise to the one that contains the Leeds, Manchester and Liverpool routes. (There's also some 153s operating in Cumbria.)

The sensible option, in my opinion, would be to write an invitation to tender for new DMUs as class 142 replacement to be delivered by 2016-2017 with options to add on additional units as class 144, 150, 153 and 155 replacement by the end of 2019.
 

tbtc

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I think most instances where franchise boundaries have been redrawn have seen different stock working on some routes to what operated there previously

That's generally required new stock to be ordered (or new stock ordered elsewhere and cascades). Just fiddling with the franchise map won't make any difference - some see it as a panacea for the current lack of DMUs though.

You could give the Mid Cheshire line to Virgin and still find Pacers on it.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Another complication is Cumbria, Tyne & Wear and Northumbria seem to want to be a separate franchise to the one that contains the Leeds, Manchester and Liverpool routes. (There's also some 153s operating in Cumbria.)

The Cumbrian Coast line is probably going to end up being an hourly DMU from Carlisle to Lancaster (once Barrow loses it's TPE services in a few years time) - it could be worked from the Carlisle end (Tyne Tees Franchise) or from the Lancaster end (Lancashire And Yorkshire Franchise) - it's only one route
 
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