What is the highest frequency of service that can be provided on Manchester's metrolink?
With HS2 and if full Northern Hub is eventually delivered, far more people will be passing through Piccadilly station and wanting to travel onwards throughout the city. Realistically how many more services could be provided on Metrolink without further upgrades? I know the context is different but compared to most urban metro systems frequency of service on British tram networks always seems quite low and I wondered if there are any technical or operational reasons for this.
The key constraint on frequency, is the number of services that can run across the city from west to east; which is why the Second City Crossing is under construction now. TfGM commissioned a modelling exercise a few years back, which showed that the limit on 1CC for regular services would be 25 tph in each direction. 2CC will likely be the same; so up to 50 tram services per hour could run across the city in each direction.
In the model service configuration that TfGM prepared for bidders to run the Metrolink franchise from 2017 onwards, they show 25 tph along 2CC, and 20 tph along 1CC. That then allows for 10 tph as standard on all seven major Metrolink lines - Ashton, E Didsbury, Airport, Altrincham, Eccles/Mediacity, Bury and Shaw/Rochdale. The Trafford Centre line would run 5 tph through to Crumpsall.
With that configuration, there would be 20 tph services running into Piccadilly from the west, but only 10 tph carrying on eastwards to Ashton; so it would be possible for 10 tph east-side tram-train services (likely from Marple and Bredbury) to link into to 'spare' west-side paths; and it would also be possible - given that there would only be 20 tph along 1CC, for 5 tph further east-side services to run into Piccadilly.
So, in principle, we might expect Piccadilly to be handling up to 25 tram and tram-train services per hour in each direction; in recognition of which it appears to be assumed that the Piccadilly Metrolink stop is likely to be relocated in association with the HS2 programme, and expanded to have four platform faces. In principle (and likely in practice) most of these services would be run as doubles with a capacity of 400 passengers on each, so the total hourly capacity of the Piccadilly Metrolink stop would be 20,000 - slightly more than the entire capacity of the HS2 system into Old Oak Common and Euston.