And again....
Rhydgaled said:
I didn't comment on that because I don't know the details, but I presume the diesel locos/units replaced had seen a fair amount of use when replaced or had somewhere they could usefully be cascaded to. There would also have been a benifit of using new electric locos/units instead of the previous diesels on the newly wired sections. Not the same thing as wiring a line which has brand new IEP bi-modes operating on it.
What happened was that the range of operation of the electric locos gradually expanded as the wires spread. Same as you will be able to do in the future with IEP. If you don't want to see that, that's your problem.
It may only be one train a day, but it is also one eighth of the service East Coast runs beyond the wires (4 Aberdeen, 1 Inverness, 1 Lincoln, 1 Hull and 1 Harrogate = 8 trains per day).
It may soon become zero trains a day, if bidders for the new franchise say they can't see the point of running to Hull, and leave it to Hull Trains.
Which is probably why I assumed that's what the micro-buffets were designed for. If you aren't providing catering, you don't want to waste space with a buffet car.
But those HSTs do have catering on all their other jobs, which is what the mini-buffets were provided for.
There are only five 180s with FirstGW though aren't there? As you say, the loss of an IC125 for overhaul has forced them to put a 180 on a buisier diagram, which suggests there were no more quiet diagrams they could put a 180 on.
No, what it suggests is that they don't have enough HSTs to cover all the jobs they should be on, as a result of losing one set at a time to the overhaul programme. Before the change, the 180 used on the 15.51 was working on another 'quiet' diagram. I am at a loss to understand what it is about the lighter passenger loadings west of Oxford outside the peaks that you do not understand and why proposing running a train with 600 seats at such times is just plain bonkers. Even if you dished out free advance tickets, you still wouldn't fill it.
30 years is life-expired by diesel rail standards, as seen with IC125s putting new engines in them allowed them to break the 30 year barrier. Electric traction lasts longer, the 91s should do 40 years before life-expiry.
If someone had wanted to keep paying for them, Valentas could have kept on going for 10 more years, but the MTUs are more fuel-efficient and cheaper to maintain. All the BR WCML electric locos built in the early 1960s were sent to the scrapyard by their 30th birthdays. Same for the 1,500v dc Class 76s. Plenty of 86s and 87s didn't get much further than 30 years. Your opinion is not borne out by facts.
The evidence that DfT have decided the catering option to take forward for standard class is a trolley is the draft seating layouts produced by DfT. Yes, they are draft layouts, I know. Which is why it is 'apparently' rather than definately.
It is nothing of the sort. The draft layouts are dated August 2012, the GW invitation to tender was issued just the previous month, stating, as you know:
under Schedule 8 of the MARA the Secretary of State can vary the MARA (and TARA) in certain circumstances and to the extent that a Bidder wishes to develop proposals that may involve:
alteration of the Rules of the Fleet and/or Rules of the Depot; changes to the maintenance or any facility where the maintenance provider carries out stabling of the IEP Fleet or minor or routine maintenance of the IEP Fleet; re-marshalling of the sets comprised in the IEP Fleet as long as this is still compliant with the Train Technical Description and the Train Technical Specification (as both terms are defined under the MARA); minor changes to the performance capabilities of a set or any vehicle comprised in a set; and changes to the passenger environment of a set (including in respect of the catering areas).
So show me where it is stated that what is shown on those draft seating layouts trumps what was said in an official document, issued to all the firms bidding for the GW franchise, a matter of days earlier.
Any TOC told that actually it had to take trains with a layout determined by DfT, after they had been told categorically by DfT that it could ask for changes, would just go off and get some very expensive lawyers on the case straight away and show the ITT to a judge. Case closed. Nothing 'apparent' about it at all.
But 7 coaches isn't going to be overkill east of Oxford very often is it? As I see it, you either need to accept a micro-fleet of arround 5x 5/6-car units to replace 180s on the very few diagrams that would cope or accept you're going to have lightly loaded trains at the extremities or accept that passengers are going to have to change off the IEP onto a DMU at off-peak times to save sending the long trains onto the quieter sections (which, in my opinion, is effectively what portion working with IEPs would be doing anyway, since most passengers apparently board the London end of a train* and it would probably be the front portion going forward).
Even east of Oxford, a seven-car train seating perhaps 450 people will have empty seats, and quite a lot of them at some times, which is why the ability to attach/detach coaches there is useful, a practice that has been going on with Turbos at Oxford for 20 years. Anyway, I though you wanted an all nine-car fleet.
No, you are not going to make passengers change at Oxford, because the through service is what has sent traffic on the Cotswold Line on a pretty constant upward curve for 20 years since the Turbos reinstated day-round through working. and you are most especially not going to do it with Chiltern Railways arriving on your doorstep, with a nice big car park not that far from communities at the southern end of the Cotswold Line.
Swindon is another potential point for dividing and joining trains, for portion working to/from Cheltenham. A lot of people currently plan their journeys around the through HSTs to avoid using the Cheltenham-Swindon dmus. And again this is a route where you are not going to get anything like 600 off-peak passengers, so a shorter train west of Swindon makes sense.
Guess which portion will be at the front of a train leaving Oxford to London - the one starting there. And in the other direction, what is required is to radically improve provision of the information systems at the stations and on the trains, to get as many people as possible in the right portion in the first place. If there is good information - and, amazingly, people are also capable of learning things like 'travel in the front portion for such and such a station' - it simply will not be as hard as you make out. And what should it say in the IEP techncal specification but this:
• the PIS shall identify to passengers which IEP Vehicle they are in, and the PIS and PA System shall explain in the case of a service that divides en route which portion of the IEP Train each IEP Vehicle forms a part. The coach identification shall remain the same throughout the journey even after a division and the possible reversal of an IEP Train or a portion of an IEP Train
FGW might get away with specifying 80x compatibility, but EMT couldn't.
The FGW 125mph EMU order looks like being a small one if it is only Oxford fasts (and they need them in 2016, well before 80x production will be available).
Maybe it will be 319s at first, upgrading later.
You won't need 125mph emus for Oxford fasts in 2016. The first services to go electric will be the stoppers that December, if all goes to plan. HSTs will still be running on the Cotswold Line services, and presumably Oxford-London jobs as well, into mid-2017. IEPs built for South Wales may well be available for other jobs in 2017-18 before the wires get out to Swansea. Crossrail's start-up in 2019 is really the time you will need high-speed emus, with most GW services then running on the fasts.
And they may not just be on Oxford services. I can see a case for some to run as far as Swindon to help ease pressure there on services from Bristol and South Wales - the town's population is forecast to rise from just over 200,000 to 240,000 or so by 2026.