BBC TV and computer weather forecasting.

[dangie]

.....Similarly we haven't seen one flake of snow this winter. We've given up with all the weather forecasters they'll all as bad as each other.

Not sure if it's the fault of the weather forecasters that you haven't seen a flake of snow

 

[Tetchytyke]

Where I live in Northern Ireland I can see the Isle of Man and we haven't had a drop of rain.

The weather front is mostly moving south west-> north east, it's funny how localised it can be sometimes, I can't help but think that the Mourne Mountains are shoving it all away from you and towards us; there's a similar gap in the shadow of the Wicklow mountains.

Newry and Belfast haven't had anything yet we've had loads (as has Dublin). Manchester's forecast to get quite a bit but Stoke will remain dry. It might not rain in southern Cheshire but it will do a couple of miles up the road.

Image from Met Office website showing rainfall across north west England and Northern Ireland at 1430 GMT on 31.12.2024.

 

[Mcr Warrior]

Time for a weather update from @Xenophon PCDGS?

 

[Xenophon PCDGS]

Rain did arrive, but not the forecasted heavy rain and no sign whatsoever of the forecasted 40mph winds.

 

[dangie]

Just skimping through news sites there are people complaining about New Year firework displays being cancelled due to the forecasted high winds. While I agree it is disappointing, surely it’s a correct decision. Apart from the visual impact of high wind impacting on fireworks, safety must come first. High winds and ‘explosives’ are a recipe for disaster.

 

[75A]

Not sure if it's the fault of the weather forecasters that you haven't seen a flake of snow

They kept giving us all the doom and gloom forecast of blizzards etc. I'm not complaining about not having snow, what I dislike is all the warnings that come to nothing. We've had so many false ones over the years that I tend to distrust them all. Then one day they'll be one that is actually correct, heaven forbid.

 

[Peter Mugridge]

Rain did arrive, but not the forecasted heavy rain and no sign whatsoever of the forecasted 40mph winds.

Those winds are down here in Epsom instead... and they feel closer to 50 mph...

 

[jfollows]

They kept giving us all the doom and gloom forecast of blizzards etc. I'm not complaining about not having snow, what I dislike is all the warnings that come to nothing. We've had so many false ones over the years that I tend to distrust them all. Then one day they'll be one that is actually correct, heaven forbid.

I agree, but I think they’re fuelled by bum-covering: if they don’t publish a “severe rain” warning and there’s flooding, then they’re blamed. Better over-warn therefore. So I agree with you, I now ignore them & they’re not useful. It’s going to rain, so what?
The more detailed forecasts themselves are useful and generally accurate, so I note these and ignore the hyperbolic warnings.

 

[Gloster]

It does seem that this storm, which doesn’t seem to have a name, has been unusually difficult to predict. In particular, it appears to have been difficult to forecast the speed that it moves at.

 

[AM9]

It does seem that this storm, which doesn’t seem to have a name, has been unusually difficult to predict. In particular, it appears to have been difficult to forecast the speed that it moves at.

One weather prediction put out in the late nineteen-eighties is that with advancing climate change, there will be increasingly severe and unpredictable weather. That one has been proven correct every year since.

 

[Xenophon PCDGS]

One weather prediction put out in the late nineteen-eighties is that with advancing climate change, there will be increasingly severe and unpredictable weather. That one has been proven correct every year since.

In the relatively short recent time of the last ice-age effect upon Britain in planetary age terms, what caused the thick ice covering over most of Britain to melt away? No-one ever suggests that was caused by human intervention.

 

[AM9]

In the relatively short recent time of the last ice-age effect upon Britain in planetary age terms, what caused the thick ice covering over most of Britain to melt away? No-one ever suggests that was caused by human intervention.

The last ice ages were something completely different, the last ice age took over 1000 years to recede, the current climate change has not only raised the average temperatrure of the earth's seas in less than 200 years, - it is also accelerating so we may be heading for a cliff-edge of temperature runaway. There's plenty of information online from many accredited sources. Clearly the problem is avoiding all the denyers and conspiracy theorists and using them as an excuse for doing nothing. *

* the climatic equivalent of rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.

 

[Gloster]

In the relatively short recent time of the last ice-age effect upon Britain in planetary age terms, what caused the thick ice covering over most of Britain to melt away? No-one ever suggests that was caused by human intervention.

There have been ups and downs over the millennia, but the difference this time is that human action is putting even more warming on top of that which would occur naturally. The risk or, in my opinion, the near-certainty is that what we are putting on top of the natural change will push it past a tipping point and it will not be possible for the natural change back to occur.

 

[Xenophon PCDGS]

There have been ups and downs over the millennia, but the difference this time is that human action is putting even more warming on top of that which would occur naturally. The risk or, in my opinion, the near-certainty is that what we are putting on top of the natural change will push it past a tipping point and it will not be possible for the natural change back to occur.

Agreed, but unless the major countries who produce a large emission majority make a really positive effort to reduce their emission output, countries such as Britain who do attempt a large percentage emission reduction will find their efforts are in vain.

Incidentally, what is the main cause of Gulf Stream changes.

 

[Mcr Warrior]

Does BBC TV sometimes pre-record the weather forecasts shown on their "BBC News' channel? Fairly sure that the one aired at around 5.55 p.m. tonight was from several hours previously.