I for one like to see all Wales' 175s replaced with 158s and 159s as long as we get at least as many 2-car units and 3-car units (prefrablly a few more 2-car as well for some doubling up and extra services). However, electrification of Waterloo - Exeter doesn't seem to be on the cards so there aren't going to be enough 3-car units available to do that so you'd need 32 2-car class 158s just to replace the 16 3-car 175s. For this reason, that idea simply isn't going to work.
An alternative would be to give us 6 or 7 (more would be nice) additional 2-car 158s to replace half the 11 strong 2-car 175 fleet. Then cut the cabs off 10 2-car 175 driving cars and form 5 4-car units out of them. The left-over 2-car unit would provide spare driving cars, or could have both cabs hacked off to make 2 of the 3-car sets up to 4-car. Cutting the cabs off is still unlikely, but probablly easier than finding enough 158s to replace the full 175 fleet or building extra 175 coaches.
Not sure about using 180s, but the idea of sending the Holyhead - Birminghams via WCML not Wrexham could allow the 158s to be removed from Holyhead - Birmingham and instead running Aberystwyth - Birmingham (or Aberystwyth - Shrewsbury with LM getting extra wires and 350s to work Shrewsbury - Birmingham) hourly. Would be good if the north Wales coast service could be:
- Manchester - Llandudno
- Manchester - Holyhead
- London Euston - Holyhead (dragged Pendolinos, every 2 hours instead of the current lumpy hourly with massive gaps)
- Birmingham - WCML - Holyhead
- 2 express trains each way (one morning, one evening, perhaps a third around lunch time) Holyhead - Cardiff
but I doubt it can.
It is my opinion that all multiple units (unless there are required to travel above 110mph) should have through corridor connections / gangways at the ends. If you don't have end-gangways, push-pull LHCS is actually more flexible. Above 110mph, you can't have end-gangways I think, so push-pull LHCS is always going to be more flexible.
Heart Of Wales 3-car 175!?!?!?!? Given they only have single 153s most of the time (I think), with some 150s in summer, a 2-car 175 (if you give them 175s at all) would be a better choice. A 175 is flat-out a bad idea for Shrewsbury - Aberystwyth. ETRMS aside, their lack of corridor connections would ruin the service (it has a portion for Pwllheli attached, which splits off at Machynllyth, so is 4-car between Machynllyth and Shrewsbury). If Cambrian stock is ever changed, I think it should be for 159s (3-car on the two branches, 6-car east of Machynllyth (probablly only needs to be 5-car east of Mach., but both branches need extra capacity at times from what I've read of the coast and seen at Aberystwyth)).
They don't often. I'd be happier if they did run a 158 into south-west Wales instead of a 2-car 175. 175s bore me (would rather than travel on one than Pacers, ATW 153s (other TOCs might give more legroom) or 150s though) and a 158 actually has a few more seats than a 2-car 175.
Wrong. 158s are Sprinters yet (so I'm told on this forum) are only cleared ECS over the Heart Of Wales Line (HOWL). 175s however
ARE cleared, and have worked the HOWL service in the past when the main line was closed so it was the only way of getting them to and from Chester depot.
South-west Wales yes, ValleyLines no. What a waste of a 90mph geared 158 on a 40-55mph ValleyLine with frequent stops like Maesteg (the Cardiff - Cheltenham service probably has some 90mph running, but I've seen a 158 from (I guess) Maesteg turn round at Cardiff and go back back to Maesteg before).
I'd say the capacity of 3-cars (at least) is probablly needed between Manchester and Swansea, perhaps with a few extended to Carmarthen but not many. Cardiff - Milford Haven / Fishguard would be best served by 158 (not calling at Swanline stations) and Swansea - Pembroke Dock by 150s or double 153s I think.
I'd guess there are not many from west of Swansea to north of Cardiff on the Manchesters, but Swansea to north of Cardiff and west of Swansea to Cardiff are both important flows I expect. What I'd propose (and reforming the 2-car 175s into 4-car sets and introducing extra 158s as I suggested above would help) would be to replace the Manchester - Carmarthen/Milford Haven services with:
- Manchester - Swansea services using a mix of LHCS and 3-car 175s (perhaps some 4-car 175s too if you can hack the cabs off 2-cars)
- Hourly Swansea - Carmarthen 153/150 all stations stoppers (extending to Pembroke Dock in alternate hours, and Milford Haven in the others)
- Hourly Swansea - Carmarthen semi-fast (calling at Gowerton, Llanelli and Pembrey) (extending to Milford Haven in alternate hours) with 2-car 175s (if they aren't made into 4-cars), 153s or 156s if we can get some.
- Hourly (or 2-hourly initally) Cardiff - Carmarthen 158 operated services calling at Bridgend, Port Talbot and Llanelli only (extending to Fishguard every 2 hours)
As Greenback says though, the lack of an ATW depot at Swansea could be a problem. I can only suggest providing a facility further west (at Carmarthen probablly, or to make use of Trecwn) or sending the Swansea - south west Wales units up to Shrewsbury, Crewe or Chester over the HOWL (adding extra services, with a reduced calling pattern, while you're at it).
I personally think the south-west Wales services link very badly with the south-east Wales - Manchester services, given how indirect Carmarthen to Shrewsbury via Swansea and Cardiff is. It would be much more logical to link a Milford/Fishguard to Cardiff service into the Cardiff - Portsmouth in my opinion (running 4-car 158s east of Cardiff/Swansea, 2-car further west) but TOC boundarys make that slightly problematic.