One is partnerships. Currently branded as Enhanced Partnership Plus, which is just a rebrand of Enhanced Partnerships, which were a rebrand of Quality Bus Partnerships, which themselves were rebranded from voluntary partnerships. They been tried repeatedly, cost a lot of public money, and did not deliver lasting results.
just one more partnership bro. i promise just one more partnership. please just one more partnership. it will fix everything. just need one more partnership. it will work this time.
Even assuming the regions partnerships have been poor, assuming partnerships were genuinely capable of delivering, we would have at least one long term success story by now after the many different flavours of partnership. Almost every major authority has tried them in one form or several forms over decades.
Have you not heard of Brighton, or Portsmouth, or Leicester?
Not all partnerships are the same shape, nor are they executed in the same way so to say no partnership ever works or can ever work is simply not true.
There are two in Yorkshire that didn't work. The one in West Yorkshire was in Leeds and was so poorly constructed by the PTA... the same people who will be responsible for the Weavers Network... that it didn't bake in the commitments from the operators far enough. The South Yorkshire one wasn't really a partnership agreement at all. It was more a means of brokering agreements between operators and whilst there were some bits of window dressing with some crap branding, the execution of it was appalling from top to bottom.
Meanwhile, in Portsmouth, they are now experiencing bus patronage growth outstripping the national picture and are now above pre-Covid levels. That partnership began with the Zip scheme in 2008.
So does a badly constructed partnership work... Of course not. It is interesting that it's these non-metropolitan conurbations that do seem to be able to construct a working partnership where infrastructure IS effectively tied into commitments on investment and marketing.
I don't really buy that. Make it awkward and inconvenient in both fares and the timetable to change buses, trains or anything else, provide awful transfer areas and people will only want direct services. Obviously, this isn't the best use of resources if going for a comprehensive and integrated transport system with decent coverage. Not sure if you've heard of the 'mini-Switzerland' proposal which aims to build an integrated and well connecting network in the Peak District?
Sorry that you don't buy that but it is the reality. As I said,
most passengers are literally getting the same bus every day, into school, work or town and they then return home; they aren't making multi-leg journeys. Yes, in certain tourist hotspots, like Lake District or Isle of Wight, it is different. And rather interestingly, you mention the Lake District which in regulated days had a much poorer service than it does now with those evil commercially minded people.
| Corridor | 1982 | 2026 |
| Workington to Keswick | 60 mins (no evening, 2 journeys Sun) | 30 mins (60 eve/Sun) |
| Keswick to Penrith | 120 mins (1 evening, 4 journeys Sun) | 30 mins (60 eve/Sun |
| Keswick to Carlisle | 4 journeys (M-F only to Wigton only) | 6-7 journeys (all days) |
| Keswick to Borrowdale | 70 mins (6 journeys Sun) | 30/40 mins (all days) |
| Keswick to Buttermere | Did not exist | 60 mins (all days) |
It is one of the best examples of the deregulated industry actually growing the market and network but it is an outlier in so many ways.
This is why the expectation should be for HM Treasury to relinquish some of its powers to the regions/ combined authorities, so they can raise and keep their own taxes, borrow, subsidise etc. I get the impression from some whenever they mention taxpayers, is that taxpayers should not fund anything. But we all need a well functioning country with decent services for everyone to prosper and be productive. Transport is a key part of that.
Also every time you say TFL is losing a billion on its buses, I say it's covering 70% of its costs despite the slow speeds and comprehensive nature of the services plus of course all the concessions that exist in London but no where else. It raises more money than is given credit. It will be interesting to see how the franchised networks across the north perform after say 5 years of operation.
I'm not wishing to doxx anyone but do you pay tax? It's really easy to say that there should be more taxation but people seldom think it should be them; always the fat cats or faceless corporations. Don't get me wrong - I think Amazon should pay their dues, and I take a perverse joy in seeing Isobel Oakeshott scurrying from Shaheds but we also need to be realistic and not blinding by ideological wishes. It was interesting when George Osborne, that well known anti-capitalist and social engineer, first volunteered this legislation. Call me a cynic but did he really have some Damascene conversion in relation to bus services? Especially as he was the architect of austerity and had been instrumental in reducing central government grants to local authorities. Or was it that they had decided that it was another way in reducing central government funding and, as we're seeing in London, they are now struggling to actually fund buses.
Every time I say that London is spending a £1bn on supporting its bus services, it's because it is a demonstrable fact. As are the falling passenger numbers, which are now contrary to the rest of the country. Having a shortfall of 30% of your costs is not exactly something to be giving credit for.
And remember that the Thatcher government increased central control on revenue raising via the Rates Act as local spending was getting out of hand.
As I’ve said before, what happens when public budgets are stretched. Like we are seeing now in London where the only way to improve services in outer London is to cut services in inner London. Just like how various councils cut budgets for tendered services, I can see them cutting budgets for franchised networks at some stage in the future.
Hence my comment to Aron about George Osborne.
Whereas now they’d blame the private operators, now they’d just blame central government/the previous government as appropriate
And this was the CamBorne playbook. Withdraw central funding and then say to the LAs... we will give you the local and democratic freedom to decide where the cuts will fall, safe in the knowledge that it would be the LAs taking the flak.
Blaming bus operators (don't get me wrong - some wanted blaming) was an easy target at times with those evil bus barons. Now the mayors are getting control... it'll be interesting to see how that goes.
The key benefit of franchising is the control over that resilient commercial network. You can extract more value from it through competitive tendering. For example, a route with high levels of bus priority is more attractive to operators, more bidders are confident they can run it reliably and with lower risk of fines. This increases competition and reduces the price of a tender. It makes bus priority more effective under franchising than deregulation. The result is a greater surplus for the authority, which can then be reinvested into service provision, further priority, or other improvements.
A beautiful sentiment but it's not true.
Operators will simply cost up the resources as they have been told to and put a margin on within which they will have a small element for non-compliance. They won't go, route by route, looking at potential hold ups and the propensity to pay fines.
Also, the idea that there will be some massive race to the bottom on margin... Again, it's a procurement person's erotic fantasy to a large extent. The reality is that all the operators will have minimum hurdle rates to hit for their investors - a pension fund or PE group isn't going to invest its money into a bus group for a 3% return if they can get 4% sat in the bank or 6% in a very boring manufacturer of consumer goods. So there's a floor and the operators will be relatively close on margin. We see that in London - they're all around 6-7%.
Compare that with what they're making currently in these areas (which is nearer 12%) and that delta (or surplus) isn't actually that large. For instance, and getting back to SY, First South Yorkshire made £5.9m profit which should be a fair benchmark (no one offs to confuse things) and so a profit of 9.6%. Therefore, you might have less than £3m from getting rid of First and getting Go Ahead as a contractor.
For me, the real test of franchising is whether the Authority now has enough of a vested interest to actually improve day to day services and improve things on a like for like basis. If the 8 or 36 in Manchester has 5% more passengers on the daytime journeys than it had, because they've been able to improve bus priority and penalise bad parking, that's a success. If it's 5% more but because they're spending a fortune on doubling evening services, that's less so. Bee Network claimed a 14% increase in patronage in the first 18 months across the first two tranches. However, contrast that against an overall increase in bus patronage overall of 4% across England (excl London) and that Greater Manchester's post Covid recovery had been slower than average.
Franchising is here to stay and expanding. I have my doubts but it will be interesting to see how it all pans out. However, it is dependant on local authorities grasping the nettle of increasing congestion and consistent financing and those are important irrespective of the usual statements on network benefits and unified branding that some enthusiasts always espouse.