Bletchleyite
Veteran Member
Just shows that even if you run a frequent replacement bus service most passengers if given the option will choice rail, even if it takes longer.
See also demand on Chiltern whenever the WCML is closed at the southern end. Also no doubt usage of Chiltern between Oxford & London will increase this week due to no GWR services with the block.
I think people are largely blindly doing what the journey planners tell them to do, and with split ticketing that doesn't necessarily mean it has to be a permitted route. I was playing about a bit at the weekend and I noticed for instance that for going to Edinburgh from London most people were offered either via EMR and the replacement bus at Anytime Single rate, or cheaper Advances via the WCML from Euston (as a result of which the Sunday morning 0845 MKC-Edinburgh was pretty busy when that train would usually be nearly empty). Even ignoring that people will generally prefer a through train over a replacement bus, that's no contest - nobody in their right mind is going to pay three times as much for an inferior journey. I'd strongly suspect that those Anytime fares on Sunday were only sold to the filthy rich and business travellers.
Whereas before you knew if you were going to go from London to Edinburgh you went from Kings Cross, and you'd just show up there with your Saver Return and follow what the staff said, probably not having properly checked the timetable and assumed it'd be as per the printed one you had in your desk drawer. You might be miffed that there was a RRB, but unless the staff specifically sent you to Euston, which they likely wouldn't, you'd just go along with it fuming as you went.
I believe if you force something like "calls at Flitwick" onto the journey plan to ensure you are put on Thameslink you do get Advances on the RRB route though. Not getting them on the EMR services is a quota issue which I doubt is actually intentional, but even if it is the journey planners aren't showing the good value fares that way and so people are pushed hard towards the WCML.
Of course if the LNER fare increase trial is the future, there's going to need to be a change to how journey planners work - they're going to need to be better at showing things by price rather than just showing the fastest trains with a price against each. Clearly nobody was going to pay £200-odd when they could pay £70 or whatever it was via the WCML, but they equally would have no idea of needing to enter "via and calling at Flitwick" to get the cheap ECML fares, and even where they were told that (which I think LNER has done in the past) they probably wouldn't understand it. And I don't even think the current LNER app can do that.
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