The continuing overcrowding on XC suggests to me that the best use for the redundant 350/2s would be to replace the Voyagers on the fully electrified sections of the XC network. This would release Voyagers to lengthen trains on non-electrified parts of this network.
I am thinking particularly of these 2 areas of operation:
- Manchester to Birmingham/Coventry, to be transferred to LNWR, who already operate class 350 trains
- Doncaster/York to Edinburgh - Northern would probably be the best operator, and local services from Newcastle to Morpeth/Chatham could be included
I fully agree on Manchester-Birmingham but I'm much less convinced on ECML.
Manchester-Birmingham's prime function is as an interurban route between England's 2 biggest cities outside London, and to serve some important places in between: Stockport, Macclesfield, Stoke, Stafford and Wolverhampton.
The 2024/25 origin destination matrix has these one way numbers:
Manchester-Birmingham 236k
Manchester-Stafford 103k
Stafford-Wolverhampton 94k
Stoke-Stafford 87k
Manchester-Wolverhampton 85k
The trains also make a substantial contribution to Manchester-Stoke and Macclesfield, which are 355k and 335k. Manchester-Stockport and Birmingham-Wolverhampton are even bigger.
Compared to these numbers the long distance cross country traffic is secondary, for example Manchester-Bristol is 46k and Manchester-Oxford is 29k.
A couple of issues with that plan:
- The 350/2s are currently configured for suburban use with 3+2 seating, which would be unsuitable for long-distance services to replace XCountry. While they could be refurbished with 2+2 seating, this has a cost associated with it.
And a suburban railway is how Manchester-Birmingham needs to be operated, because that is its primary function. The class 350/2s are well suited to the task, whereas the Voyagers are not.
If you are proposing cutting through journeys so that Manchester no longer gets any XCountry services but just trains to Birmingham, and Edinburgh and Newcastle no longer get any XCountry services but just trains to York/Doncaster, then you're going to annoy a lot of passengers who now find that they have to change trains
The much larger numbers of people travelling between Manchester and Birmingham, and stations in between, will be pleased.
And of course Liverpool-Birmingham has been served this way for many years now.
I'm much less convinced that class 350/2s are suited to the north end of the ECML because it isn't an interurban/suburban railway, apart from the big Durham-Newcastle flow.