The proposal would significantly speed journeys from the West of England and South Wales to Gatwick, and create a market for Tonbridge/Tunbridge Wells, Ashford and East Kent (possibly even Medway) direct to Gatwick, who currently have to travel by car (there is no longer even a direct coach service). Any improvements to more local movements would be collateral.
I would definitely welcome this kind of solution. The links to Gatwick from Kent are frustrating when it comes to dealing with the slow nature of the Tonbridge to Redhill line and the changes involved at Redhill itself. What makes it worse is that you can see the planes starting to descend at Tonbridge station for the approach to Gatwick airport.
But you are right, there is no coach links, and there is no rail links to Gatwick. The closest thing they have done is added on the announcements on trains coming into Tonbridge that say 'change here for services to Redhill which you can use for Gatwick airport' but many just see that many connections and slow trains as more hassle than it is worth than driving to Gatwick instead.
The catchment is way too small and disparate for any enhancement of journeys from Kent to Gatwick using the existing lines to be funded. Not all the traffic arriving at Gatwick from the eastern side of the M25 is coming from Tonbridge, Tunbridge Wells, Medway and Ashford, but instead the more populous places further round the M25 which enhancing Tonbridge to Redhill services simply doesn't address.
There are 4 things in Kent that I think would be a classic 'built it and they will come' for the residents of the county, but seem unlikely to happen because of this argument being used by everyone.
- Restored international rail links at Ashford or Ebbsfleet (explained in another thread but tastes have changed and more people have heard of interrail passes now).
- A rail link to an airport we would rather use such as Gatwick, and maybe for the Elizabeth line to extend to Ebbsfleet so that those with lugguage could board at the terminus parts of the line as opposed to the busy core, which is more appealing of an idea.
- A cross-country service
- An IKEA, especially somewhere like Ashford, where it's easy to drive to and doesn't involve a toll or heavily congested city roads like London's or Brighton's.
Its fair to say there would be plenty in Kent who would jump at the opportunity of being able to leave the car at home and take the train to Gatwick airport if it were more direct and took less time, and especially if it bypassed London and having to drag a suitcase/excess lugguage around on the London Underground.
The problem is because we dont have a link, such demand cant be proven. The only rail/airlink we have is the Luton Thameslink, and with it being a Thameslink, it isn't exactly a quick rail trip over there.
One problem with Thameslink not going to Rainham is Southeastern would need to take over the service, but they may not have the rolling stock to do so prior to a new fleet order.
Yes agreed. Any loss of the Thameslink route should have a plan in place to replace the NKML with additional non-high-speed services, should this happen. Strood is bad enough to change at without needing to lose the Thameslink service with no replacement

.