I disagree. LU means crush-loading and a risk of trains stranded in very tight clearances in tunnels - it must be difficult to evacuate or have emergency services attend an incident. Agree there is benefit of self-recovery to the next station, but this has to be balanced against the increase in fire risk/impact score from carrying around a lot of batteries. And once you increase the battery beyond what is needed to get to the next station, growing the battery increases risk score without delivering any safety benefit. Has this has been a discussion topic around the new Siemens tube trains? I don't know as I haven't been following it.
To address you first point first, no the idea stems from my own independent curiosity and having a Tesla as part of the package in my old job.
I think cars are pretty illustrative of what things are likely to be an issue with a BEMU and what won't be. Space for battery packs is not really an issue, from my modelling I don't think we need to put more than 300KWh of batteries per carriage, which is basically three large EV batteries which fit beneath the floor of a medium sized saloon car. A pack is in the region of 2.2m long, 1.4m wide and 0.1m thick. Within reason we can squash or stretch that pack into any shape we want. With cell to pack or even cell to body arrangements we might even smear that whole volume over the carriage floor and make it ~30mm thick, or we hide it under a few seats.
With regard to fires, EVs are less likely to burst into flames following a car crash than an ICE vehicle and obviously car crashes generate much higher g loadings than train crashes (40mph-0 in ~20cm), it will be entirely credible to package the battery where it will survive a crash which is entirely un-survivable to the passengers.
Where is that number from? How long would it take the yearly saving to pay off the investment in the remaining long list of obstacles to driverless trains?
I think the £300m figure is the approximate value of the salaries of the drivers, actual employment cost once you factor in NI, pensions and support costs are likely to be much higher. Amusingly the cost of the batteries to run the entire London Underground is in the region of £100m and that's assuming the battery packs have a decent premium over automotive units. Ergo this would have a very good pay back ratio especially as the chargers at the terminals are ultimately going to be much cheaper than the costs of the electrification equipment in the tunnels both to purchase and to operate and maintain. The costs of keeping workers safe on an electrified line while maintenance takes place must be pretty significant. I also assume that the electrification equipment underground is taking up a fair bit of space that could ultimately be used for stuff like HVAC or something else useful.
I think the majority of estimates of the cost and difficulty of running the LU unmanned are far from objective normally being written by somebody with skin in the game.
1: These estimates normally assume that platform screen doors are a requirement and then proceed to quote a ridiculous cost for said doors. Firstly I'm pretty sure that they could be implemented more cheaply without as much need to integrate them with signalling systems and rolling stock. Secondly I'm not sure they are actually needed, the same checks the drives do around the doors could be done either by people on the platform or remotely by a control room based operator, the DLR doesn't need a driver for this. Thirdly I suspect we could do this with machine vision systems/ AI it's not like we lack training data.
2: Other underground systems manage to deal with passenger issues and evacuations without needing a driver.
3: The biggest issue would probably be the drivers getting wind of it and striking, obviously two solutions to that, 1: if they are doing a nationally significant job it could be made illegal for them to strike, see police and army 2: build a volunteer driver corps 3: tube drivers are not popular being perceived to be paid a fortune to do an easy job due to being able to hold the capital to ransom