I see they're talking about 350,000 homes at Tempsford.
There is a mini-industry of consultants writing reports about Tempsford.
The figure of 350,000 seems to have come from this
report from UK Day One
The report is here, on the Centre for British Progress website:
Nothing is more important for the success of new towns than their location. New towns need excellent rail links into existing cities that have suppressed demand. The Government could create such a new town at the intersection of the East Coast Main Line and the future East-West Rail, standing on...
britishprogress.org
Nothing is more important for the success of new towns than their location. New towns need excellent rail links into existing cities that have suppressed demand. The Government could create such a new town at the intersection of the East Coast Main Line and the future East-West Rail, standing on the best greenfield site in England within a short rail journey of Oxford, Cambridge and London.
July 15, 2024
Kane Emerson Dr Samuel Hughes
Note the publication date is 15 July 2024 (not 2025).
As already stated, Kane Emerson is from the YIMBY Alliance. Dr Samuel Hughes was also a co-author in a Britain Remade consultant report on New Towns see here:
For the first time in 50 years, there is a national commitment to building a new generation of new towns. This paper lays out principles for selecting the location and design of new towns, along with policy changes that will make it easier to build new towns quickly, well and with the maximum...
www.britainremade.co.uk
For the first time in 50 years, there is a national commitment to building a new generation of new towns. With the severity of Britain’s housing crisis, this is exciting news. But as history shows us, the location and design of new towns is critical to them growing into prosperous and liveable communities. They can fail.
This paper lays out principles for selecting the location and design of new towns, along with policy changes that will make it easier to build new towns quickly, well and with the maximum boost to British economic growth and productivity. We then use these principles to produce a shortlist of twelve new towns from a long list of 50 options
that were identified through a combination of internal workshops, spatial analysis, and desk-based research.
Table 1: proposed new towns
| Town | County | Potential Homes | Existing (in bold) or planned infrastructure |
| Greater Cambridge | Cambridgeshire | 150,000 - 200,000 | East West Rail, New tramway, A14, M1 |
| Tempsford | Bedfordshire | 150,000 - 200,000 | East West Rail, East Coast Main Line, A428, A1(M |
My recollection is that this report came out not long after the General Election. The section about Cambridge is basically a rehash of Gove's
Case for Cambridge in the March 2024 Budget, and appears to have been written by the same people.
Recently a link to another consultant report was on the EWR consultation discussion see here:
Envisioning a new town at the heart of the OxCam Arc with homes embedded around new transport infrastructure
www.jasbhallaworks.com
Tempsford New Market Town
Envisioning a new town at the heart of the OxCam Arc with homes embedded around new transport infrastructure
This is also undated but also looks like it was written before the November 2024 EWR non-statutory consultation.
The Centre for British Progress and Britain Remade both make the fundamental mistake of over-estimating the amount of land at Tempsford available for development. This is because they look at Google Maps and see lots of green, without knowing the local geography. The existing village is near the confluence of the rivers Great Ouse and Ivel: much of the land that they think is available for building is flood plain, and they need to look at maps of St Neots, Huntingdon and St Ives to see how the Great Ouse flood plain has to remain green.
In practice, there is very little land available for development on the west side of the ECML, because of flood plain and the existing and proposed infrastructure, which includes, road, rail and high voltage power lines. To give them credit, the Jas Bhalla report recognises this, and only has a small area of development on the west side of the ECML, south of Tempsford village going towards Sandy, and a long way from the proposed new Tempsford station. The Jas Bhalla report is also interesting as it confines development to the Bedfordshire side of the county border, whereas Centre for British Progress and Britain Remade would need to use land on the Cambridgeshire side of the border too.
My assessment is that the Tempsford New Town will be entirely, or almost entirely, on the east side of the ECML, and that there is enough green field land to build for 50-100k population. This includes the disused RAF airfield, but a lot more besides.
Where the Centre for British Progress are different, and spectacularly entertaining for readers of this forum, is how they link the case for Tempsford to the case for improvements to the ECML. For example they say this:
This ‘Welwyn Bottleneck’ compromises the capacity of the entire ECML. Fixing it would markedly improve capacity along the whole line, and especially so for everything south of the other, less severe bottleneck near Peterborough. With some straightforward signalling upgrades, the capacity of the ECML could probably be doubled on the southern stretch. Fixing the Peterborough Bottleneck would allow this improvement to be extended to the entire line as far as Edinburgh. But even with no further improvements elsewhere, fixing the Welwyn Bottleneck would generate a substantial improvement in service for every existing city on the line while still leaving abundant capacity for a new city to be added.
Their research clearly did not include reading RailUKForum!
Another entertaining aspect is their touching faith in the hybrid bill process, and the ability of the party whips to get government business through parliament:
The new Government has a unique opportunity to cut through this. It enjoys an exceptionally strong mandate to build the vital infrastructure that Britain needs. It could simply ask Parliament to pass a hybrid bill granting the powers necessary to fix the Bottleneck. A hybrid bill would completely bypass the convoluted DCO process and is essentially immune to judicial review.
I wonder if they did any research on the hybrid bill process for HS2, and whether they still think this after the government's recent experiences with winter Fuel Allowances and Personal Independence Payments.
The new towns taskforce is due to report in September.
There is a very strong case for a New Town at Tempsford, and I expect that it will be near the top of the list when the New Towns Taskforce reports. I do wonder whether the
Grauniad had expected the New Towns Taskforce report to be published before the summer recess, and had to hang a pre-prepared Tempsford article on an old hat consultant report instead.