The biggest group impacted by this change will be anyone living outside London who wants to take a child over 5 into London. TFL currently charge £15 for a Zip card, or you'd have to buy an Oyster card (£7 - or £5 plus p&p if you order in advance) and get a child discount applied. Then you'd have to pay for each journey on top.
For an occasional visit which previously would have been free (many operators run £1 child travelcard tickets), this is going to be a huge disincentive.
Any family with access to a vehicle exempt from the congestion charge (electric or blue badge) would find it massively cheaper just to drive in.
Yes exactly this, this is me and my family in a nutshell. Travelling into London from Bookham (well Fetcham technically) in Surrey at weekends and with my Network Railcard offering the 33% discount makes whole family travel into and around London reasonable, especially as my youngest has just turned 5 and so is now fare paying. Abolishing the day travelcard and getting returns to London Terminals + Oyster PAYG fares to wherever we're travelling within London will result in a potentially large increase in fares, even if we pay £10 each to get both children a 5-10 Oyster card for free travel within London.
This will as Nick mentioned likely result in us either:
- Driving to Worcester Park and parking at my Dad's, who lives 2 minutes from Worcester Park station in a part of Worcester Park just outside the ULEZ, which would result in SWR losing a load of fare revenue from us, and result in additional and avoidable carbon emissions from the car at a time when we really need to be doing all we can to incentivise reducing car travel where possible for the sake of the planet and our air quality
- Buying a return from Bookham to Ewell West (first station in Zone 6 on the route) for everyone, then I run out of the train and tap in each family members Oyster cards on the Oyster Card reader at Ewell West and hope the train doors don't shut on me before doing so, and repeating on the return journey home (impractical in practise)
- We just avoid going into London on weekends, resulting in the children missing out of fun family activities like the London Aquarium or the Natural History museum, Science museum etc., SWR and TFL getting £0 revenue from us and businesses and retailers missing out on our custom during our visit. Multiply this by every individual or group/family who doesn't visit London as a result of the changes.
In my opinion the travelcard shouldn't be abolished until at least Project Oval's rollout is complete, so at least customers like myself within the Project Oval area could make point to point contactless journeys from outside London to within London which could soften the blow of the day travelcard withdrawal if the contactless fares are priced sensibly. I also think with the ULEZ coming in it's a bit of a double whammy for anyone who may have been willing to modally shift to using public transport instead of driving in and paying the ULEZ charge, who would be less incentivised to do so if the rail fares into London increase as a result of the travelcard withdrawal meaning they'll just pay the charge instead and carry on pumping out avoidable carbon emissions.