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Russia invades Ukraine

DustyBin

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The Pravda (truth) newspaper is now 110 years old and still being published in Russia by the Communist Party, which Putin sees fit to allow to continue so long as they don't threaten his position.

What Putin really hates is to be compared to Hitler: comparison to Stalin bothers him not a jot, in fact he probably revels in it. I compared him to Hitler on this forum years ago, for which I got flack, but I believe his evilness probably has no current equal.

The only thing I’d say is that some people/media outlets are making the Hitler comparison in order to spread fear of a wider conflict which isn’t helpful. The situation is bad but people don’t need to hear scare stories of nuclear war, it’s completely irresponsible (I’m being polite there as well). There’s a fundamental difference between Hitler and Putin; the former had a genuine chance of taking on the rest of Europe and winning, the latter doesn’t and he knows it.
 
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Iskra

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The only thing I’d say is that some people/media outlets are making the Hitler comparison in order to spread fear of a wider conflict which isn’t helpful. The situation is bad but people don’t need to hear scare stories of nuclear war, it’s completely irresponsible (I’m being polite there as well). There’s a fundamental difference between Hitler and Putin; the former had a genuine chance of taking on the rest of Europe and winning, the latter doesn’t and he knows it.
That’s a poor analysis. The Germans had no chance of taking on the rest of Europe and winning. Poland didn’t go as well as anticipated, they got lucky with France and their military and industry was not prepared for a long war and struggled from then on. They couldn’t ever invade Britain due to naval weakness.

Putin is very Hitler. I’m not sure how he can have a problem with right-wing gangs considering his previous support for right-wing biker gangs in Russia. Not that being a total hypocrite will bother him.

- - - - -

All credit to the intelligence agencies for ‘predicting’ the invasion.

- - - - -

I hope Ukraine can hold the offensive back long enough for it to fail and they get a bit of covert support from the West.

- - - - -

I also find the amount of Kremlin apologists, deeply concerning.
 
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Gloster

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As Tom Lehrer said, “I feel that if any songs are going to come out of World War III, we’d better start writing them now.” So:

Well come on mothers it ain’t in vain,
Pack your boys off to Ukraine,
Come on fathers don’t hesitate,
Send your sons off before it’s too late,
Be the first one on your block,
To have your boy come home in a box.

And it’s one, two, three, what are we fighting for?
Don’t ask me ‘cos I won’t complain,
The very next stop is Ukraine,
And it’s five, six, seven, open up the pearly gates,
Well there ain’t no time to wonder why,
WHOOPEE we’re all gonna die.


With apologies to Country Joe.
 

brad465

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I think the taking of Kiev (if it happens) will be very bloody on all sides. Hopefully public opinion in Russia will become unstoppable. The Ukrainians are fellow Russians (according to Putin himself). This will not be like Chechnya where there was a "terrorist" element.
I also think the knowledge by both the US and the UK regarding the invasion was more than just gained by satellite.
When I did the National Citizen Service programme almost a decade ago, there were twins on it with me who are joint Ukrainian-Russian, and looking at the Facebook postings of one them today, they certainly aren't happy with what's happened.
 

ungreat

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Roast Veg

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Is football really all that matters? Its a tad more worrisome than a game of kicking a bag of air about!
If ownership of a football club is what it takes to hammer home how bad oligarch ownership of British assets is, then I'd be glad of it making headlines.
 

Gostav

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Meanwhile in Germany, although Germany's airports have begun taking on additional military missions, environmental groups Essen Retten - Leben Retten* (English means Save food - save lives) are still make a statement that a series of protests on Friday will block the airport's airspace with balloons.
Unsere oberste Priorität bleibt der Schutz des Lebens, jetzt und in Zukunft. Deswegen werden wir morgen, wie angekündigt, in Berlin, Frankfurt und München den Flugverkehr zum Stillstand bringen.
Our top priority remains protecting life, now and in the future. As announced, we will therefore bring air traffic to a standstill in Berlin, Frankfurt and Munich tomorrow.
My God, Berlin, Frankfurt, Munich, doesn't that mean that all the major air transit hubs in Europe may cut off?
Let's see what will happen tomorrow in this turbulent time.

*Just like Insulate Britain who with political appeals by blocking traffic but for Germans their purpose is to save food.
 
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brad465

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meanwhile in Germany, although Germany's airports have begun taking on additional military missions, environmental groups Essen Retten - Leben Retten* (English means Save food - save lives) are insisting that a series of protests on Friday will block the airport's airspace with balloons.


Let's see what will happen tomorrow in these turbulent times.

*Just like Insulate Britain who with political appeals by blocking traffic but for Germans their purpose is to save food.
As an environmentalist I think this is the worst thing to be doing right now, and will I think be counterproductive to their cause.
 

ungreat

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If ownership of a football club is what it takes to hammer home how bad oligarch ownership of British assets is, then I'd be glad of it making headlines.
I agree but I rather suspect that the football aspect will trump any humanitarian issue.....

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It's not about football it us about a Russian oligarch who is alleged to be close to Putting, it just coincidentally happens to be a Russian oligarch who owns a football club.
I notice me mentioning football has provoked a reply. If it wasn't the case I doubt it would have had any reply.....never mind the poor citizens of Ukraine....what about some football club!
 

Roast Veg

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I agree but I rather suspect that the football aspect will trump any humanitarian issue.....
Are you suggesting that the proposed seizure of a football club as an asset owned by an oligarch would prevent the club from continuing to play? I doubt it. In any case, the important decisions being made on this issue should hopefully be made by those who aren't pro-russian by virtue of their favourite sports team.
 

OhNoAPacer

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I agree but I rather suspect that the football aspect will trump any humanitarian issue.....

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I notice me mentioning football has provoked a reply. If it wasn't the case I doubt it would have had any reply.....never mind the poor citizens of Ukraine....what about some football club!
I explained why it was not about football but about wanting to take sanctions against someone who just happens to own a football club. No different to sanctioning someone who happened to own, say, a shopping centre, it would not be about putting shopping above peoples lives.
 

ungreat

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Are you suggesting that the proposed seizure of a football club as an asset owned by an oligarch would prevent the club from continuing to play? I doubt it. In any case, the important decisions being made on this issue should hopefully be made by those who aren't pro-russian by virtue of their favourite sports team.
No.
What I'm suggesting is that the football aspect of this will be far more important to some than the possible awful consequences of this situation.

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I explained why it was not about football but about wanting to take sanctions against someone who just happens to own a football club. No different to sanctioning someone who happened to own, say, a shopping centre, it would not be about putting shopping above peoples lives.
I'd like to think that you were right but I fear that football will be more important to some people
 

DynamicSpirit

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It's not about football it us about a Russian oligarch who is alleged to be close to Putting, it just coincidentally happens to be a Russian oligarch who owns a football club.

I have to admit to some concerns about seizing assets of individuals - which basically amounts to state-theft. I don't know the details of Roman Abramovich or what the allegations against him are, but there are a couple of principles here, that (a) the UK is supposed to be a country of laws, not a place where the Government arbitrarily goes around commandeering peoples' property, and (b) the last thing we want to do is be collectively punishing people just because they happen to be Russian citizens who live in or own stuff in the UK. Being Russian is not a crime. Being wealthy is also not a crime. If it can be shown that Abramovich's assets were obtained illegally/unethically/as a result of patronage to Putin, and that he is somehow enabling the invasion of Ukraine, then I'd probably say, fair enough, there may be a case in this instance, but you'd need some pretty good evidence (Are there specific allegations that I don't know about?).

Otherwise, I'd rather we focused on helping Ukraine as much as possible and taking actions that impact Russia and the Russian Government as a whole, not single out Russian citizens (other than those Russians who are involved with the Government/with supporting the invasion, whom it's clearly quite appropriate to direct sanctions against).
 

Roast Veg

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No.
What I'm suggesting is that the football aspect of this will be far more important to some than the possible awful consequences of this situation.
So be it. Everybody has their interests and for some a humanitarian crisis in a far off place is at best a passing concern, that doesn't make them insensitive.
 

Gloster

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I am afraid that I agree (with #254). People will tie themselves into knots in order to justify appalling behaviour by their favourite team or one of its players. They will also extend this, if not to such an extreme length, to any member of the football ‘family’. Politicians, knowing the power that football has through its media rights and coverage (and ownership) are likely to try and avoid upsetting the family and may soft pedal on something like sanctions or expulsions.
 
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OhNoAPacer

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I have to admit to some concerns about seizing assets of individuals - which basically amounts to state-theft. I don't know the details of Roman Abramovich or what the allegations against him are, but there are a couple of principles here, that (a) the UK is supposed to be a country of laws, not a place where the Government arbitrarily goes around commandeering peoples' property, and (b) the last thing we want to do is be collectively punishing people just because they happen to be Russian citizens who live in or own stuff in the UK. Being Russian is not a crime. Being wealthy is also not a crime. If it can be shown that Abramovich's assets were obtained illegally/unethically/as a result of patronage to Putin, and that he is somehow enabling the invasion of Ukraine, then I'd probably say, fair enough, there may be a case in this instance, but you'd need some pretty good evidence (Are there specific allegations that I don't know about?).

Otherwise, I'd rather we focused on helping Ukraine as much as possible and taking actions that impact Russia and the Russian Government as a whole, not single out Russian citizens (other than those Russians who are involved with the Government/with supporting the invasion, whom it's clearly quite appropriate to direct sanctions against).
I don't know the allegations, other than the broadbrush rumours that have abounded for years.
I am not advocating action against any individual, my post was trying to explain that the call by an mp to sanction him was not a football matter per se.
 

brad465

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I have to admit to some concerns about seizing assets of individuals - which basically amounts to state-theft. I don't know the details of Roman Abramovich or what the allegations against him are, but there are a couple of principles here, that (a) the UK is supposed to be a country of laws, not a place where the Government arbitrarily goes around commandeering peoples' property, and (b) the last thing we want to do is be collectively punishing people just because they happen to be Russian citizens who live in or own stuff in the UK. Being Russian is not a crime. Being wealthy is also not a crime. If it can be shown that Abramovich's assets were obtained illegally/unethically/as a result of patronage to Putin, and that he is somehow enabling the invasion of Ukraine, then I'd probably say, fair enough, there may be a case in this instance, but you'd need some pretty good evidence (Are there specific allegations that I don't know about?).

Otherwise, I'd rather we focused on helping Ukraine as much as possible and taking actions that impact Russia and the Russian Government as a whole, not single out Russian citizens (other than those Russians who are involved with the Government/with supporting the invasion, whom it's clearly quite appropriate to direct sanctions against).
The call to seize his assets is based on a 2019 Home Office report that got leaked. I haven't seen the full report and suspect most haven't either, but the main take from it was that Abramovich shouldn't be allowed to be based in the UK. I suspect all the evidence needed to decide whether or not his assets should be seized can be obtained from that report.
 

AlterEgo

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I agree but I rather suspect that the football aspect will trump any humanitarian issue.....

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==


I notice me mentioning football has provoked a reply. If it wasn't the case I doubt it would have had any reply.....never mind the poor citizens of Ukraine....what about some football club!
There’s a thread about Eurovision now. Not even 24 hours since the Russians started exploding Ukrainians in their own country.

We really are a grossly over-entertained and decadent society so utterly detached from the reality of war.
 

Annetts key

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Putin's dire warning this morning.....

"Whoever would try to stop us and further create threats to our country, to our people, should know that Russia's response will be immediate and lead you to such consequences that you have never faced in your history,"
"We are ready for any outcome."
So is the answer to a bully, to appease him? No. This should be a call for military action by the U.K. and it’s allies.

NATO can yet still go all-in. Whilst initially the free world did not commit with this, I think it’s totally fine to change its mind, in light of Putin’s word - such as “no invasion planned” - being so worthless.

There is no fear against going against Russia now, it’s not like they might start a war or something, they already have.

Personally, playing armchair general a bit, I’d send the troops already in Poland and the Baltic’s straight across their respective borders. Russia would be forced to redeploy its troops which would take the pressure off Ukraine a bit.
If you mean the U.K. and it’s allies (who happen to be NATO members), yes, I agree with what you suggest. But first the allied Air forces should impose a no fly zone over Ukraine, to keep the Russian Air Force out of it.

Russian forces are currently bombing residential areas of Ukraine killing innocent civilians. Anyone who tries to defend them on here is nothing but an appeaser to those committing war crimes
Agree. It is 100% clear who is the warmonger here. It’s Russia under Vladimir Putin.

Russian World Chess Champion Garry Kasparov seems to have the right idea:


Ok, after years of warnings were ignored and hearing "Garry, you were right!" all damn day today, I'll repeat what I said in 2014: Stop telling me I was right and listen to what I'm saying now. My recommendations follow: 1/5

-Support Ukraine militarily, immediately, everything but boots on the ground. All weapons, intel, cyber. -Bankrupt Putin's war machine. Freeze & seize Russia's finances & those of him and his gang. -Kick Russia out of every intl & financial institution. PACE, Interpol, etc 2/5

-Recall all ambassadors from Russia. There is no point in talking. The new unified message is "stop or be isolated completely". -Ban all elements of Putin's global propaganda machine. Turn them off, shut them down, send them home. Stop helping the dictator spread lies & hate. 3/5

-Expose and act against Putin's lackeys in the free world. If Schröder and his ilk continue to work for Putin, bring charges. Ask the owners & advertisers of networks platforming Putin propagandists like Carlson why they allow it. 4/5

-Replace Russian oil & gas. Pressure OPEC, increase production, reopen Keystone. You can't save the planet if you don't save the people on it. -Acknowledge there will be costs, sacrifices. We waited to long, the price is high, but it will only get higher. It's time to fight. 5/5

Cannot ignore the political 5th column of Putinists, from the far right & left in EU to the tankies & Trump & his GOP followers in the US. They may have the right to support a brutal dictator's war in order to criticize Biden, but it's disgusting and anti-American. Do not forget.
Whilst I agree, I don’t think this will be enough, and the effects will not be quick enough to prevent a substantial loss of life.

If Putin's reason is that he fears NATO, then it’s clear that NATO members should take military action against Russia.

I agree. From a NATO perspective the danger of it escalating into a nuclear conflict is too great, and from a Russian perspective it’s suicide. I don’t know what the answer is here to be honest, I’ll say it again though that Putin being toppled from within is probably the best outcome. The fighting looks to be extremely fierce with no shortage of Russian losses and if it becomes a prolonged bloody conflict who knows……
But if NATO members don’t take any military action, it almost certainly will become a long drawn out war. I don’t think if NATO members do take military action against Russia, we will see a nuclear conflict. Putin knows it’s game over if that happens.

I do know how you feel, it certainly wasn’t the news I wanted to wake up to. I don’t think we’re under threat but at the same time the world cannot afford any miscalculations. It’s worth remembering that from a Russian perspective war with the UK let alone the rest of NATO would be catastrophic; they’ll be as keen to avoid any escalation as we are. Putin knows what NATO is capable of which I believe explains his (admittedly rather worrying) sabre rattling over foreign interference.

I know it’s easy to say but try not to worry too much.
I don’t think Russia will fire off any nuclear missiles. But European nations WILL be affected. The cost of fossil fuels will rise further. And hence the cost of food and other consumables will also rise. As well as other products.

I'm pretty sure that Even Putin would baulk at using a nuclear armoury against any NATO countries, knowing the fate that would befall Russia if he did. I would say the reason NATO isn't going into Ukraine is (a) the Ukrainian Government hasn't (yet) asked us to, but more importantly (b) for too long too many Western politicians and Governments have been running scared of 'Stop the War' and similar campaigners, along with too many people taking the attitude of, anything that isn't inside our country isn't our problem, and we've pretty much lost the will to defend democracy and ourselves :( I hope if any good comes out of this awful situation, it'll be that people in the West start realise that if you want to live in a safer World, you do actually have to be willing to fight sometimes.

If the world does not stand up and tell Putin where to shove it, and back that up with military force, Putin or any other leader of a country that is not democratic will take this as a green light that they should be able to get away with furthering their own ideas on invading other countries.

Those comments about 'consequences' for countries who intervene little more than verbal bullying. So even if, he was to be hinting at a nuclear response to the UK for example, whatever he sent would be met in kind due to MAD. With two Trident submarines permanently at sea, that's 80 warheads on their way to Russia. Maybe 120 if three subs were at sea. They may be able to turn the UK into a radioactive theme park but 80x 100kt warheads would render Russia utterly finished as a functional country. Around half of the population would be gone after a few weeks and the rest suffering the after effects. There would be no coming back from that kind of devastation. And that's just if the UK fired back. Putin knows this. Would he want that as his legacy? The man who destroyed Russia?

It's a chilling topic but I genuinely believe MAD will prevent any nuclear escalation.
I agree.

There have been various proxy wars around the world and since the nuclear bombs were dropped on Japan, MAD has worked, in that no one has dared to fire off a nuclear missile or drop a nuclear bomb in anger against another country. And I see no reason for that to change.

Putin obviously wants a legacy. But he wants to live and see his legacy. A nuclear war would literally kill that stone dead.
 

ungreat

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So be it. Everybody has their interests and for some a humanitarian crisis in a far off place is at best a passing concern, that doesn't make them insensitive.
So football IS more important....

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

There’s a thread about Eurovision now. Not even 24 hours since the Russians started exploding Ukrainians in their own country.

We really are a grossly over-entertained and decadent society so utterly detached from the reality of war.
Agreed
 

daodao

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We are too hooked on Russian money for our luxury goods, and of course energy. Western governments know he can just turn down the gas supplies, and people will see their prices rocket, and democratic governments tend not to last well in financial and cost of living crises. There is no appetite for military intervention.

I think there is going to be a lot of blustering and a lot of fairly ineffectual sanctions from our side. Russia will see a short term economic blip, but ultimately a Russian puppet government will be installed in Ukraine and once the media gets bored there will be ongoing atrocities against pro-Western Ukrainians which will seldom be reported.

If Western governments were serious about sanctions, they would stop Russia supplying oil and gas to their countries. Otherwise, the sanctions will be similar in effectiveness to those imposed on Italy by the League of Nations following its invasion of Abyssinia in 1935, which drove Italy into an alliance with Germany. In any case, China will be able to assist Russia to evade any adverse effects of Western sanctions. A China-Russia axis, as now seems likely, will be a formidable future threat to the effete woke Western alliance, which seems to have lost the art of Realpolitik.

The sooner the current Kiev regime realises their position is hopeless, the smaller the tragedy in terms of deaths. It was clear 8 years ago that Russia would not tolerate a hostile Ukraine on its doorstep, but its subsequent rulers have persisted with the fantasy of joining NATO, whose ineffectiveness was demonstrated recently by its humiliating retreat from Kabul. The West could have helped matters by discouraging rather than encouraging this delusion. If the puppet comedian ends up hanging upside down from a piece of string in Red Square, his Western backers will be partly to blame.

Once a sympathetic regime (from Putin's perspective) is installed in Kiev, Russian troops won't need to continue to occupy most of the country overtly.
 
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Bantamzen

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Also cyber warfare seems like another good option, I bet we are better placed to kill their systems than they are ours as we have more advanced technology, plus if we could cut his comms systems then that would go someway to hindering his army.
Maybe, but also a heavier dependence on IT systems makes us a bigger target for an organised attack. However this is far from the only concern, many malicious attack methods and software often leaks out to cyber criminals around the globe. I expect IT security experts are going to have a very busy time.

And also never underestimate the little guy. Having lesser technology doesn't mean they don't pose a serious threat, especially if they are able to live without some of the targets any western based cyber attack might seek to go after.
 

birchesgreen

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There’s a thread about Eurovision now. Not even 24 hours since the Russians started exploding Ukrainians in their own country.

We really are a grossly over-entertained and decadent society so utterly detached from the reality of war.
There are many facets to the story, the Eurovision one can be seen as it is, Russia could be cut off culturally from the rest of Europe just as the Chelsea one is about Russian influence and money in the UK. If you don't like the thread don't use it, i don't see why people have to tell others about it to be honest.
 

DanNCL

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There’s a thread about Eurovision now. Not even 24 hours since the Russians started exploding Ukrainians in their own country.

We really are a grossly over-entertained and decadent society so utterly detached from the reality of war.
I don’t think it’s detached from the reality, I think it’s accepting the reality that as bad as the humanitarian catastrophe in Ukraine as a direct result of Putin’s actions is, there’s nothing we can do to stop it here in the UK. Discussion about other aspects shouldn’t stop just because there’s a terrible war that we can’t do anything about.

So be it. Everybody has their interests and for some a humanitarian crisis in a far off place is at best a passing concern, that doesn't make them insensitive.
Well said. To me (who as the OP of the Eurovision thread will be one of those others are referring to), it was devastating, I actually shed tears when I first saw what was going on yesterday morning. If there was anything I could do to help the millions of innocent people in Ukraine I would do it. But what can we Brits do about it other than talk about it? We have to carry on with our lives, and the question of whether Russia should be allowed to participate in events that are about peace when they’ve just started the largest war in Europe for over 75 years is one that in the eyes of many will be important.
 

GusB

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The sooner the current Kiev regime realises their position is hopeless, the smaller the tragedy in terms of deaths. It was clear 8 years ago that Russia would not tolerate a hostile Ukraine on its doorstep, but its subsequent rulers have persisted with the fantasy of joining NATO, whose ineffectiveness was demonstrated recently by its humiliating retreat from Kabul. The West could have helped matters by discouraging rather than encouraging this delusion. If the puppet comedian ends up hanging upside down from a piece of string in Red Square, his Western backers will be partly to blame.
I don't think we can expect the Ukrainians to roll over and let Russia trample all over them without a fight, and nor should they. We should be supporting them as much as possible because if Putin gets away with this, where next?

He could easily roll into the Baltic states thinking that because we didn't do anything in Ukraine we won't do anything to help them for fear of being directly in conflict with Russia.

What on earth have you got against Ukraine anyway?
 

Falcon1200

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I also find the amount of Kremlin apologists, deeply concerning.

Same here; What was it the Soviets used to call them, 'useful fools' ?

But first the allied Air forces should impose a no fly zone over Ukraine, to keep the Russian Air Force out of it.

Interesting idea, but how would a no fly zone be enforced without NATO forces engaging in direct conflict with the Russian Air Force ?
 

AlterEgo

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Interesting idea, but how would a no fly zone be enforced without NATO forces engaging in direct conflict with the Russian Air Force ?
Well quite. You can't just stroll in and "impose a no fly zone" on a 600,000 sq km country which already has hostile hundreds of military aircraft flying over it without coming into contact with them.

A creation of a negotiated "safe zone" in western Ukraine might be easier but that requires dialogue and frankly the Russians are unlikely to allow Ukrainian resistance fighters to have a safe haven to plan their insurgency.

Separately to this point, Ukraine has few friends able or willing to provide practical help and their resistance is admirable but futile. Notwithstanding their obvious and unalloyed right to exist as a sovereign nation - and let me repeat again that Putin is the aggressor and the bad guy here - Ukraine's conduct as a nation has been of, er, questionable wisdom over the last ten years. They have a preposterous leader, a literal comedian for a president. They unwisely staged a coup in 2014, encouraged by ideas of EU membership. They unwisely set up a regiment of neo-Nazis, whereby they basically took a volunteer militia of unfettered fascists and football hooligans and gave them official badges with Nazi insignia. The Azov battallion is literally a part of the army and is the most monumentally stupid thing for Ukraine to have done because this allows their enemies to project that regiment's evils on the whole populace. Ukraine continued to seek support from the EU and NATO even prior to the current crisis and has gone along with the West's unwise objective of trying to strip Ukraine away from the very overbearing orbit of Russia.

Russia is aggressive and borderline psychopathic in its conduct, having used war as statecraft numerous times in the Putin era. South Ossetia, Chechnya, Georgia, Syria, Crimea, etc etc. Why provoke such an angry and insecure state?
 

Annetts key

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Interesting idea, but how would a no fly zone be enforced without NATO forces engaging in direct conflict with the Russian Air Force ?
This will be the point when we (“the West”) discover if Putin has the balls to engage directly with our (the alliance) forces. Or if that will force him to change direction.

I think we need to call his bluff immediately. The longer we wait for sanctions to work (I don’t think they will), the worst the situation will become. Both for Ukraine and for the rest of the world.
 

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