An earlier comment said about Horton saying he could not guarantee staffing levels in the next franchise, sorry but of course he can't say anything regards this surely he can only answer about this franchise.
It could be argued at least by introducing the OBS role which GTR have committed to for the length of the franchise gives a number of years for staff to prepare if they expect to be made redundant.
A DfT official in charge of future franchising and government policy should have been there to answer a lot of questions. Peter Wilkinson would fit the bill but apparently he's been banned anywhere near a microphone or camera. :roll:
I hope eventually you may get the gist of what a few of us are saying. The RMT are a trade union and trade unions are there to protect members jobs, conditions and other work related needs. It's not a perfect organisation, no trade union is.
A conductor/guard is required as per the railway rule book to be on services that are non-DOO. Not only IMHO a safer method of working it also protects jobs and establishments at depots for future franchises as well. It protects passengers as well, as your ticket gets you two safety critical, safety trained staff and not an agency worker like G4S checking your ticket. It doesn't matter what owner or uniform you wear, you still end up working to the same or similar terms and conditions as the last company. I know of several staff members who have worked at the same depot and rolling stock for nearly 30 years under many different uniforms and owners.
As soon as you remove the requirement to have a guard, the service becomes DOO. The guards then become this OBS role and aren't required for operations and that is what I call a luxury. Luxury's are the first thing that new franchises either remove. TTIs, RPIs and catering staff are not required to move trains, TOCs see it as an expendable cost and will simply remove them to save money.
There are many staff members that will still work at the same depot long after Horton, Dyan, Govia and GTR have left the building. It's a long term thing, as soon as you agree to losing the operational protection that you have for a job then your on borrowed time.
In theory, if GTR (and the DfT) get their way, they successfully bring in this OBS role. Then they realise they can't make the profit margins they want from the franchise (currently at 1.5%, much less than bus operations) so they bail out of the franchise. The DfT can look at the options again, refranchise and the new owners can then dispense with OBS and replace them with much cheaper and not safety critical trained RPIs in lesser numbers that will just penalty fare every once in a blue moon.
I'll await the topics in around 5 years time when people start asking "Where was the On Board Supervisor" or "Why are there no ticket checkers on Southern trains".... I don't want to say 'I told you so' as it means over 400 people have potentially lost their jobs.
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Isn't that mostly the fault of rather poor, short sighted and weak previous management for not being more free and willing to explain clearly to all their potential recruits in recent years that the position they're applying for was mainly an operational roll right now but would in all probabilities soon become more a customer service based one, allowing them a more realistically informed decision at the time
No because the previous managers (meet the new boss, same as the new boss) worked for the Old Southern which was headed up by exactly the same parent company and their response would be....
"There are no plans to replace or remove Conductors on trains"