penrithsteve
Member
Coming back to the OP I think its highly unlikely that we've seen the last rail closure in my lifetime. Our transport needs continue to evolve, and the rail network will change with it.
Predicting the future is notoriously difficult, but here's a few scenarios that might result in a line closing:
i) Building of a new alignment to speed up an existing line (like the Selby diversion), resulting in the old line closing. The Dawlish sea wall is just one example of where this could happen. There's also been suggestions to divert Newquay services to St Austell, which would doubtless mean the closure of the line via Bugle.
ii) A new line, perhaps to a new town or airport, which draws traffic away from an old line.
iii) Closure of a line, and replacement with a cheaper form of transport - either light rail or a dreaded guided busway. Not inconceivable that Stourbridge Town or even Ryde-Shanklin might go this way in the future.
ii) Closure of a port (or maybe even an airport!). There aren't many that are rail served left, but this seems to have been a trend over the last 30 years. For example if the IOM ferries were ever diverted away from Heysham then this line would surely close. At one stage there was talk of the Lymington ferries moving to Keyhaven; and in this scenario you'd struggle to see the line from Lymington Town to Lymington Pier being retained.
iii) A major structure requiring complete replacement. For example if the Calstock or Glenfinnan viaducts ever required complete replacement then you'd struggle to justify the retention of lines to Gunnislake and Mallaig. This may be a long way off, but we have lots of lots of Victorian infrastructure on lightly served lines.
I'm not saying that these would all be a good thing, or that any of the above will happen. However its almost certain that we'll see the rail network evolve to some degree in the years ahead.
Predicting the future is notoriously difficult, but here's a few scenarios that might result in a line closing:
i) Building of a new alignment to speed up an existing line (like the Selby diversion), resulting in the old line closing. The Dawlish sea wall is just one example of where this could happen. There's also been suggestions to divert Newquay services to St Austell, which would doubtless mean the closure of the line via Bugle.
ii) A new line, perhaps to a new town or airport, which draws traffic away from an old line.
iii) Closure of a line, and replacement with a cheaper form of transport - either light rail or a dreaded guided busway. Not inconceivable that Stourbridge Town or even Ryde-Shanklin might go this way in the future.
ii) Closure of a port (or maybe even an airport!). There aren't many that are rail served left, but this seems to have been a trend over the last 30 years. For example if the IOM ferries were ever diverted away from Heysham then this line would surely close. At one stage there was talk of the Lymington ferries moving to Keyhaven; and in this scenario you'd struggle to see the line from Lymington Town to Lymington Pier being retained.
iii) A major structure requiring complete replacement. For example if the Calstock or Glenfinnan viaducts ever required complete replacement then you'd struggle to justify the retention of lines to Gunnislake and Mallaig. This may be a long way off, but we have lots of lots of Victorian infrastructure on lightly served lines.
I'm not saying that these would all be a good thing, or that any of the above will happen. However its almost certain that we'll see the rail network evolve to some degree in the years ahead.