I
I can't comment on Wakefield but Birmingham - London is less than half of the traffic arriving into Euston on the 'EBW' services. Or in other words, the 'others' are in the majority.
Well in all my years of going up and down the ECML I don't think I have ever seen more than about two dozen people get off or on at Wakefield, compared to dozens to hundreds at Leeds and dozens at Doncaster.
And if HS2 includes a south leeds station for parkway purposes as it probably will, people using it as a railhead in the peaks will be able to use HS2 instead for the same purpose without having to go all the way into Leeds.
As I assume that Wolverhampton would be retaining the majority of its trains in the form of this current hourly off peak service (maybe including some peak extras), the remaining places served by the Birmingham trains with the exception of Coventry would continue to be served by the residual ICWC conventional services to a similar extent to normal.
Only Coventry really loses out significantly.
Watford Junction would also lose ICWC service to save Rugby, but that has so many trains serving it I don't think it is a major hardship, especially with OOC Interchange opening to provide service from North London to Birmingham.
HS2 is due to have 2tph to Newcastle so there won't be additional services from Doncaster to Newcastle.
As far as I understand it, there are no actual plans with regards to an actual service plan, we have nothing on that point yet, all we have are various specimens provided to help work out how many trainsets of each type would be required.
2tph to Newcastle without making the journey significantly quicker makes no real sense at all. Especially as they will supposedly be 250m sets, which means that 2 half paths are wasted for no good reason at all.
These are primarily meant to make everyone support the project and provide fat to be trimmed in future "value engineering" exercises.
Clearly it is impossible to never negatively impact anywhere however we should always try to keep to a minimum. Spending £33bn to create such a situation is a disgrace. You are advocating an elistist approach to transport planning.
I am advocating connecting the major cities, which are
where people live, and I don't really see what the elitism comment is about, since shippign people on a high speed line will actually be
cheaper per passenger thanks to all the economies of scale from large trains and a brand new infrastructure with only one signalling centre with about four staff in it and a lack of trackside signal infrastructure to maintain.
(Especially if ERTMS Level 3 gets implemented in time)
The OFFICIAL plan as of earlier this year for phase 2 is for hourly HS trains to Glasgow and hourly to Edinburgh via Carlisle (stopping "Manchester interchange", Preston & Carlisle only). 390s via Weedon would call at other stations. It might not make sense in your head but don't present your ("interesting") opinions as in anyway factual.
Like I said, there is no "Official" plan as yet, and that plan clearly makes no sense at all since you can't save any time at all without positing the existing of rolling stock that does not and probably will never exist. (The highest speed tilting trains that are adaptable for the UK practically do 155mph).
The Wilmslow services form the second fast train for Crewe and for Stockport also. HS2 is due to have 1tph from Crewe. Having higher frequencies is about attracting people to the service - we don't "need" 2tph on the core of XC for capacity purposes but it is there to encourage growth.
The second fast train for Crewe could just as easily be a second train to Liverpool instead of another Manchester train.
Once again, we have no real idea what services will be provided by HS2, which is still in the phase of promising to be all things to all people.
Yes, but we can't afford to run nine or eleven coach Pendolinos twice an hour via Stockport if you remove the Manchester passengers onto HS2, which would reduce costs and travel time for them. (We could flood the market with so many cheap advances as to crush coach travel in the Manchester-London corridor).
So in essence to keep a second path for Stockport you want to sacrifice the benefits that will accrue to the people of Manchester Leeds and Birmingham.