rmHawk765
Member
As far as I know and as mentioned already, new Aventras are no longer being designed and manufactured. Though Alstom obviously has newer platforms which may be considered. The problem with the Aventras was that their reliability was a bit of a mixed bag. The 710s which currently perform somewhat similar roles were delayed by almost 2 years. But the very similar 345s had little issues. Now both perform absolutely fine. However, the 701s were and sort of still are a reliability disaster, and to all intents and purposes would have been most similar to any sort of Aventras SE might have ordered, which I think is what may really put SE off selecting Alstom.As I'm sure you're aware, Southeastern's aging Networkers are set to be replaced by new trains, which will likely be arriving in the late 2020s - early 2030s.
What I'm wondering, though, is just what trains they will use to replace the Networkers.
Will they use an Aventra? Stadler Metro? Desiro City? AT200 (a'la DC 385?) Or will they order a new design from scratch that we haven't seen yet?
Me personally - I think SE will be pushing for Desiro Cities as much as possible. They already have the 707s, which are not going anywhere any time soon, and it would be good for fleet efficiency to order similar trains if possible. The only stumbling block here is I'm not sure if Siemens still have the parts/means to make a Desiro City - it's been a good few years since the 707 and 717 were made. If they can't get a Desiro City, I honestly think they might opt for a brand-new platform of train.
Why? Well, Aventras and 777s - Stadler Metros - have both had severe reliability issues to the point where they are even worse than the 30-year old Networkers (especially the Aventras), and the 385 is a few years old so whether another AT200 can be made is uncertain, similar to the Desiro City situation.
What do you think? Let's speculate and discuss.
As for Siemens, well I think there's a pretty good chance they might get chosen. The Desiro City units might have bad seats but other than that they're very good trains for metro-style services like the ones SE is ordering trains for, of course. They have been tried and tested in the southern region and their interiors overall are fantastic for metro-style services. More comfortable seats and arguably a slightly less clinical interior would make them perfect really.
Hitachi? Well I've never tried the AT200s myself, but to my knowledge they are very reliable. I think simply because they haven't been tried and tested outside of Scotland, SE probably won't have them as a first choice.
Finally Stadler, and here I think it again depends on whether SE wants to try something new or not. The 745s and 755s had a pretty smooth introduction, and are very reliable - but the arguably more relevant 777s and 555s are sort of the opposite. And even so the 777s and 555s perform different roles to what the Networkers do at the minute.
Overall my preference and also what I think is mostly likely are some Desiros. They're tried and tested in the southern region and are very well designed for metro services.