All Line Rover
Established Member
- Joined
- 17 Feb 2011
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Ah, it's been a few months, so it had to crop up again.
No-one who proposes such a system ever answers my questions. I invite you to be the first!
1) Please give me the proposed fares from York to Whitby for a day return, avoiding Darlington, and tell me how this fare is calculated and whether you think it will be competetive with the coach service provided by Coastliner that costs only slightly more than the current rail ticket price but offers a shorter journey time?
Rail #686 p.20 said that the average price on regional routes is 17ppm. However, as you say, the Middlesbrough to Whitby route in particular suffers from competition with the coach - shown by the fact fares on this route are very low.
In order to maintain decent revenue on the York to Middlesbrough route, I propose that the ppm on this route be higher than on the Middlesbrough to Whitby route (in order to encourage users to travel to Whitby). I will only stick with "Off-Peak" prices, seeing as the only "Not Darlington" York to Whitby ticket is an Off-Peak Day return.
Prices will be 12ppm for York to Middlesbrough, 10ppm for Middlesbrough to Whitby, and 9ppm for a York to Whitby through journey (because the ppm decreases as journey length increases, to encourage people to make longer journeys).
RailMiles calculates York to Middlesbrough as 100 miles return, and Middlesbrough to Whitby as 70 miles return.
So, using my proposed fares above, the price for York to Middlesbrough would be £12 for an Off-Peak Day return, which compares favourably with the current price of £11.80.
The price for Middlesbrough to Whitby would be £7 for an Anytime return, which is reasonable compared to the current price of £9.20 return.
And the price for a through journey from York to Whitby would be £15.30 return, which also compared favourably with the current price of £12.80 return.
Maybe it just has to be accepted that the coach is more appealing on this particular route. The train cannot be the best option on every route, but at least on this route the train remains an attractive option because the fare is reasonable.
2) Please give me the proposed fares from York to London for a day return, and if this is lower than current prices, tell me where the revenue will be brought in to compensate EC for the revenue loss?
I'm assuming you want all fares excluding Advance fares?
Rail #686 p.20 said that the average price on long distances routes is 22ppm. This includes Advance fares (which is likely to lower the average significantly) but also includes Anytime fares (which is likely to raise the average slightly).
On balance, I think the following prices would be reasonable for a York to London journey: 25ppm for Super-Off-Peak tickets, 40ppm for Off-Peak tickets, and 70ppm for Anytime tickets.
RailMiles calculates the distance as 376 miles return.
So, using my proposed fares above, the prices would be:
- £94 for a Super-Off-Peak return
- £150.40 for an Off-Peak return
- £263.20 for an Anytime return
Remarkably, these are very similar to the current figures of £100.10 for a Super-Off-Peak return, £171 for an Off-Peak return, and £255 for an Anytime return.
Discounts on the ppm could be offered for TOC only tickets (e.g. Grand Central) as well as for Advance tickets.
Out of interest, since this is related, here are the proposed ppm figures for Peterborough to London (which are higher, as remember, the ppm increases as journey length decreases, and vice versa): 30ppm for Super-Off-Peak tickets, 50ppm for Off-Peak tickets and 85ppm for Anytime tickets.
RailMiles calculates the distance as 152 miles return.
So, using my proposed fares above, the prices would be:
- £45.60 for a Super-Off-Peak return
- £75 for an Off-Peak return
- £129.20 for an Anytime return.
Again, these are remarkably similar to the current figures of £47.10 for a Super-Off-Peak return, £76 for an Off-Peak return and £105 for an Anytime return.
And once again, discounts on the ppm could be offered for TOC only tickets (e.g. First Capital Connect) as well as for Advance tickets.
3) Please give me the proposed fares from Peterborough to Leicester, and also Leicester to Nottingham, and let me know how you are calculating the mileage and whether under your system it will be permitted to travel from Peterborough to Nottingham via Leicester or not, and if someone does go via Leicester what excess will be charged (if any)?
In the highly unlikely event that these questions can be answered in a way that would be satisfactory to the DfT, ATOC, the TOCs, and passengers, then I will be quite shocked.
A Peterborough to Nottingham ticket is valid via Grantham or Leicester. So obviously, a Peterborough to Nottingham ticket should not cost more than any of the following tickets: Peterborough to Leicester, Leicester to Nottingham, Peterborough to Grantham and Grantham to Nottingham.
For simplicity, I will focus on Anytime fares, and will treat SDR's and SOR's as the same ticket. If I examined Off-Peak tickets, Off-Peak Day tickets, Super-Off-Peak tickets, etc., etc... I would be here forever, although the pricing structure would be similar.
Before I can determine the price of a Peterborough to Nottingham ticket, I must determine the prices for the other 4 journeys mentioned.
RailMiles calculates Peterborough to Leicester as 104 miles return. Being a regional/intercity route, I will charge 32ppm for an Anytime ticket. This works out at £33.30 for an Anytime return, which compares favourably with the current price of £35.50 return.
RailMiles calculates Leicester to Nottingham as 54 miles return. Again, being a regional/intercity route, I will charge 32ppm for an Anytime ticket. This works out at £17.30 for an Anytime return, which is higher than the current price of £11.10 for an SDR, but lower than the current price of £22 for an SOR.
RailMiles calculates Peterborough to Grantham as 58 miles return. Again, being a regional/intercity route, I will charge 32ppm for an Anytime ticket. This works out at £18.60 for an Anytime return, which is almost identical to the current price of £18.40 return.
RailMailes calculates Grantham to Nottingham as 44 miles return. Being a regional route, I will charge 28ppm for an Anytime ticket. This works out at £12.30 for an Anytime return, which is significantly higher than the current price of £8.70 return, but the current price seems far too cheap!
So, now we come to calculating the Peterborough to Nottingham ticket. RailMiles calculates going via Grantham as 102 miles return, and going via Leicester as 158 miles return. According to National Rail Enquiries, it is almost always quicker to travel via Grantham (on which direct trains are available), and even when it is quicker to travel via Leicester (which involves a change of train) a direct train via Grantham is usually just 10 minutes later. I do not think there is a big enough case to allow travel via Leicester on the "Any Permitted" ticket (the current Peterborough to Nottingham ticket being valid via Leicester is a loophole of the current system, since it is cheaper than a Peterborough to Leicester ticket), so the "Any Permitted" ticket will no longer will valid via Leicester.
Peterborough to Nottingham (via Grantham) is a regional/intercity route, but as it involves travelling between Grantham and Nottingham which is a solely regional route, I will charge an average price of 30ppm. Based on 102 miles, this works out at £30.60 return for a "Route Grantham" ticket. Once again, this compares favorably with the current price of £31 return!
The price of the "Any Permitted" ticket will be based on the longest reasonable route (via Leicester - 158 miles). Being a fairly long distance, the price will be a lower 25ppm. This works out at £39.50 return, which is a very reasonable price.
Of course, all of the above will need fine-tuning, but it would eliminate many of the "loopholes" of the current system, such as split-ticketing and over-distance tickets. I also think it would reduce confusion and offer more transparent pricing. The main thing that would make it work is the idea of "the longer the distance the lower the price-per-mile," but also the fact that a shorter distance would never cost more than a longer distance (at the time of purchase).