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Wales & Borders Franchise Consultation

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Doctor Fegg

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Add the miles run per day the qty of ATW's rolling stock allocated and traincrew and station staff needed to run it then its clear that the bulk of ATW's costs are in and around Cardiff Valleys.

In theory, that theory could be proved by outdated (but still, I suspect, valid) information on the subsidies paid to Wales & West and Valley Lines when the latter was a separate franchise. I'm pretty sure I've seen that information somewhere in the past but can't find it on a quick Google.
 
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Gareth Marston

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In theory, that theory could be proved by outdated (but still, I suspect, valid) information on the subsidies paid to Wales & West and Valley Lines when the latter was a separate franchise. I'm pretty sure I've seen that information somewhere in the past but can't find it on a quick Google.

I had access to the Cardiff and Valleys franchise figures back in the day and the subsidy was v high. OK the growth in passengers and revenue since has reduced it but only by so much.
 

frodshamfella

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Yes, I think the main W&B hourly service between Manchester and North Wales should call at Newton-Le-Willows, Warrington Bank Quay, Chester, Fflint, Rhyl, Llandudno Junction, Bangor and Holyhead only, with Northern's class 195 units taking up all the calls currently served by ATW between Chester and Manchester. In the peaks, when Northern will operate to Ellesmere Port instead of Chester and W&B will have 2tph the 'peak-extra' W&B service should make all the calls ATW currently do.

I believe at least one of the user-groups/lobby-groups/local-authorities who responded to one of the consultations also called for the W&B service to make fewer calls east of Chester.

Unless by 'cutting' you mean introducing the need to change train for some journeys I am not suggesting a cut, since I am not suggesting a reduction in services. Basically what I am saying is that the introduction of a second train each hour between Manchester and Chester should be used as an oppertunity to introduce a faster service once an hour, rather than doubling the frequency at all stations. I'm also saying that the fast one should be the one that continues into North Wales using regional express stock rather than the one that terminates at Chester.

By speeding up the service the franchise would be making it more attractive to passengers making longer journeys, so it should be strengthing this profitable service not damaging it.

That's what I'm afraid will happen and W&B will be left serving Runcorn Frodsham and Helsby, a barmy suituation where Northern's trains with doors at thirds (better able to deal with more stops) run fast and the W&B class 175s make the stops. That's a bit silly and if that's the plan I hope it gets changed (and not by downgrading the route to suburban trains on every service).

I don't see what you're getting at there; as you said above north Wales to Manchester is one of the most profitable services in the franchise, so why would you terminate them at Chester?

Right; I forgot to mention that I think the station management responsibilities for those stops should pass to Northern along with the requirement to call at them (although depending on where it goes after Chester the Halton Curve service could also call at Helsby and Frodsham).

The reason I think there should be fast trains is that I believe in trying to entice people away from driving private cars and given the advantages that mode has you need a seriously good rail offer. One area where rail can sometimes beat road is the journey time, but 55mins or more for a stopping train between Chester and Llandudno Junction doesn't cut it when the AA website tells me 52mins to drive between the two (it's 53 according to Google).

I would say however that my calling pattern above for the fast service is for my 3tph scenario; if I limited myself to 2tph then Prestatyn and Colwyn Bay would be listed too.


I understood that the new Halton Curve service would definitely be calling at Helsby and Frodsham giving these stations direct Liverpool links plus a link to Liverpool Airport as it would for Chester and at some point furher a field. As a frequent user of Frodsham Station a second train an hour would be most beneficial. The present situation of one per hour ( very often late, and lately very late I had two occasions of 30 plus minutes delayed ) is not sufficient...trains are packed and can only two carriages often. Two trains an hour would be great.
 

Rhydgaled

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I understood that the new Halton Curve service would definitely be calling at Helsby and Frodsham giving these stations direct Liverpool links plus a link to Liverpool Airport as it would for Chester and at some point furher a field. As a frequent user of Frodsham Station a second train an hour would be most beneficial. The present situation of one per hour ( very often late, and lately very late I had two occasions of 30 plus minutes delayed ) is not sufficient...trains are packed and can only two carriages often. Two trains an hour would be great.
Ok, sounds like having the Llandudno stopper run through to Liverpool via the Halton Curve would be a good option then.

(North Llanrwst and its passing loop is about one third of the way along the single track line, which doesn't help much with a standard pattern timetable. Betws y Coed's passing loop would have been better sited, but the trackbed there's now part of the railway museum.)
It may be a third up the line measured from Llandudno Junction, but from Llandudno it doesn't seem far off halfway in travel time (about 7 minutes out I think).

It would to me be good if they could go back to having a 2-hourly Holyhead-Llandudno-Blaenau local services circuit and take the request stops out of the mainline services. That's what it used to be.

One of the things that really badly affects the Valley is that the trains are not timed for people to commute by rail to retail/daytime tourism jobs in Llandudno. To me that's throwing money away.
See the attached timetable of trains to/from Llandudno I knocked up quickly (mostly just to see how many units it would need). Is that the sort of thing you are thinking of?

Fishguard to Carmarthen will probably never be profitable. Infrequent services and a small town at the end of a very isolated line that only really caters for those making long distance journeys (and/or those using the ferry).
Profitable no, but with express trains to/from Cardiff (avoiding Swansea) connecting with BOTH ferries in BOTH directions and services to/from Swansea bringing the frequency up to roughly every two hours (with one three hour gap to maintain the current 08:43 arrival in Carmarthen and a 17:something departure from there in the evening) it isn't a daft line (particularly if the bus services in the area made sense, which they don't at the moment).

I don't know much about the Pembroke or Milford Haven lines. I'd imagine the Pembroke line would be most deserving of improvements in Pembrokeshire for the seasonal traffic to Tenby, also towns at Pembroke and the Dock and many halts that will help to trickle extra passenger numbers onto these trains and provide some local journeys.
The Milford Haven line I think should go up to roughly hourly (with a mix of Swansea services and expresses to Cardiff similar to the Fishguard boat trains mentioned above), I've seen enough passengers waiting on the platform at Haverfordwest on a Saturday morning to take nearly every seat on the 175 that turned up, I think it was even a 3-car one. I've no idea what traffic is like to Tenby in the low season but even in summer trains west of Tenby are generally pretty empty I think. I expect the problem is that going via Tenby is a huge detour for Pembroke passengers heading for Carmarthen, Swansea etc. so any additional train services should run only from Swansea to Tenby in my opinion. Even if the whole branch stays at a 2-hourly frequency it really needs a passing loop somewhere between Narberth and Saundersfoot in order to fit into an every-30ish-minutes pattern between Whitland and Swansea. Without an extra loop if it goes west half an hour after a Fishguard or Milford it will get back to Whitland at pretty much exactly the same time as the north Pembs. service does.

Pembroke and Pembroke Dock I think would benifit more from a bus link (accepting rail tickets and vice-versa) direct to Carmarthen (possibly continuing to Llandeilo/Llandovery).
 

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  • Llandudno services timetable.pdf
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krus_aragon

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Yes, that kind of thing. With that introduced, the hourly express (somewhere)-Chester-Holyhead would then only call at Bangor and Conwy before Llandudno Jn.

Combine it with a proper two-hourly extension of the Euston-Chester services to Bangor/Holyhead, and I'd be quite happy with services south/west of the Junction.
 

Bletchleyite

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LNW-GW Joint

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There's a 6-page spread in this week's Rail (#835, p42), interviewing Andy Thomas, Network Rail's Wales Route MD, in which we learn...nothing.
Except that Andy has wide experience of operating railways at TfL and overseas (India, New South Wales) and seems a good fit for the job.
Certainly he is a "new broom" in NR terms.

He's busy preparing for the new franchise and for CP6 and seems to have improved relations between NR and the WG and ATW over the old regime.
However, while they are reviewing all the franchise bids and implications, he predictably wasn't saying about their content.
He is of course based at the southern tip of the operation, and seems particularly focussed on the Metro.
We need him to succeed.
 

gareth950

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So if everything has gone to plan 'behind the scenes' between the Welsh Govt and the DfT in their negotiations, Transport for Wales is issuing the ITT to bidders next Tuesday 26/9................

(Of course we still won't find out anything and I doubt the press will even be told whether the ITT has been issued or not)
 
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Gareth Marston

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So if everything has gone to plan 'behind the scenes' between the Welsh Govt and the DfT in their negotiations, Transport for Wales is issuing the ITT to bidders next Tuesday 26/9................

(Of course we still won't find out anything and I doubt the press will even be told whether the ITT has been issued or not)

Had 28/09 said to be from two different sources.
 

Gareth Marston

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There's a 6-page spread in this week's Rail (#835, p42), interviewing Andy Thomas, Network Rail's Wales Route MD, in which we learn...nothing.
Except that Andy has wide experience of operating railways at TfL and overseas (India, New South Wales) and seems a good fit for the job.
Certainly he is a "new broom" in NR terms.

He's busy preparing for the new franchise and for CP6 and seems to have improved relations between NR and the WG and ATW over the old regime.
However, while they are reviewing all the franchise bids and implications, he predictably wasn't saying about their content.
He is of course based at the southern tip of the operation, and seems particularly focussed on the Metro.
We need him to succeed.

There was some transference of staff between Network Rail/Welsh Government/ ATW and reading between the lines some personal animosity might have impacted relationships with ex (junior) colleagues now overseeing or "being in charge" elsewhere.
 

Severn40

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The Assembly is currently debating the Welsh Assembly Economy, Infrastructure and Skills committee's report on the procurement process and awarding of the next franchise.

Watch here: http://www.senedd.tv/Meeting/Live/f2d81a71-2962-477e-8c18-54bfdd2edf5b# (I assume this link will still be valid once the session has ended)

The BBC are reporting that the tender is finally being issued on Thursday (28 September) but the wrangling over devolved powers continues. Not a good start to the formal bidding process and uncertainty that genuine improvement for passengers can actually be achieved.
 

gareth950

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The BBC are reporting that the tender is finally being issued on Thursday (28 September) but the wrangling over devolved powers continues. Not a good start to the formal bidding process and uncertainty that genuine improvement for passengers can actually be achieved.

Yes, this article does make pessimistic reading. How the politicians can still claim that everything is still running to schedule in time for the new franchise to start next October defies belief. Especially as the full franchising powers may not be fully devolved until next year, or possibly never, with Welsh Government only being allowed to issue the tender and possibly even the final award under an 'agency agreement' on behalf of the SoS.

In other words, Grayling is refusing to hand over complete control of the franchise award process to Welsh Govt as originally agreed over 3 years ago, even though the DfT has done everything they can to undermine Welsh Govt at every turn and have washed their hands of the franchise.
 
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Gareth Marston

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Yes, this article does make pessimistic reading. How the politicians can still claim that everything is still running to schedule in time for the new franchise to start next October defies belief. Especially as the full franchising powers may not be fully devolved until next year, or possibly never, with Welsh Government only being allowed to issue the tender and possibly even the final award under an 'agency agreement' on behalf of the SoS.

In other words, Grayling is refusing to hand over complete control of the franchise award process to Welsh Govt as originally agreed over 3 years ago, even though the DfT has done everything they can to undermine Welsh Govt at every turn and have washed their hands of the franchise.

Well I always knew all the continual whining for more money and more powers since 2010 from the Welsh Government was not going to end well- they've run into someone with Grayling whose happy to publicly stick two fingers up and apply the reverse gear.

Both sides are as guilty of each other at spending more time playing the game with each other and of course the its the traveling public and the economy that suffers.
 

Olaf

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Yes, this article does make pessimistic reading. How the politicians can still claim that everything is still running to schedule in time for the new franchise to start next October defies belief. Especially as the full franchising powers may not be fully devolved until next year, or possibly never, with Welsh Government only being allowed to issue the tender and possibly even the final award under an 'agency agreement' on behalf of the SoS.

In other words, Grayling is refusing to hand over complete control of the franchise award process to Welsh Govt as originally agreed over 3 years ago, even though the DfT has done everything they can to undermine Welsh Govt at every turn and have washed their hands of the franchise.

The problem is, and which has been a concern from before the they went down this path, was the ability and commitment of the Welsh Authorities to operate within budget; they will not allow a transfer of powers until the regional authorities commit to acting financial responsible.
 

Gareth Marston

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The problem is, and which has been a concern from before the they went down this path, was the ability and commitment of the Welsh Authorities to operate within budget; they will not allow a transfer of powers until the regional authorities commit to acting financial responsible.

Sine devolution in 1999 you can question many decisions and the value for money achieved by them made by WG but not staying within budget is not one of them displayed by the Welsh Government. Its all politics Grayling doesn't like devolution and hes throwing spurious reason up.
 

LNW-GW Joint

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Well, nothing has appeared today on the W&B ITT as far as I can see.
Do we even know if it will appear in the public domain?
If it follows the DfT pattern it will appear (in redacted form), together with a service specification to bid against (and possibly a rolling stock baseline).
That's if the service specification has reached any kind of detailed definition.
The Metro construction aspects are different, as it is not part of the franchise, but you would have expected a broad definition of the scope of the Metro operation and its relationship to the franchise.
 

gareth950

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Well, nothing has appeared today on the W&B ITT as far as I can see.
Do we even know if it will appear in the public domain?
If it follows the DfT pattern it will appear (in redacted form), together with a service specification to bid against (and possibly a rolling stock baseline).
That's if the service specification has reached any kind of detailed definition.
The Metro construction aspects are different, as it is not part of the franchise, but you would have expected a broad definition of the scope of the Metro operation and its relationship to the franchise.

Nothing is going to be released into the public domain. This was one of the main criticisms of the Assembly Committee that wrote the recent report into the Welsh Govt's handling of the whole process of re-awarding this franchise. Only the top teams from the 4 bidders have knowledge of the ITT. If anything is released into the public domain, it will be selected positive spin, good news press releases from Ken Skates' department only.
 
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gareth950

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Blimey!! I agree with Gareth!!

Grayling would happily scrap ALL the devolved Governments and has said so numerous times.

Well devolution isn't going anywhere and Grayling needs to accept this. Welsh Govt have been working with the assumption that they would have the relevant powers devolved to them by January this year at the latest for 3 years now. He doesn't have the authority (which is entirely different to having the power) to tear this agreement up at the very last minute, which is what he is trying to do incrementally by stealth.
 
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Gareth Marston

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I'd happily scrap Grayling and so would a lot of people at DfT...

Remember the B Ark on Hitch Hikers Guide to the Galaxy?

With May not having the mandate she thought she was going to get shes deployed the "were all in this togethar" rather than stampinh her authority im sure he would moved on otherwise.
 

LNW-GW Joint

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Remember the B Ark on Hitch Hikers Guide to the Galaxy?
With May not having the mandate she thought she was going to get shes deployed the "were all in this togethar" rather than stampinh her authority im sure he would moved on otherwise.

He's in the Cabinet as a leading Brexiteer and to shut down the railway spending spree (except HS2).
 

Gareth Marston

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Blimey!! I agree with Gareth!!

Grayling would happily scrap ALL the devolved Governments and has said so numerous times.

Welsh Labour haven't helped themselves in the last 7 years as they've got too distracted in party politics and the obsession for more powers and demands for more £ they've taken their eye off the job of the day to day running of the Welsh Government. Largely they've just been ignored in Westminster but someone sometime was going to bite and fight against and unfortunately it looks the battle ground is the Wales and Border franchise.

This is where the secret squirrel approach and lack of transparency has backfired on Welsh Government as the Marches has on mass gone to the DfT screaming blue murder about their wishes and rights seemingly being ignored by Cardiff and in Grayling they have someone whose listening.....
 

berneyarms

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What exactly is the rationale for the ITT not being published?

Surely the public have a right to know what services are being specified?
 

gareth950

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Here's the first of those selective 'good news' press releases I mentioned last night.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-41436083

Most of the article is waffle, but the key points are:

Wales rail franchise 'expected to have more staff'

Trains could have more staff under the next rail franchise, the first minster has announced.

Following "positive and constructive discussions" with the union Wales TUC, Mr Jones said the commitments included:

  • An expectation of more staff employed on the franchise
  • A safety critical conductor (guard) on all trains and services
  • Heavy rail infrastructure outside of core valleys lines will remain with Network Rail
  • Working with the unions around their aspirations for ticket office and station staff
  • "If future legislation allows", for the service to be part of a UK national integrated railway under public ownership

Obviously the key point from this is the commitment to 'a safety critical conductor (guard) on all trains and services', which should head off a dispute with the RMT, although it's not explicitly clear if this will extend to services on the 'Core Valley lines' if converted to light rail/trams.
 
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gareth950

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What exactly is the rationale for the ITT not being published?

Surely the public have a right to know what services are being specified?

That the public won't understand the ITT as it 'will be written in such complex, arcane contractual language' as it involves the contract to upgrade and run the Metro infrastructure as well and is not a straightforward DfT style franchise. This was the reason given to the Assembly Infrastructure committee a few months ago.

Welsh Labour under Carwyn Jones still very much operate in the New Labour way of controlling the information that they want in the public domain about major projects.
 
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