They seem to be. Liverpool has had a huge boom in container ships and I feel that will only continue with Liverpool2
How many of those are diversions from east coast ports, and how many are new services altogether? Felixstowe, Southampton and Gateway are as busy as ever...
I'll keep saying it, why will anyone invest in the infrastructure for intermodal when there is so little potential in terms of routes for the trains to go.
And I keep saying it, and hopefully it will sink in... Plenty of logistics firms, and the U.K. Government, invest in intermodal infrastructure. However they invest where they know or expect the demand will be, and where they can be reasonably sure they will get a suitable return on that investment. They don’t make substantial speculative investment on the chance that a market might exist, one day. That is a one way trip toinsolvency.
There is little domestic traffic because by and large, the routes don't exist and people haven't put focus on it because it's too difficult to make it work.
You misunderstand. There is little domestic container traffic in the country
by any mode, it’s not just a rail thing; it’s the nature of the geography and economy of the country. A significant majority of ISO boxes you see on the back of a lorry in this country are on a trip to or from a port, or an inland container terminal having recently arrived there on a train from a port. Perhaps I’ll give you the details of my friend who used to run an international container company so he can explain how the container market works.
As i've said before, I think it's just you personally being against any improvements to the railways and against any move towards more domestic intermodal.
As I’ve said before, you don’t know me or what I’ve done. Those that do know me know that what you say above is incorrect. I won’t list the improvements to the railways that I have been personally responsible for, or involved in, as we’d be here all night. I’d genuinely be delighted if there was a case for enabling more intermodal to cross the Pennines by rail. But, at present, there is not enough of a market for this - by any mode - to justify the sort of investment that it entails. If it can be done more cheaply off the back of Transpennine electrification or NPR, then that would be great.
However I think it’s rather poor form to criticise someone you don’t know, when they are trying to explain (perhaps a little too patiently) the realities behind the U.K. logisitcs market, and how that relates to rail. Perhaps you could tell us all what you do for a living, then I can suggest you’re not doing your job properly?
Lots of smaller flows all making the change could enable some larger flows.
As indeed it already does on routes where there are heavy flows of boxes or swapbodies, all starting and/or finishing at the same place, and preferably over a reasonably long distance. As I’ve explained upthread, this simply isn’t the case across the Pennines,
by any mode, at least not sufficiently so to justify independent investment in a route via Skipton / Colne etc. that would be getting on for a billion quid. Perhaps I’ll give you the details of another friend who runs a major logistics firm so he can explain what the U.K. logisitics market looks like, and where the big flows are in this country. Or another friend who runs a rail freight company so that he can explain where the market for rail is (and isn’t).
I've only mentioned the potential routings and someone else mentioned Skipton to Colne.
The OP in post #1. It’s the whole premise of the thread.
If a company in Teesside can make use of a service to Daventry, it's a lot of cost for the swapbodies/containers for that one single flow. If however the also make use of a service to Liverpool, the investment becomes more viable.
That’s not how the container market works, and not really how it works for swapbodies either. But they are different. As I said before, containers are largely rented by the people who use them. Container ‘investment’ is done by a relatively small number of large container operators, the big shipping lines and companies like TRIU etc. It’s a worldwide market. People who need containers rent them from these companies or intermediaries. No investment required.
Swapbodies are much more likely to be owned by the logistics firms themselves - Stobart, Malcolm, Russell etc., so yes, som investment is required. However, to use your example, the investment by a company in swapbodies for a Teeside - Daventry service would likely be entirely independent of a Teeside - Liverpool service. The swapbodies would be bought for the specific flow and commodity and quite probably dedicated to it. The economy of scale comes at the terminals, but in this example, they are already built.
There was no guarantee of the Tweedbank line having usage when that got built, they still built it
There’s no guarantees about anything, especially right now. However, using the Borders line as an example, there was a lot of research, forecasting and modelling done to demonstrate that a market existed for the line. And that research has proved to be reasonably accurate.
It’s the same in the freight market. No logistics firm starts a route, or makes an investment, without having done their homework first. Usually they will have a customer lined up to kick it off. I can assure you that this research has been (and continues to be) done for all sorts of routes and markets around the rail network. And where there is a case to deliver the investment, it tends to happen. All those W10 routes around the country didn’t exist 20 years ago, and us taxpayers have spent hundreds of millions of pounds enabling it. Some of us have even been responsible for some of the work
