Harpers Tate, where do you draw the line though?....5? 10? 20? It's all well and good saying that the trains aren't fit for purpose, but what *is* their primary purpose? Taking people from A-B, or conveying bicycles?
Any large business run well employs people to plan such things. Supermarkets need to know exactly how many pieces of fresh fish to order in daily; they optimise a balance between probable demand and minimal waste. There is an acknowledgement that from time to time there will be waste, and equally in instances of unusual demand, disappointed customers.
If they get it wrong and have too little fish, then what happens is that people get disappointed too often and stop shopping there for fish and the shop's sales fall to a level commnsurate with their supply. And they then mistakenly think they got it right all along. This is the difference between actual demand and latent demand; something that's not well understood.
This really is no different. The primary purpose of a train
ought to be to convey passengers and their luggage. A train will often form only part of a given end-to-end journey; for a greater social "good", making provision for the "firrst and last mile" to be done with a bike ought to be part of the thinking.
Exactly. Do the railways need to bring the 10T standard van back and have it attached to every service just in case 15 bikes turn up? Or do we need to have the wheelchair coach with capacity for 30 chairs, just in case, along with the bike coach and the pram coach? And of course every train should be 12 coaches in case its busy.
All trains 12 coaches is an over the top reaction, of course. However, again going back to the period when I used to commute bike-train-bike, there was at least one brake van within every train, and there was room. For passengers, their luggage, their bikes. And there were a lot of us. If I still had the same journey to make, I could not safely do so in the same manner because I could not be assured of taking my bike with me. So I (and all the others) no longer do so when our jobs depend on it. We go by other means. Which is (usually) a
bad thing. And it's that which exactly explains why typically few people bring bikes nowadays; because they can no longer rely (with, let's say, a 90% probability) they will get on. They therefore must be getting to/from the station by other means. If it's the partner dropping them off in the car - sorry but by no measure is that a good thing. And actual demand for cycle space has fallen solely because of the reduced supply. The unseen latent demand is still there of course.
TOCs are restricted, by Government........how can extra space for bicycles be justified over space for people?
I said
We (meaning society, and the Railway - as determined by both commercial judgement and by politicians) should be seeking to maximise bike-train-bike commutes and other journeys.
which both acknowledges the situation isn't of the TOCs making and answers the justification question. Except to add - I don't see it as being the one over the other. I see it as being the one in addition to the other; at cost - yes; justified by it improving health and reducing road congestion.
Given that cycles and luggage do not earn money...
You really think so? How many people would travel on - oh, I dunno - Virgin West Coast if they bought new trains with absolutely NO luggage space? Of course luggage makes money. It makes money by being a part of an overall offering to customers. If one were to apply similar logic, it's the seats that take up most of the room; they add weight make no money; why not make everyone stand? It's what Ryanair were considering doing. Smaller trains, more economic to run. So, if luggage space is part of an offering, by the same token, allowing someone who chooses to, to begin and end their end-to-end trip by bike (without having to plan ahead or take pot-luck on a refusal) as I used to do, is potentially adding to the value and hence the business.
What is the purpose of a passenger train? (clue: think about the type of train). What would happen if a two coach train, with half a coach for bicycles and large luggage, turned up and there were two coaches worth of people with only hand luggage travelling on it? (clue: not many people like their luggage out of their sight and many people like to have a seat on the train)
"What would happen if.......{insert rare extreme circumstance of your choosing}..." isn't usually a good reason to do anything nor a compelling argument. Good judgement will cover the majority of cases; it's all a matter of striking balance and it's my view that the current balance is not right. The base purpose of a passenger train is to convey passengers
and their luggage. One might go further and say, it is to provide people with a part of an end-to-end journey. It is the remainder of that journey that, with the right will, they may contribute to, to a somewhat greater degree.