Also I do not entertain the idea that it will somehow save a worker on travel costs for commuting purposes.
Take the example of someone who commutes from Zone 4 to Zone 1. The peak TfL fare is currently £3.80 so that is £7.60 per day. The Zones 1-4 cap will be £9.20 so who is saving money? Even on the rip-off NR through fare with Zone 1 premium this only saves £1.40, and that is more down to the inability of TfL and NR companies to work together to come up with a more coherent fares structure.
You might say that a bus journey may be required at one end, but that is more an issue due to the non-availability of transfer arrangements rather than inherent issues with the peak/off-peak fares structure or the lack of part-time season tickets. Surely the way forward is to investigate ways for this facility to be made available than penalise people who predominantly travel off-peak...
...those who travel predominantly in the peak are not suffering fare rises. It is those who travel off-peak who are suffering fare rises.
You are contradicting yourself here.
You say that those who make two peak journeys a day on LU will not save under the current arrangements. That is true. They'll be paying the
same in 2015 as they pay in 2014 (bar purely inflationary increases).
You neglect to say that those who make two
off-peak journeys a day on LU will
also be paying the
same in 2015 as they pay in 2014. These individuals don't reach the 2014 off-peak cap, or the 2015 peak cap.
So it is misleading to suggest that those who travel off-peak will be suffering fare rises while those who travel peak will be paying the same. Irrespective of whether they travel peak or off-peak, many will be paying the
same. Many who travel in the peak will be paying
less. Those who make two off-peak LU journeys and two bus journeys per day (part-time low-paid workers with erratic hours, perhaps?) will be paying, in zones 1-4 to take your example, £8.60 in 2015 compared to £7.70 in 2014. An increase of 90p, which includes the purely inflationary fare increases.
But those people, who make many, many off-peak journeys and stand to lose the most from the withdrawal of the off-peak cap, tend to fall into what category? Hmm... Leisure travellers, perhaps? And although I don't know how TfL have calculated the changes to be revenue neutral, I wouldn't be surprised if a large proportion of the 'losers' were leisure travellers. I'm not overly distressed about the prospect of leisure travellers needing to pay more in 2015.
the effects of these changes should be measured carefully to ensure that no one loses out or that the effects are kept to a minimum on those who suffer fare rises
If that is the case then you are essentially saying that there should be no changes at all, that the fares structure should be completely static.