My worry with this is where will it leave the railways once the dust settles and some sort of resolution is found:
- A government which I suspect in spite words is anti railway
- On going issues with Avanti and TPE amongst others and a complete failure of the franchise system.
- A black hole in public finances generally
- High potential for external events to derail any fragile economic recovery longer term
As with any dispute there are three sides, the employers arguements (DfT, ToCs), the employee side (RMT) and the truth, which is probably somewhere in the middle. The danger I think is that recovery in passenger numbers will be reversed, possibly seriously and long term, and this will result in the situation where the subsidy per passenger mile (or what ever metric you decide to use) will have increased to the point where those in power at the time (probably not the current government) will not be able to justify the expediture and the plug will be pulled on a lot of the less busy routes. A Beeching 2. Whoever wins the next election is going to inherit an economic situation which will be pretty dire and will not give room for manoeuvre.
A much reduced timetable in the run up to Christmas and over the Christmas season is going to alienate large numbers of people, and it could end up being the 'straw that broke the camels back'. We could reach a situation very quickly from which there is no recovery.
I am not trying to say one side or the other is right, just that when the dispute is over there may not be much left to argue over.
To be honest if I was involved the rail industry in the UK in any way, supplier, worker, investor I would be looking for an exit strategy as the future looks bleak.