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Speculation about Evergreen 3, fares and routeing

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LexyBoy

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(Mods – Feel free to move this post if it would be better elsewhere, I realise it’s a bit pie-in-the-sky :))

I’ve been thinking about the proposed services to be run from Marylebone to Oxford by Chiltern as part of Evergreen 3. On the face of it, a more frequent service to London is to be welcomed, as well as the new parkway station at Water Eaton. However, I’ve become a bit curious/concerned about the implications on fares though – in particular whether competition will be “A Good Thing” in this instance.

As I understand it, FGW set fares for the Oxford-London flow. Therefore Chiltern can introduce a Chiltern Only, and FGW could introduce a Route Reading at the current price, raising Any Permitted to a premium (can they do this by petitioning DafT? - on the grounds that historically the protected Any Permitted would be equivalent to route Reading).

Then, I’d guess Water Eaton Parkway and Islip to London would be set by Chiltern, so they could have a Route High Wycombe, and a Route Reading fare. The only permitted routes from these stations would be direct or shortest route (probably via High Wycombe), as they (well, Islip) has London as an associated RP.

Fares-wise, we can look at fares from Bicester North (since Chiltern's Oxford-London service will go via Bicester)
Anytime Single (SOS) fares:
Oxford to London £26
Bicester North to London £23
– so Chiltern could have a slight price advantage for commuters.
Off peak, we have:
Chiltern’s OPR (PV) from Bicester North - £25
Oxford-London SVR (5K) – £23.50
- so currently Chiltern's fare is more expensive for a more restrictive ticket. The popularity of the Oxford Tube shows the demand for cheap leisure travel, so maybe there would be some competition here?

So - we may end up with more fares, but little difference in price, all adding to the general confusion by punters.

Any thoughts? – and has there been any comment from Chiltern about their strategy in this regard (I believe they are focussing on Water Eaton Parkway more than Oxford per se)?
 
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bnm

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It will be interesting to see how Water Eaton fits in to the existing fares structure. FGW have already given up their fare setting for fares wholly on Oxford <-> Bicester Town to Chiltern, but anything beyond Oxford remains in FGW hands (at the moment).

One hopes that 'Any Permitted' will be allowed from Bicester Town, Islip and Water Eaton Parkway with updated Routeing Guide permission, once the chord to the Chiltern Mainline is complete, allowing travel to either Paddington or Marylebone.

I predict a bit of competition will also come to pass, with TOC specific walk up fares to London from Bicester Town, Islip and Water Eaton Parkway....
 

barrykas

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Remember: A direct train is ALWAYS a permitted route for a given "Any Permitted" fare.

The problem is going to be for people going to Bicester, as trains will call at either Bicester North or Bicester Town from Marylebone, and there's no "Bicester Stations" group for ticketing purposes at present. Having said that, however, a ticket to Islip is (currently) valid for travel via Bicester North, and then walking to Bicester Town!

Cheers,

Barry
 

LexyBoy

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Good point, tickets from Bicester are confused at the moment (on account of the service from Bicester Town being terrible until recently). Creating a Bicester Stations group would make sense; at the moment there are some bizarre easements and negative easements, making a journey from Bicester North via Oxford not valid on the shortest route, walking to Bicester Town, but allowing a massive detour via Banbury.

I'd think Chiltern would have to accept tickets to either Bicester station on services from Marylebone or face a massive outcry from baffled commuters. How they would do this is anyone's guess!
 

Cherry_Picker

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I cant see why they wouldnt accept tickets to either Bicester station, and I am sure a London to Bicester Stations route High Wycombe ticket will exist when the Oxford branch is open.

My question, and I guess it is related to this topic even though it doesnt have much to do with fares is how the people of Bicester will react to the change. There are two large groups of people who use Bicester at the moment, and they are Bicester to London commuters and London to Bicester shoppers who travel to Bicester Village outlet shopping, and trust me, people head to Bicester Village in their droves.
The Bicester shoppers will probably get on the Bicester Town services if they can, it is walking distance from Town station to Bicester Village instead of the taxi or bus they currently need to take from Bicester North. Any time they lose in London they will probably get back in Bicester by not having to jump in a taxi or queue for a bus, and it will save them a fiver or so on taxi/bus fare too.
Bicester commuters though, are they going to be happy to have their service split between two stations? Bicester North has a huge car park, 700+ spaces I think and I dont think Bicester Town will have anything like that. What happens to the people who's current morning train is timed to go from Bicester North but their current evening train gets moved to Bicester Town? Will cancellations become more of an annoyance when the next train is at another station where previously it would have been in fifteen minutes on the same platform? Are these annoyances worth putting up with when the bigger picture is that the town now has a fast and more frequent service to nearby Oxford?
 

route:oxford

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London to Bicester shoppers who travel to Bicester Village outlet shopping, and trust me, people head to Bicester Village in their droves.

They do indeed. Should see the queues at Bicester Village Station on a Saturday or Sunday.

Now that the Claydon is being used for stock movements, got to wonder if it would be profitable to run a 165 between Aylesbury and Bicester Village at weekends.
 

barrykas

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Bicester commuters though, are they going to be happy to have their service split between two stations? Bicester North has a huge car park, 700+ spaces I think and I dont think Bicester Town will have anything like that.

Looking at National Rail, the official station car park at the Town comprises a massive...29 spaces. Though ISTR mention of using part of the Bicester Village car park as an overflow.

Cheers,

Barry
 

swt_passenger

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Looking at National Rail, the official station car park at the Town comprises a massive...29 spaces. Though ISTR mention of using part of the Bicester Village car park as an overflow.

Cheers,

Barry

There is a current agreement to use a big chunk of the Bicester Village car park, I think possibly on weekdays only. However the EG3 detailed reports to the TWA inspector mention a 300 space new carpark under 'direct control of the railway', which will be arranged to allow for an 200 space deck to be added:

4.192. The area of land bordered by the loop road, Station Approach, the railway and the existing access road to the rear of the former bus depot building that fronts onto London Road, will be utilised for station parking. Initially, an at-grade car park providing 300 spaces (including 14 spaces for disabled passengers) will be provided. The car park will be arranged to allow for the construction of a deck above it at a future date. This will provide a net increase of around 200 spaces.
 

woodhead

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There is a current agreement to use a big chunk of the Bicester Village car park, I think possibly on weekdays only. However the EG3 detailed reports to the TWA inspector mention a 300 space new carpark under 'direct control of the railway', which will be arranged to allow for an 200 space deck to be added:

And very good it is too at the moment - being free and very accessible. Regulars to Oxford will miss it when they get stung by the inevitable charges when Evergreen is introduced. Present offpeak £2.10 return, much cheaper than bus, will quadruple with added car parking charges. All balanced of course by lots more quicker trains.

Anyone know what's using the Claydon line at the moment - still bit shiny - drivers on the Bicester/Oxfords claim they never use it as their 165 is parked up at Banbury overnight .. ?
 
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