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Should we go back into lockdown at this point?

Is it time for a second national lockdown?


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brad465

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I agree getting rid of the government isnt really a solution. Getting rid of Boris might help though. In the longer term society as a whole needs to think hard about what politicians we field and elect, this has really found our politicians to be lacking in ability.
Yes I do think in future election campaigns there needs to be much bigger scrutinising the party leaders of "How would you prepare and respond to a national crisis?" It hasn't been a big focus of campaigns before, but when such events happen they are among the most significant things a Government has to deal with. With hindsight had this been the case in the past Operation Cygnus may never have been thrown aside like it was.
 
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DB

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I agree getting rid of the government isnt really a solution. Getting rid of Boris might help though. In the longer term society as a whole needs to think hard about what politicians we field and elect, this has really found our politicians to be lacking in ability.

It needs someone who determines a course of action and sticks with it, unless it meets some meaningful thresholds which are made clear well in advance (e.g. number of hospitalisations). A populist buffoon who clearly has no coherent policy and makes U-turn after U-turn with no notice, based on what he thinks is the prevailing mood is (seemingly as expressed on social media) is a liability.
 

najaB

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A populist buffoon who clearly has no coherent policy and makes U-turn after U-turn with no notice, based on what he thinks is the prevailing mood is (seemingly as expressed on social media) is a liability.
Exactly. The UK response to Covid-19 has been so poor because we haven't had a consistent strategy.
 

HLE

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Absolutely not. The first one was to stop the NHS from being overwhelmed. If they haven't got capacity for everything ramped up in the 6 months they've had since March....

To any 'pro-lockdown' people. Get the head out your backsides and see

a) many people have lost their jobs
b) many more probably will with another lockdown
c) guess what, you probably will too.

Let's do a Sweden. Keep everything open, but with restrictions.
 

keep truckin

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It needs someone who determines a course of action and sticks with it, unless it meets some meaningful thresholds which are made clear well in advance (e.g. number of hospitalisations). A populist buffoon who clearly has no coherent policy and makes U-turn after U-turn with no notice, based on what he thinks is the prevailing mood is (seemingly as expressed on social media) is a liability.
Don't blame me, I voted for the other guy!

But on a serious note, there's now panic ensuing. It's high time scientists warnings are adhered to & not laughed at. Countering threats such as pandemics, nuclear war & environmental catastrophe need to be prioritised now.

This current crisis is a massive wake up call & if we still don't get it - then maybe we're just a dumb species hellbent on our own destruction IMHO.
 

Megafuss

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I wouldn't trust elements of the British public if there was a second lock down, the last 4 weeks has proved that.
 

DB

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Don't blame me, I voted for the other guy!

But on a serious note, there's now panic ensuing. It's high time scientists warnings are adhered to & not laughed at. Countering threats such as pandemics, nuclear war & environmental catastrophe need to be prioritised now.

This current crisis is a massive wake up call & if we still don't get it - then maybe we're just a dumb species hellbent on our own destruction IMHO.

This really isn't anything exceptional - pandemics affect most species periodically, and this one isn't a particularly bad one as far as they go. It's really not a 'wake up call', as there's not a lot that can be done to stop these things.
 

keep truckin

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This really isn't anything exceptional - pandemics affect most species periodically, and this one isn't a particularly bad one as far as they go. It's really not a 'wake up call', as there's not a lot that can be done to stop these things.
We're bringing it in on ourselves to a great extent. I learnt a lot from the Attenborough documentary "Extinction: The Facts", which was on earlier this week.

Rainforests contain loads of viruses, through wet markets & say the fashion industry - these viruses are getting transferred from animals to humans. Also, with forests cut down for farming in various parts of the world, the viruses can transfer from wild animals to livestock to humans.

It not any one countries fault, its all inter- connected i.e fashion industry & consumption in developed countries.

Fact is, scientists warned of future pandemics after the SARS outbreak in 2003 (another coronavirus) & warned we needed to prepare, but not enough was done.

I'm just a layman finding out about this stuff now myself. But, hate to be a doom monger. There are real global threats to our way of life & next time it could be even worse.

So, wouldn't it be smarter to prevent, rather than complain when a catastrophe hits?
 
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Bletchleyite

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This really isn't anything exceptional - pandemics affect most species periodically, and this one isn't a particularly bad one as far as they go. It's really not a 'wake up call', as there's not a lot that can be done to stop these things.

There is - you can have a plan ready!
 

DB

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I'm just a layman finding out about this stuff now myself. But, hate to be a doom monger. There are real global threats to our way of life & next time it could be even worse.

There are always threats of one type of another. I think one of the biggest issues with the current situation is that a large number of people believe that this sort of situation is unprecedented and/or that the medical profession can always deal with it, which is not true in either case.

Yes, banning things like wet markets may remove some potential threats, but others will remain.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

There is - you can have a plan ready!

To an extent, yes - but how effective that is will depend on what's being dealt with, and that won't be clear until it emerges.

However, the lack of any plan in this country really has become inexcusable now, given how much knowledge there now is relating to this specific virus. There should have been a clear plan by May at the latest.
 

Andyh82

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The Mayor of Liverpool was just quoted on the ITV News saying that he’d prefer some national measures rather than local measures.

I’m not entirely sure what party he represents, but being Liverpool I doubt he’s a Tory
 

Bletchleyite

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However, the lack of any plan in this country really has become inexcusable now, given how much knowledge there now is relating to this specific virus. There should have been a clear plan by May at the latest.

Yes, Independent SAGE at least have a plan, and it didn't take them long to come up with it either!

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

The Mayor of Liverpool was just quoted on the ITV News saying that he’d prefer some national measures rather than local measures.

I’m not entirely sure what party he represents, but being Liverpool I doubt he’s a Tory

Labour.

I think we have reached the point where it will have to go national - the only major conurbation with no measures is now Greater London, and that's on the watchlist.
 

bramling

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Absolutely not. The first one was to stop the NHS from being overwhelmed. If they haven't got capacity for everything ramped up in the 6 months they've had since March....

To any 'pro-lockdown' people. Get the head out your backsides and see

a) many people have lost their jobs
b) many more probably will with another lockdown
c) guess what, you probably will too.

Let's do a Sweden. Keep everything open, but with restrictions.

I don’t know where people think the money would come from. We’ve already run up a bill going into hundreds of billions. It’s just not sustainable.

There needs to be some honest management of expectations, however so far we’ve seen little of it.

Has much been done over the last six months to plan how the vulnerable will be protected through the winter? Doesn’t seem like it. Wasn’t that sort of thing why we needed to buy time with the original lockdown?

Ive got a feeling we’re heading for lockdown though. I see Boris is already bringing out the blame rhetoric, saying distancing has broken down. What with Hancock blaming the young last week I can see where this is now heading. Just needs Sturgeon to set the wheels in motion, which I’m sure will happen in fairly short order.
 

Ianno87

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I agree getting rid of the government isnt really a solution. Getting rid of Boris might help though. In the longer term society as a whole needs to think hard about what politicians we field and elect, this has really found our politicians to be lacking in ability.

Possibly just avoid the ones whose entire campaign is basically a three word slogan in support of delivering something that has not a single piece of rational evidence in its favour.
 

Huntergreed

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I've got a feeling we’re heading for lockdown though. I see Boris is already bringing out the blame rhetoric, saying distancing has broken down. What with Hancock blaming the young last week I can see where this is now heading. Just needs Sturgeon to set the wheels in motion, which I’m sure will happen in fairly short order.
Sturgeon has said she's going to be considering more stringent national restrictions for Scotland over the weekend, so whilst I have absolutely no respect for her at this point, it does seem if things are heading backwards.

She's already asked people to revert to only travelling if essential, and there's talk of her asking hospitality to close next week.
 

yorksrob

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We're bringing it in on ourselves to a great extent. I learnt a lot from the Attenborough documentary "Extinction: The Facts", which was on earlier this week.

Rainforests contain loads of viruses, through wet markets & say the fashion industry - these viruses are getting transferred from animals to humans. Also, with forests cut down for farming in various parts of the world, the viruses can transfer from wild animals to livestock to humans.

It not any one countries fault, its all inter- connected i.e fashion industry & consumption in developed countries.

Fact is, scientists warned of future pandemics after the SARS outbreak in 2003 (another coronavirus) & warned we needed to prepare, but not enough was done.

I'm just a layman finding out about this stuff now myself. But, hate to be a doom monger. There are real global threats to our way of life & next time it could be even worse.

So, wouldn't it be smarter to prevent, rather than complain when a catastrophe hits?

They did, and what the hell did communist China do to clean up its act after all of this ?
 

C J Snarzell

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A second lockdown would cause civil unrest and we could see scenes of riots like we had in 1981 and 2011.

Many people (myself included) have simply had enough of all this now. The economy would go into meltdown and the winter months will certainly have a greater impact on people's mental health than the spring months of the original lockdown.

CJ
 

bramling

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Possibly just avoid the ones whose entire campaign is basically a three word slogan in support of delivering something that has not a single piece of rational evidence in its favour.

At the last election that would have left us with Corbyn, which would have been a different sort of awful!

I think part of the trouble is politicians are being treated as though they are like celebrities. We can get away with that for things like Mayor of London (someone else who has been utterly useless through this, and I choose that role with it being no coincidence who the predecessor was!). It’s just not good enough for Prime Ministers and governments. America seems to have gone the same way, being landed with two toxic candidates last time round, and is Biden that much better?

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

A second lockdown would cause civil unrest and we could see scenes of riots like we had in 1981 and 2011.

Many people (myself included) have simply had enough of all this now. The economy would go into meltdown and the winter months will certainly have a greater impact on people's mental health than the spring months of the original lockdown.

CJ

Social unrest would be worse than even that I think.

We’re already at the point where a lot of people are at the point where they’re near the end of tether with all this, for a number of different reasons, and the idea of something where some people have it in their minds that other people are potential mass murderers is as inflammatory as it gets, before we add things like job losses and financial ruin into the mix. And of course a government who have shown zero tact in trying to manage and reconcile all this.

I am genuinely bothered about what the next few months are going to hold.
 

Richard Scott

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Don't blame me, I voted for the other guy!

But on a serious note, there's now panic ensuing. It's high time scientists warnings are adhered to & not laughed at. Countering threats such as pandemics, nuclear war & environmental catastrophe need to be prioritised now.

This current crisis is a massive wake up call & if we still don't get it - then maybe we're just a dumb species hellbent on our own destruction IMHO.
Are you for real? This virus isn't anything that's going to wipe out our species. Our reaction to it is more serious than the threat it poses to almost all the population.
 

Andyh82

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What measures would you all put in place to try and put an end to all this, and at the same time be acceptable to the wider public, the opposition, and the general media?

No restrictions, allow the cases to rise and some people to die, is therefore not a valid answer as that would not receive public support outside of this forum.
 

yorkie

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... it is not proven that having had Covid, you can't be reinfected.
of course you can be reinfected; the question is whether your immune system will be able to fight off the infection. The evidence we have so far is that for most people there is long lasting T-cell immunity.

Even people who had other coronaviruses, including the original Sars-Cov virus, have T-cells that can recognise and destroy the Sars-Cov-2 virus.

.... important new studies have shown that natural infection by SARS-CoV-2 stimulates a broad T-cell response against several viral proteins, not just against the spike protein. T-cells produced after natural infection in SARS patients are also very long-lived, he said. A recent study showed that patients who recovered from SARS-CoV-1 infection in 2003 produced CD4 and CD8 T-cells that are still present 17 years later. These T-cells also react to proteins in today’s SARS-CoV-2, which the patients were never exposed to, indicating that T-cells are cross-reactive against different coronaviruses — including coronaviruses that cause common colds.,,,
Yes, I don't have a reference but there was one case I read about where the reinfection was serious enough to require hospital treatment but the first infection wasn't.
Source please?

Even if you have a source, an isolated case won't change the overriding principles regarding how immunity works.
....Everyone here showing off about how they aren't sticking to the rules only results in the rules lasting longer....
This makes no sense and suggests you misunderstand the principles.

The rules are deliberately designed to prolong the outbreak over a longer period of time; the aim is to avoid getting too many cases at once.

If you are suggesting the aim is to eliminate the virus, you are very much mistaken, and I would question how you think this can be achieved?
What measures would you all put in place to try and put an end to all this, and at the same time be acceptable to the wider public, the opposition, and the general media?

No restrictions, allow the cases to rise and some people to die, is therefore not a valid answer as that would not receive public support outside of this forum.
We have to learn to live with the virus - fact
The virus is not going to go away - fact
We cannot eliminate the virus - fact

I do not believe there is a set of measures that will be acceptable to everyone. If 'flu was a new virus, many people would be stating we should be trying to eliminate it and would state the annual death toll from 'flu (which can be 50k+ in a bad 'flu year, though I suspect the numbers would be even greater if the same measure was used as for Covid19) was unacceptable.

The majority of the public now understand that the average age of a Covid19 death is around 83 and that the majority of people infected with Sars-Cov-2 do not develop Covid19 symptoms and that the damage to mental health, fitness, livelihoods, and much more is far outweighing the risks posted by the virus itself.

What exactly do you propose as an acceptable solution?
....So, wouldn't it be smarter to prevent, rather than complain when a catastrophe hits?
I do not see how you can "prevent" new viruses appearing.
.... maybe we're just a dumb species hellbent on our own destruction IMHO.
Most people know that a second lockdown would be destructive and do not advocate this. It's only a small minority who want to bring about destruction with more lockdowns; the problem is that minority are very vocal and have very persuasive arguments based on a need to be so-called "safe". It's a fallacy.
Absolutely not. The first one was to stop the NHS from being overwhelmed. If they haven't got capacity for everything ramped up in the 6 months they've had since March....

To any 'pro-lockdown' people. Get the head out your backsides and see

a) many people have lost their jobs
b) many more probably will with another lockdown
c) guess what, you probably will too.

Let's do a Sweden. Keep everything open, but with restrictions.
Pro-lockdown people do not listen to reason; they do not care if people lose jobs as they tend to either be retired or do work from home jobs from reasonably well proportioned homes.

They tend to refuse to accept that T-cells are the body's best defence against the virus (they like to focus entirely on antibodies as they are able to misrepresent the results of antibody tests to promote their extremist views); they refuse to accept the average age of a Covid19 death is 83; they refuse to accept most people are asymptomatic; they put the needs of young people, poorer people lower on their agenda and they do not recognise the key role of good mental health.

You cannot reason with them; they are in a small minority but they are very vocal, thus giving the illusion that they are more numerous than they actually are!

Are you for real? This virus isn't anything that's going to wipe out our species. Our reaction to it is more serious than the threat it poses to almost all the population.
The virus itself poses absolutely zero threat to the human race; the measures used to combat the virus that have been imposed to pander to the hysterical pro-lockdown brigade, do pose a big danger, however.

I think whatever decisions are made, there needs to be clearer instructions to people. The regional lockdown type activities are just confusing everyone.
Very true; it's disappointing we did not adopt a more sensible and stable approach.

This interview makes a good point around the 13min 15 second mark:

...Having the same measures in place all the time gives more stability...

Instead the UK is pandering to the hysterical brigade.
 
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HSTEd

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No restrictions, allow the cases to rise and some people to die, is therefore not a valid answer as that would not receive public support outside of this forum.

That depends on how well the propaganda people do their job.
Just instead of focusing on "don't kill granny" the focus would be on "don't wreck children's lives" and so on.

Furloughing everyone vulnerable or above 65 and releasing all other restrictions would do fine.
 

Andy Pacer

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What measures would you all put in place to try and put an end to all this, and at the same time be acceptable to the wider public, the opposition, and the general media?

No restrictions, allow the cases to rise and some people to die, is therefore not a valid answer as that would not receive public support outside of this forum.
I think whatever decisions are made, there needs to be clearer instructions to people. The regional lockdown type activities are just confusing everyone.
 

Bletchleyite

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I think whatever decisions are made, there needs to be clearer instructions to people. The regional lockdown type activities are just confusing everyone.

The BBC seems to be hinting at this being the plan, involving a 3 level setup:

1. What we have now outside local lockdown areas i.e. rule of 6
2. What seems to be being standardised for local lockdowns now, i.e. no meeting others in homes and pub early closing
3. Full lockdown similar to before

...and suggestions the whole of England is likely to go to #2 next week.
 

DelayRepay

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What measures would you all put in place to try and put an end to all this, and at the same time be acceptable to the wider public, the opposition, and the general media?

The first thing is to accept that we cannot put an end to it. A vaccine may, if we're lucky, but until then we have to adapt and live with Covid circulating.

There needs to be a national grown up conversation, not three word slogans and soundbites.

Then I would let people make their own decisions. But make decisions with an understanding of the level of risk. I would make sure those who needed to shield were supported. I would ensure that things like provision of sanitiser and building occupancy limits were enforced using Health and Safety and licencing laws. I would make it clear that there is a limit to what the NHS can do, and if you do catch Covid there is a possibility that the NHS won't be able to help. The government should provide advice, information and support. But individuals should be able to make their own decisions.
 

yorksrob

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The BBC seems to be hinting at this being the plan, involving a 3 level setup:

1. What we have now outside local lockdown areas i.e. rule of 6
2. What seems to be being standardised for local lockdowns now, i.e. no meeting others in homes and pub early closing
3. Full lockdown similar to bef
ore

...and suggestions the whole of England is likely to go to #2 next week.

Stage 2 would be ok, but the latest restrictions seem to involve no two households meeting in any circumstances, not just outside the home.
 

DelayRepay

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Stage 2 would be ok, but the latest restrictions seem to involve no two households meeting in any circumstances, not just outside the home.
I thought you could still socialise in public, but not in homes or gardens? If you cannot socialise at all then that would be very distressing for people like me who live alone.
 

Huntergreed

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I thought you could still socialise in public, but not in homes or gardens? If you cannot socialise at all then that would be very distressing for people like me who live alone.
I'm pretty sure it's no socialising outwith your household at all, though I may be wrong.
 

Andy Pacer

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Stage 2 would be ok, but the latest restrictions seem to involve no two households meeting in any circumstances, not just outside the home.
I think even a full lockdown would be hard to get people to comply with. Generally people did it before (and largely hated it) but I dont think they would be keen on a 2nd time.
 
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