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Rishi Sunak and the Conservative Party.

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Purple Train

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Never underestimate Labour’s ability to cack things up just when they look as though they are about to succeed: I don’t. They are the Devon Loch of politics.
They have such history of messing up that, really, Devon Loch is the Labour of horse racing (1956 wasn't it?) ;)
 
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brad465

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At this stage, I don't think there's anything at all the Conservatives can do to win in 2024. The most they can hope for is that some unforeseen external event happens to change their fortunes, or that Labour manages to somehow self-destruct in a way that at least limits the electoral disaster. But realistically, I think the chance of either of those happening is close to zero.
The beginning of WWIII could, if things with Russia, China and/or the Middle East escalate further. However I don't see that happening in the next year, and even if it did and the Tories could postpone an election, they'd be expected to form a Government of National Unity, focus on the war effort and nothing else, and 1945 showed being the party with the victorious wartime PM is not a guarantee of winning a delayed election in any case.
 

nlogax

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Cabinet reshuffle now confirmed to be underway. Not before time. Almost certainly this is where Braverman's 2024 leadership campaign unofficially begins.

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Oh.. there we go. Braverman's been binned again.

Suella Braverman has been sacked as home secretary, after she defied No 10 over an article accusing the Metropolitan Police of bias in the policing of protests.

Mrs Braverman was accused of stoking tension ahead of protests in London.

James Cleverly is her replacement at the Home Office, with former prime minister David Cameron unexpectedly replacing him as foreign secretary.
 
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brad465

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Cabinet reshuffle now confirmed to be underway. Not before time. Almost certainly this is where Braverman's 2024 leadership campaign unofficially begins.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Oh.. there we go. Braverman's been binned again.
Better late than never, but too late to stop her laying a wreath yesterday.
 

Peterthegreat

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Cabinet reshuffle now confirmed to be underway. Not before time. Almost certainly this is where Braverman's 2024 leadership campaign unofficially begins.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Oh.. there we go. Braverman's been binned again.
The Tory civil war continues......
 

dgl

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Now we know why Tory MP's need their lucrative second jobs, because their cabinet jobs are only short term temporary positions!
 

jfollows

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Watching David Cameron stroll back into No. 10 was..unexpected. New Foreign Sec maybe?
Preceded by media rubbish from Sky: "Guess who we have just seen walking along Downing Street?". No, it's your job to tell us. Followed by media people interrupting each other because they were so excited when I was trying to listen to sensible comment. They shouldn't be allowed out in such a state of excitement!
 

edwin_m

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Cabinet reshuffle now confirmed to be underway. Not before time. Almost certainly this is where Braverman's 2024 leadership campaign unofficially begins.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Oh.. there we go. Braverman's been binned again.
Hopefully she's been told that she'll lose the whip should she cause any more trouble. Which would prevent her standing as a Tory in the next election and make her path to leadership dependent on the leader at the time getting her back into the Commons at a by-election.
 

nlogax

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From the BBC:
It's understood to be part of a wider cabinet reshuffle that the PM will use to "strengthen his team in government"

Best send for Arnold Schwarzenegger then.

Screams of desperation on Sunak's part.. severe lack of (relatively speaking) stable, middle-of-the-road MPs in the current Tory party.
 

SynthD

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After leaving office, he was implicated in the Greensill scandal after lobbying government ministers and civil servants on behalf of Greensill Capital. Historians and scholars rank Cameron as an average to below-average prime minister.
They can’t be considering him, he’d have to be an unelected Lord Foreign Secretary. The first one in over 40 years. Someone on Wikipedia has jumped the gun and installed him anyway.
 

jfollows

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They can’t be considering him, he’d have to be an unelected Lord Foreign Secretary. The first one in over 40 years. Someone on Wikipedia has jumped the gun and installed him anyway.
The key message would be that there's nobody from the 350 Conservative MPs who's good enough to do the job.
 

jfollows

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It's taken a year for Sunak to stick up two fingers to Boris Johnson and Liz Truss and most of what they stood for and caused, but I believe it's the only way to minimise Conservative losses at the next election.
If he makes it clear that he's not going to care much about what the right of the party says and does, that will be nice for the rest of us.
He shouldn't have appointed Braverman in the first place, in my opinion, but obviously he felt he had to at the time.
 

dangie

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The key message would be that there's nobody from the 350 Conservative MPs who's good enough to do the job.
One would think that if you were a currently serving Conservative MP, who within the last twelve years have not been offered a ministerial post, you can't really be much good.
 

Gloster

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So Cameron is Foreign Secretary. Is Sunak doing it just to annoy Johnson?

Former Prime Minister David Cameron has been appointed foreign secretary by Mr Sunak, bringing a level of diplomatic experience hard to find elsewhere in the party.
 
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SynthD

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He will be a life peer. Time to start guessing where he will be a Lord of. Witney doesn’t have a title yet, but the Lord Whitney company may cause confusion, as if there wasn’t enough of that already.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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He will be a life peer. Time to start guessing where he will be a Lord of. Witney doesn’t have a title yet, but the Lord Whitney company may cause confusion, as if there wasn’t enough of that already.
Utter corruption the idiot that got this country into the mess its in gets given a life peerage just so they can appoint him as Foreign Secretary. Oh and from the man who slated Sunaks decision over HS2 only a few weeks ago is prepared to cuddle up to him now.
 

jfollows

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James Cleverly does not want to leave the European Convention on Human Rights.
David Cameron is in favour of positive dialogue with China, not blustering rhetoric.
Both of those could signal a positive move away from isolationist rhetoric and actions which have been the norm since 2016 or so. In which case I'm in favour of the changes. Not enough to save the Conservatives, I doubt, but moves in the right direction. And two fingers to Boris Johnson!
EDIT And if Coffey gets the boot as well, as predicted, that'll please me even more.
 

jon0844

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James Cleverly does not want to leave the European Convention on Human Rights.
David Cameron is in favour of positive dialogue with China, not blustering rhetoric.
Both of those could signal a positive move away from isolationist rhetoric and actions which have been the norm since 2016 or so. In which case I'm in favour of the changes. Not enough to save the Conservatives, I doubt, but moves in the right direction. And two fingers to Boris Johnson!
EDIT And if Coffey gets the boot as well, as predicted, that'll please me even more.

Cameron was not perfect, but the Tory party was a LOT different under his leadership and I voted for him. This was a better time for the party, and some stability and a move away from the far right is needed for the Tories to become electable again.

However, like you say, I don't think it will be enough to save them from a massive defeat next year.. nor am I going to suddenly vote Tory again just because of this (there's still loads more damage to be undone - plus the party as it stands does not represent my views or values) but this is a step in the righ centre direction.
 

Acfb

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James Cleverly does not want to leave the European Convention on Human Rights.
David Cameron is in favour of positive dialogue with China, not blustering rhetoric.
Both of those could signal a positive move away from isolationist rhetoric and actions which have been the norm since 2016 or so. In which case I'm in favour of the changes. Not enough to save the Conservatives, I doubt, but moves in the right direction. And two fingers to Boris Johnson!
EDIT And if Coffey gets the boot as well, as predicted, that'll please me even more.


James Cleverly is/was a massive Johnson supporter though so would have a good chance of being Conservative leader if the Tories lose the election. I have no idea if he has leadership ambitions though or if he will even stand at next year's election.


My current assumption is that if the Tories lose the election, their next leader will be either Braverman, Badenoch or someone else like Cleverly or Barclay.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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Cameron was not perfect, but the Tory party was a LOT different under his leadership and I voted for him. This was a better time for the party, and some stability and a move away from the far right is needed for the Tories to become electable again.

However, like you say, I don't think it will be enough to save them from a massive defeat next year.. nor am I going to suddenly vote Tory again just because of this (there's still loads more damage to be undone - plus the party as it stands does not represent my views or values) but this is a step in the righ centre direction.
He was the arch Remainer now cuddling up to the Brexiteer!! Tells me Torys are beginning to accept what a mess they've made of it and trying to present themselves as ome sort of middle ground party again.

What we need though is for a right wing revolution to split the Torys apart but wont happen as they are incapable of confronting their own failures and it will need a GE to make that happen now. So we limp along for another year.
 

Acfb

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Cameron was not perfect, but the Tory party was a LOT different under his leadership and I voted for him. This was a better time for the party, and some stability and a move away from the far right is needed for the Tories to become electable again.

However, like you say, I don't think it will be enough to save them from a massive defeat next year.. nor am I going to suddenly vote Tory again just because of this (there's still loads more damage to be undone - plus the party as it stands does not represent my views or values) but this is a step in the righ centre direction.

I don't get why people still think this about David Cameron TBH. He is even on record as backing the Rwanda deportations plan recently. I can understand why people particularly floating voters supported him in 2010 but his behaviour from 2013 onwards when he started pandering to UKIP/ the Tory right and after the Scottish referendum was terrible. Cameron, Johnson and Sunak are all as bad as each other in my book. In a weird way I don't think Theresa May was so bad as those three in hindsight even though she did controversial things as Home secretary and caused some damage to Britain's reputation in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit referendum.
 

jon0844

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He was the arch Remainer now cuddling up to the Brexiteer!! Tells me Torys are beginning to accept what a mess they've made of it and trying to present themselves as ome sort of middle ground party again.

What we need though is for a right wing revolution to split the Torys apart but wont happen as they are incapable of confronting their own failures and it will need a GE to make that happen now. So we limp along for another year.

Rishi's actions (and speeches) relating to Ireland/NI shows that he's clearly aware of the damage of leaving the EU and the benefits of being in. I doubt any Brexiteer within the Government ever thought it was going to be good for the country, but was a great opportunity to make a lot of money.

Now it's clear how bad Brexit has been AND the fact that most people are not talking about it anymore (for fear of being found out as someone who voted for it), I think we'll see a more subtle move to work more closely with the EU. Not re-joining, but certainly seeking to undo the damage and perhaps sell it as us using our sovereignty and influence to get the nasty EU to drop its restrictions (and basically just seeking to return to a customs union and allowing freedom of movement).

I don't think we're there yet, but I think we're heading that way. Slowly.

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I don't get why people still think this about David Cameron TBH. He is even on record as backing the Rwanda deportations plan recently. I can understand why people particularly floating voters supported him in 2010 but his behaviour from 2013 onwards when he started pandering to UKIP/ the Tory right and after the Scottish referendum was terrible. Cameron, Johnson and Sunak are all as bad as each other in my book. In a weird way I don't think Theresa May was so bad as those three in hindsight even though she did controversial things as Home secretary and caused some damage to Britain's reputation in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit referendum.

Yes, it is sickening that they were all so scared about the internal divisions and decided to sell their souls to tolerate and even support the far-right elements, who then got emboldened and got us to where we are today. I mean, we never needed to have a referendum in the first place, least of all just accepting the result without any further clarification (such as what sort of Brexit people wanted, because the one we got isn't what people at the time said they were going to do).

However, that's why I am not voting Tory now but did then.
 
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