I think the key word in there is 'Option'
That's it.
We get very excited about the wording of some proposals/ drafts/ suggestions, rather than waiting for the final decision/ wording.
Keeping non-compliant units in operation
when coupled to compliant units has to be an option for post-2020. It's not a wonderful option, but it's realistic to at least have an option like that on the table (if only so that the winning bidder can boast about how they are going further than required to).
I'm sure that if one bidder can operate the franchise for £x whilst keeping Pacers and another can operate the franchise for £x whilst getting rid of Pacers then the latter will be the winner, but only fair that these things are costed.
I also think there needs to be a maximisation of electric trains on electric routes even where there is a strong business case for running through diesel trains
Agreed.
If we are as serious as we say we are about minimising/replacing Pacers then there are going to be some routes that get amended in line with where the wires end (to improve EMU useage).
And if Daft are on about leaving the TOC's to their own devices with regard to rolling stock how's that that going to work with a DMU cascade plan.
This is a problem - is it up to the free market to "solve" this "problem"? Or should the Government be stepping in? The railway can't decide whether the Government is there as referee (watching developments, ensuring people comply with the rules) or teacher (intervening, responsible for improving things).
I don't think it's a complete surprise. The electrification schemes aren't progressing at a rate where the Pacers can be replaced before the end of 2019 without a new DMU order
The problem is that (as discussed) we are electrifying hundreds of miles to replace 125mph stock (MML to Sheffield, GWML to Swansea) rather than tackling the shorter routes where we could free up the 75mph DMUs that we need to be ridding ourselves of.
For example, if the Government wanted to electrify ~a hundred miles around Sheffield then (instead of electrifying Sheffield to Bedford) it'd be better to fill in lots of gaps from Sheffield to Doncaster/ Moorthorpe/ Leeds via Barnsley, and similar other lines where 75mph DMUs provide big numbers of services (I always mention Warrington Central in these threads - it'd free up a lot of 75mph DMUs).
Basically, apart from the Valley Lines, we are wiring up the wrong kind of routes if we want to tackle the Pacer problem.
2. Extra capacity is needed on a lot of lines which aren't being electrified or even being considered for electrification. The Manchester-Chester via Altrincham, Buxton, Manchester-Southport and Manchester-Warrington via Liverpool lines are just a few examples
All of those doubled up 156s (that the 319s are replacing) will surely be available to enhance capacity on these lines though?
There's no suggestion of freed-up DMUs leaving northern England (post-electrification), as far as I am aware.
Pacers could be around for another 20 years. Could this mean a slowdown in electrification in the North/Northeast?
There's certainly no slowdown - if anything the recent announcements about Windermere/ Bolton to Wigan/ Hull suggest that we are going to get more than the CP5 proposals.
Once the "main" lines are done in CP5, it's going to be a lot easier to justify wiring shorter "branches", so I expect that could see all 1980s DMUs becoming redundant by the end of CP6 (April 2024).
However, that creates the problem that it's not worth building new DMUs today (which may be surplus to requirement in a decade - with enough 170s and the like to run lines that don't justify electrification by 2024), which is why a temporary extension to Pacer lifespan (provided that they are coupled to a compliant unit) seems to be at least an option for how we get through the start of the 2020s.
They'll quite obviously need some extensive refurbishments however if they are going to be used for at least another ten years. Although I'm no Pacer fan, I'm glad of this decision because it seems crazy that stock was going to be written off when we have such overcrowding in various parts of the UK. - They get people from A to B in no glamorous way but a disabled toilet in one of the cabs is also a good idea.
I agree.
People on here have all sorts of ideas for extending the life of HSTs and 442s (because they don't want to see stock withdrawn) - we have the same situation here where we may need to squeeze another five years out of a small part of the Pacer fleet.
Pacers aren't great trains, but (contrarary to Forum opinion) they do a reasonable enough job on the kind of unglamerous routes that would struggle for investment otherwise - whilst I'd rather travel on something more upmarket, they have a role to play for another few years.