WatcherZero
Established Member
- Joined
- 25 Feb 2010
- Messages
- 10,272
Methodological changes.
Tyne and Wear updated demand model used for PTE ticket infill with net effect of reducing number by 0.4m mainly by lower demand predicted for Sunderland station. Validation manual counts were carried out at Sunderland and matched the new model.
Sunderland -334,827 -42%
Newcastle -164,744 -3%
Wylam 5,171 +4.8%
MetroCentre 821 +0.2%
Blaydon 106 +2.1%
Manors 18 +0.4%
Manual counts were carried out at 10 group stations to recalculate station split.
Bedford (unchanged)
Canterbury (tiny change)
Dorking (tiny change)
Edenbridge BR (16.7% more allocated to Edenbridge than Edenbridge Town)
Falkirk (10% higher to Grahamston than High)
Helensburgh (tiny change)
Newark (18.5% more to Newark Castle than North Gate)
Portsmouth (2.2% more to Southsea than Harbour)
Southend (allocation ratio for Central and Victoria were flipped approx. 25% change while 3% more allocated to East)
Wakefield (unchanged)
Worcester (13.4% more to Foregate Street from Shrub Hill)
Southend branch 6 stations with the same price for season ticket to London, currently most are allocated to the most distant station Southend Victoria.
New Methodology/Old Methodology
Southend Victoria London (ALL) 130,944, 1,689,770
Prittlewell London (ALL) 383,195, 56,511
Rayleigh London (ALL) 270,238, 6,997
Rochford London (ALL) 873,041, 173,084
Hockley London (ALL) 275,511, 27,085
Southend Airport London (ALL) 43,995, 23,477
Southend East London (ALL) 372,199, 446,698
Southend Central London (ALL) 152,261, 227,223
Westcliff London (ALL) 274,576, 125,115
Until January 2014 all PAYG tickets sold were allocated to London BR station group, this means that for the last quarter of 2013/14 used the old allocation while 2014/15 used the new allocation and so data for 2013 interchanges isn't reliable and directly comparable. Stations seeing more than a 10% change in entries/exits because of this more accurate allocation of PAYG ticket sales:
Canada Water 1091%
West Ham 184%
Whitechapel 175%
Harrow-On-The-Hill 121%
West Brompton 117%
Blackhorse Road 109%
Shadwell 53%
Seven Sisters 48%
Highbury & Islington 41%
Willesden Junction 36%
Stratford 32%
Greenford 30%
Kentish Town 30%
Ealing Broadway 27%
Queen's Park (Gt London) 24%
Barking 24%
West Hampstead 19%
Shepherds Bush 19%
Balham 17%
Brixton 15%
Limehouse 14%
Vauxhall 12%
Walthamstow Central 12%
Greenwich 12%
Clapham High Street 11%
Wimbledon 11%
Woolwich Arsenal 10%
London Bridge -10%
Liverpool Street -10%
Fenchurch Street -19%
Farringdon -22%
Moorgate -28%
Kensington Olympia -33%
Because of the closure of London Bridge a formula was created to predict how this impacted other stations i.e. stations passengers would have used instead and allocate London Bridge tickets to them.
Avocet Line Rail User Group complained that Digby & Sowton usage should be lower than was recorded in stats, after investigation found that it was likely an anomaly in allocation of FGW student season tickets and a reallocation methodology change has been implemented Digby and Sowton -36%, Exeter Central +11%, Exeter St. David's +3%.
-0.7% change in Greater Manchester due to reduced allocation of PTE journeys made per ticket (implementation of evening peak restrictions).
Tyne and Wear updated demand model used for PTE ticket infill with net effect of reducing number by 0.4m mainly by lower demand predicted for Sunderland station. Validation manual counts were carried out at Sunderland and matched the new model.
Sunderland -334,827 -42%
Newcastle -164,744 -3%
Wylam 5,171 +4.8%
MetroCentre 821 +0.2%
Blaydon 106 +2.1%
Manors 18 +0.4%
Manual counts were carried out at 10 group stations to recalculate station split.
Bedford (unchanged)
Canterbury (tiny change)
Dorking (tiny change)
Edenbridge BR (16.7% more allocated to Edenbridge than Edenbridge Town)
Falkirk (10% higher to Grahamston than High)
Helensburgh (tiny change)
Newark (18.5% more to Newark Castle than North Gate)
Portsmouth (2.2% more to Southsea than Harbour)
Southend (allocation ratio for Central and Victoria were flipped approx. 25% change while 3% more allocated to East)
Wakefield (unchanged)
Worcester (13.4% more to Foregate Street from Shrub Hill)
Southend branch 6 stations with the same price for season ticket to London, currently most are allocated to the most distant station Southend Victoria.
New Methodology/Old Methodology
Southend Victoria London (ALL) 130,944, 1,689,770
Prittlewell London (ALL) 383,195, 56,511
Rayleigh London (ALL) 270,238, 6,997
Rochford London (ALL) 873,041, 173,084
Hockley London (ALL) 275,511, 27,085
Southend Airport London (ALL) 43,995, 23,477
Southend East London (ALL) 372,199, 446,698
Southend Central London (ALL) 152,261, 227,223
Westcliff London (ALL) 274,576, 125,115
Until January 2014 all PAYG tickets sold were allocated to London BR station group, this means that for the last quarter of 2013/14 used the old allocation while 2014/15 used the new allocation and so data for 2013 interchanges isn't reliable and directly comparable. Stations seeing more than a 10% change in entries/exits because of this more accurate allocation of PAYG ticket sales:
Canada Water 1091%
West Ham 184%
Whitechapel 175%
Harrow-On-The-Hill 121%
West Brompton 117%
Blackhorse Road 109%
Shadwell 53%
Seven Sisters 48%
Highbury & Islington 41%
Willesden Junction 36%
Stratford 32%
Greenford 30%
Kentish Town 30%
Ealing Broadway 27%
Queen's Park (Gt London) 24%
Barking 24%
West Hampstead 19%
Shepherds Bush 19%
Balham 17%
Brixton 15%
Limehouse 14%
Vauxhall 12%
Walthamstow Central 12%
Greenwich 12%
Clapham High Street 11%
Wimbledon 11%
Woolwich Arsenal 10%
London Bridge -10%
Liverpool Street -10%
Fenchurch Street -19%
Farringdon -22%
Moorgate -28%
Kensington Olympia -33%
Because of the closure of London Bridge a formula was created to predict how this impacted other stations i.e. stations passengers would have used instead and allocate London Bridge tickets to them.
Avocet Line Rail User Group complained that Digby & Sowton usage should be lower than was recorded in stats, after investigation found that it was likely an anomaly in allocation of FGW student season tickets and a reallocation methodology change has been implemented Digby and Sowton -36%, Exeter Central +11%, Exeter St. David's +3%.
-0.7% change in Greater Manchester due to reduced allocation of PTE journeys made per ticket (implementation of evening peak restrictions).
