Tony Francis said:WEST COAST MAIN LINE: PROGRESS REPORT
1. Details of Desiro Train Services
The exact details of the Desiro train services to be operated between London, Nuneaton and Crewe will be a component part of the forthcoming West Midlands franchise specification consultation, which wil take place over the summer.
I can inform you that the Department is currently proposing that this would be a new hourly service operated by Desiro trains, from London Euston, calling at Watford Jn., Milton Keynes, Northampton, Long Buckby, Rugby, Nuneaton, Atherstone, Tamworth, Lichfield Trent Valley, Rugeley Trent Valley, Stafford and Crewe. Subject to further assessment of demand, timetabling and resources, it maybe possible to extend certain services to / from Liverpool. The journey time between London and Nuneaton will be approximately 93 minutes.
I have enclosed details of the timetable that waws used for appraisal purposes, although you should note that this does not represent a firm commitment by the Department. The final timetables will depend upon the West Midland franchise consultation and the outcome of negotiations between the Department, Network Rail, train operators and franchise bidders.
2. Trade-offs between stopping at Nuneaton and shortening times for London to Liverpool services
A detailed business case examination has taken place as to the best way in which full and efficient use can be made of the modernised West Coast Main Line and the limited rolling stock available. Because of the need to ensure value for money from the public investment, we have to look at the route as a whole. We estimate that our 2009 timetable, of which the removal of direct off-peak Virgin West Coast Nuneaton - London trains is an element, will have a net revenue effect on National Rail of approximately +£20m per annum.
In providing additional capacity for the growing markets of London-Birmingham, London-Manchester and London-Chester, as well as the proposed Desiro service, the 2009 timetable will also be able to accomodate the massive expected passenger growth over the coming decade. Our analysis suggests that this will lead to reduced road congestion and reduced emissions.
The business case document is commercially sensitive and making it available to the public may affect the Department's negotiations wih Virgin Rail Group and with prospective bidders for the West Midlands franchise. Nevertheless, I can confirm that there was a necessary trade-off between shorter off-peak journey times for Nuneaton and shorter off-peak journey times for Stafford, Runcorn and Liverpool.
To stop trains at Nuneaton would lead to a loss of approximately £1.0m worth of revenue from the latter destinations. The passengers picked up at Nuneaton would contribute only £0.15m in revenue and would be considerably less in number.
We estimate that between 10 and 15 standard class passengers currently board or alight each Pendolino train at Nuneaton. First class passengers number some two per departure. It has therefore been concluded that this level of business could be better catered for by the semi-fast Desiro service which still offers off-peak passengers a full (indeed it could be said "better") range of destinations.
I urge you to take an active part in the forthcoming West Midlands franchise consultation in order to keep up-to-date with any fine-tuning of the expected service pattern and I hope that you agree that the 2009 timetable is a great step forward for the West Coast Mainline, for the rail industry and for the UK economy.
There is a petition here:-
http://www.ipetitions.com/petition/nuneaton-rail/index.html
I think Nuneaton has a surprisingly good deal at the moment with regards London connections, but to get to/from Watford or Milton Keynes it is only every 2 hours (this is proposed hourly), getting to Northampton would be tricky - would it be valid to go via Milton Keynes or would you take a long detour via Brum? as for Tamworth, forget it!
So yes I think the DfT are right in a way to say the new service is in many ways "better", it's just not better for people going to London, Runcorn or Liverpool. I doubt there will be a huge difference in journey time to Stafford or Crewe.
Overall the new Desiro service is positive, because stations like Tamworth, Lichfield, etc have missed out on a regular service for about 5 years now, and those that are still reasonably served, including Rugby and Nuneaton, are not served by the same trains making such journeys tricky.
