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NS reduces frequencies due to staff shortages

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DanielB

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Today, NS announced they'll run 10% less trains in the 2023 timetable. Mostly due to shortage of staff, but the different world post-COVID also plays a role.

Most changes are already introduced as of September 5th. In general the changes will the following:
  • Routes with 6 tph will have 4 tph
  • The evening reduction to 2 tph will start at 20.00 instead of 22.00
  • On evenings and weekends 2 tph will run where currently 4 tph are running
As of December 11th, the following changes are planned:
  • During rush hour on Friday, 2 tph will run on some routes which currently have 4 tph
  • Intercity services on the Arnhem - Schiphol - Rotterdam route will remain at 4 tph
  • Intercity services on the Amsterdam - Eindhoven route will go back to 6 tph from Monday till Thursday
  • The high speed line Amsterdam - Breda will have 3 tph instead of 5 tph
  • Off-peak, on evenings and on weekends 2 tph will run instead of 4 tph
  • The evening reduction to 2 tph will start at 20.00 instead of 22.00
More details in the press release (in Dutch).
 
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Watershed

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Today, NS announced they'll run 10% less trains in the 2023 timetable. Mostly due to shortage of staff, but the different world post-COVID also plays a role.

Most changes are already introduced as of September 5th. In general the changes will the following:
  • Routes with 6 tph will have 4 tph
  • The evening reduction to 2 tph will start at 20.00 instead of 22.00
  • On evenings and weekends 2 tph will run where currently 4 tph are running
As of December 11th, the following changes are planned:
  • During rush hour on Friday, 2 tph will run on some routes which currently have 4 tph
  • Intercity services on the Arnhem - Schiphol - Rotterdam route will remain at 4 tph
  • Intercity services on the Amsterdam - Eindhoven route will go back to 6 tph from Monday till Thursday
  • The high speed line Amsterdam - Breda will have 3 tph instead of 5 tph
  • Off-peak, on evenings and on weekends 2 tph will run instead of 4 tph
  • The evening reduction to 2 tph will start at 20.00 instead of 22.00
More details in the press release (in Dutch).
Seems like that will involve rather more than 10% of services being cut?

How is this news being received domestically?
 

duesselmartin

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I guess similar to Scotland it will create stability.
As they plan into 23, one wonders how temporary these plans are.
How are loadings on these services?
 

Ken H

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I guess similar to Scotland it will create stability.
As they plan into 23, one wonders how temporary these plans are.
How are loadings on these services?
I have colleagues in NL. They are working at home some days too. NS will be suffering reduced loadings and revenue like UK raul, I think
 

DanielB

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How is this news being received domestically?
The press release is just from this afternoon, so I haven't seen a lot of feedback yet.

As they plan into 23, one wonders how temporary these plans are.
How are loadings on these services?
From what I've seen at this moment it looks like services are removed from the timetable, but it's not a complete revision of the timetable. So relatively easy to add services again when the situation improves.
A lot of these services are already cancelled frequently at the moment, so indeed this will create stability and a more reliable timetable.

These services can be busy, but a lot of trains are very short at the moment so to some extend there is room to lengthen trains. Albeit this also has limits as from a certain length trains will require more guards, which might to some extend be avoided by using double deck stock on different routes. The reductions on Fridays appear not to be related to empty trains, but by the requirement to staff trains after 22.00 hrs at Friday and Saturday with at least two guards for safety reasons.

Seems like that will involve rather more than 10% of services being cut?
It seems, but it isn't. The trick is that it's 10% less than the 2019 timetable, but quite a few of the cancelled trains were introduced in the 2020 timetable and thus don't count for the reduction in percent ;)

It's only between Rotterdam and Breda, not the whole line.
I actually completely forgot about the 1100 (Den Haag - Eindhoven) as a service using the high speed line, that's why I ended up with Amsterdam - Breda (900 Amsterdam - Breda + 9200 Amsterdam - Brussels happen to also add up to 3 tph)
 

AlexNL

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According to the letter NS submitted to the LOCOV (somewhat comparable to Transport Focus) NS are planning even further cuts than what their press release claims. Several routes are planned to be reduced to hourly services during evenings and weekends.

This affects the all-station services on a couple of routes in the middle and south of the country.
 

johncrossley

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The link shown on the Eurostar thread


Tegelijkertijd hebben we als bedrijf te maken met krappe arbeidsmarkt

says they have a tight labour market, suggesting that they simply cannot recruit enough staff. It seems consistent with a general trend throughout the developed world where vast numbers of people have simply disappeared from the labour force (for example, through early retirement), meaning record low unemployment.
 

AlexNL

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The biggest problem which NS currently have is a chronic shortage of guards to work the trains. Despite ongoing recruitment efforts they've not been able to have enough guards to work the 2023 timetable and there is a fear that further cuts may be required.
 

Watershed

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The biggest problem which NS currently have is a chronic shortage of guards to work the trains. Despite ongoing recruitment efforts they've not been able to have enough guards to work the 2023 timetable and there is a fear that further cuts may be required.
Seems such an anachronism to have a lack of guards resulting in such cutbacks. I presume the trade unions are also powerful in NL, hence this situation?
 

duesselmartin

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Has the sniffly virus working its way round the place not come to your notice? :)
It has but some operators deal with it better than others. Thats what I was trying to imply.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Seems such an anachronism to have a lack of guards resulting in such cutbacks. I presume the trade unions are also powerful in NL, hence this situation?
Has NS layed off staff since 2020 or services increased?
I fear once the recession bites we will have enough potential guards.
 

DanielB

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The trade unions are not that powerful in the Netherlands anymore, although they have more members in the public transport sector. Especially at NS that results in requirements for the number of guards for certain train lengths (and double staffing at higher risk evenings).

Main problem in the Dutch public transport sector (also buses suffer from staff shortages, at some operators a bit more severe than at other operators) is that the staff on a flexible contract (employed via employment agencies for example) didn't have work during the pandemic and in the mean time found different jobs.
And due to that lack of flexible employees the tight labour market combined with still above average sick-leave immediately results in shortage of staff. Previously you'd not notice that to this severity as the flexible workforce would have been filling the gaps.
 

AlexNL

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Another issue is that the job of being a guard is simply not as attractive to many anymore as it once was, in part due to an increase in aggression. Add to that having to enforce mask mandates and all that and it becomes understandable that guards leave the job and that backfilling the role with new staff becomes ever more difficult.

And with that comes a tough question... how do you proceed from there? It's great that you want a guard on trains at all times, but how are you going to do that if you literally can't find people who are willing to do that job?
 

Watershed

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I am surpised that so many trains do have a guard in the NL. Are they technically required?
And even guards for the longer trains, apparently!

Given that there are ticket barriers at all of the busiest stations, this surely can't be for revenue protection reasons?
 

DanielB

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I am surpised that so many trains do have a guard in the NL. Are they technically required?
They are responsible for the departure process. And actually every NS train has a guard (or guards), think that's relatively uncommon within the rest of Europe.

Trials are planned with the AirportSprinter where the driver will become responsible for the departure process, but even those trains will still have a guard. For "service and security" is the official explanation, but usually they just hide in the rear cab.
 

AlexNL

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I am surpised that so many trains do have a guard in the NL. Are they technically required?
None of the NS trains are equipped for driver only operation, the last fleet which had the equipment were the original SGM Sprinters (mirrors) and they always ran with a guard in practice.

It's possible for a driver to work a train solo, but this has to be asked by control and there's every right for a driver to refuse without repercussions. And even then it might not be allowed if the train has to go through a long tunnel.

Multiple guards may be required, this depends on the type of rolling stock used and the planned train length. Over the last year, NS have tried to work around the guards shortage by reducing train lengths to the maximum which is allowed to be worked by a guard alone - even if known passenger loading for a service would exceed that. There is no Delay Repay if you couldn't board a train due to overcrowding.

All of this is due to NS internal policies and agreements with trade unions. While I think a reform could be done, and might even be required given the staffing issues NS are facing (and which do not look solvable) this is going to rock the boat. It would lead to a repeat of the Southern OBS conflict, but even more convoluted. Unlike in the UK, the unions in NL are not separated by grade.
 

MisterT

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And even then it might not be allowed if the train has to go through a long tunnel.
Technically it is allowed (there is absolutely no rule against it), but it's not done in practice (control will not ask it).
With things being a lot more tense now in terms of staffing, I wouldn't be surprised to see that changing in the future.
And while there aren't any repercussions for refusing to drive a train without guards or with just the bare minimum of guards reguired at the moment, it'll be interesting to see if it will continue to be the case in the future.
 

DanielB

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the last fleet which had the equipment were the original SGM Sprinters (mirrors) and they always ran with a guard in practice.
Didn't they run with driver only on the Zoetermeer Stadslijn when it was still ran by NS? Used that line a few days a year usually and can't remember the trains had a guard.

There has been a small fleet of Plan V equipped for DOO as well, to be used on the Dordrecht - Geldermalsen line, but there the equipment was never used in NS times due to opposition from the unions.
 

AlexNL

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Ah yes, I forgot about that.

It's a bygone era anyway, the Zoetermeer Stadslijn hasn't been a heavy railway line for more than 15 years.
 

317 forever

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Maybe NS will hope to repatriate some staff from Abellio UK when they divest it to the local management. :lol:
 

DanielB

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According to the letter NS submitted to the LOCOV (somewhat comparable to Transport Focus) NS are planning even further cuts than what their press release claims. Several routes are planned to be reduced to hourly services during evenings and weekends.
The LOCOV published it's response today: a 20 page letter which is unprecedentedly critical on how NS is planning to tackle the staff shortages and to reduce frequencies.
Just as a bit of background: the LOCOV ("Landelijk Overleg Consumentenorganisaties Openbaar Vervoer", a co-operation of various consumer groups on countrywide level) has the legal right to give advise on the plans of NS. The advise cannot be simply ignored, but NS isn't obliged to agree. They can reject proposals based on relevant arguments.

The full letter can be found here. It's in Dutch and Google Translate seems to have some trouble translating this PDF, so below I'll place some sections translated by Google. Haven't seen such a critical advise before.

LOCOV on the causes of the reductions:
You talk about a downscaling of 10% compared to 2019. The percentage of travelers however, that is significantly higher than 10% due to fewer travel options. We think it is fundamentally incorrect that you communicate a percentage compared to 2019. The timetable has been extended since 2019. Based on the number of trips and the number of timetable hours, the scaling down is, as far as we can see, about 13% on average compared to the originally proposed timetable. On the weekend this is even 15 to 20%. On some routes and times of the week there is even a halving the number of trains.
You indicate that you were prepared for the high outflow of personnel as a result of (early) retirement, but that the combination with the shortage on the labor market and The persistently higher absenteeism due to illness leads to a shortage of personnel, in particular among conductors. We see a remarkable dip in recruitment. Where you in 2018 and 2019 still recruited more than 4000 new employees, in 2020 there were only 2800. In 2021 this number was more than 3700. The current number of vacancies is more or less more corresponds to the much lower recruitment in 2020. We therefore believe that you do not has complied with article 72 paragraph 1 c of the transport concession that obliges you to ensure retention of staffing to the extent necessary for the implementation of the concession.

What follows are some suggestions:
With the proposed scaling down of the timetable to become more efficient. Although you cancel some rush hour services, but at the same time, you also cancel many trains during off-peak hours. As a result, there remain to our expect many half shifts and may even increase. This costs relatively much staff capacity. You would therefore train more trains with the same amount of staff can continue to drive. We recommend investigating whether the same amount of personnel services the offer during off-peak hours can be expanded, with priority being the edges of the rush hour.

And about the reductions themselves:
Quality, predictability and reliability
The timetable has been highly unpredictable and unreliable in recent months become. Several train series regularly fall out completely in one day and these were also other measures. Travelers are often also surprised because you pay considerably more trains than you announced the week before. The scope of this ad hoc scaling is also unprecedented. Repeated times you did not even meet the concession requirement to train 2x per hour between the major stations included in the concession to drive. The passenger must be offered a timetable of sufficient quality and must can build on this timetable. If a traveler too often a negative experience has too low frequencies and the (unexpected) breakdown of trains can cause this 8 cause him to drop out. We therefore think it is important that the timetable in 2023 is predictable and reliable. Ad hoc scaling should no longer be allowed especially now that you are structurally canceling so many trains from the timetable.

Consistent choices
It is also difficult in parts to discover a consistent line in the proposed measures compared to the measures you have so far taken. For example, you have currently canceled trains that will resume from December start driving (ten-minute train Eindhoven-Amsterdam). You are also currently deleting ad hoc for staff-scarce trains that will continue to run before 2023 in your proposal. There is compared to the fact that in 2023 you will cancel trains that are always with earlier scaling down continue to drive and who also currently continue to drive in the event of ad hoc scaling down.

Spreading Travelers
You propose two instead of two on some routes in the Randstad on Wednesday and Friday to drive four intercity trains during rush hour. On other routes, the timetable is during rush hour only adjusted on Friday, on yet other routes there are only scalings in the off-peak hours and the weekend and there is even a route where you can enjoy the whole on Wednesday and Friday day trains but it continues to run on weekends. This makes the timetables are highly complicated and therefore unpredictable for the traveler.

Lastly, some critisism is given about specific measures which doesn't seem very efficient use of scarce staff:
On most routes, a train continues to run twice an hour. On a number of routes however, you will only drive once per hour in the evenings and/or at the weekend. This lowers your service to an unacceptable level. This makes a lot of travelers reconsider their mode of travel and the aforementioned connections end up in a negative spiral. In addition, we note that the gain in personnel hours on several of these trajectories is small or even nil. For example, the Sprinter Deurne-'s-Hertogenbosch (train series 4400) during the weekend reverses in 's-Hertogenbosch in 55 minutes. We see for it staff few opportunities to transfer to other trains. The Sprinter Weert - Tilburg University (train series 6400) will receive a during the weekend at Tilburg University turn of 37 minutes. We see no opportunities for staff to transfer get on other trains. In our estimation, this means 50% of the saving of personnel deployment is lost on the route between Tilburg University and Eindhoven Central.
 
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