Yes - it was hostage to the pedants on this forum who apparently find it difficult to see the forest for the trees. I answered your question in post No. 538.
In my original post I was simply suggesting that it would be more effective and useful for many more people if a busy stretch of line ("8 or 10 coach trains") was electrified rather than a less busy stretch which currently only operates a couple of short trains an hour in each direction.
Do you not understand the concept of 'A figure of speech'?
I had no particular length of line in mind except that as many contributors to this forum who live outside the South East complain that their trains are dangerously overcrowded and all the investment goes to London some lines outside the South East could well be electrified.
Improving frequency will certainly increase passenger numbers. It may be necessary to increase the length of the trains. If both these occur and the operation covers its operating and overhead costs then the argument for electrification becomes easier to make. But first build the market.
I understand a figure of speech. However, it didn't come across as such.
With regards to building the market before electrification I would suggest that is what is going to happen, as there'll be 3tph within the next few years, yet electrification looks like it is about 5 years away from starting. Which will give a few years of operating with 3tph before electrification will even start. However in reality it is likely that the NDL would be a CP7 project or a late CP6 project.
With regards to overcrowding elsewhere in the country, my perception is from what is said that most of it is on short (I.e. 20m or less coach stock with 3 coaches or less) which has less seating capacity than the 166's. As such by releasing 166's to be used out west which then releases other units those services could see an increase in capacity (even if they are not due to see new DMU's, like a number of Northern services will do well before the NDL will be able to be wired up).
Yes, 2 years ago I could see that there would be routes that could have benefited from electrification more, but with:
- the 802's running to Cornwall and on TPE.
- the new DMU's for Northern.
- the new bimodals for GA
- short HST's replacing some DMU's on GWR
there would appear to be less demand for quite so much to be urgently wired up to provide the capacity on the services which are over crowded elsewhere.
That is, unless someone give real world examples of where (allowing for what has been announced so far) there are routes which would be of more benefit than the NDL, why I think that the NDL should be of fairly high priority to be invoked before end of CP7.