Table 6.1 Page 123.
Potential CP7 and beyond schemes ('beyond' being the operative word here)
'AC electrification (North Downs Line)'. I'd move everything in the RUS relating to electrification back by at least one control period, as I've said previously.
Problem is whenever I see potential electrification system dates I start thinking about a certain 50s document I have a copy of that has Newcastle-London under development with work expected to progress within the next decade.
It looks likely that North Downs AC would be at least 30 years out, even if it retains its existing placement in the priority schedule.
A DC scheme in the short term doesn't look rather bad, and after all the third rail extension restriction is not a hard ORR/HMRI requirement - it is a presumption that third rail will not be used.
You could probably make a strong case that a third rail railway is better than a diesel one in terms of passenger capacity, environmental aspects and such.
Effort is not relevant; cost is. The long-term costs of AC electrification are lower.
Perhaps they are (although I am not sure how we can be sure considering no third rail project has progressed since... 88? A lot has changed since then).
But cost is largely irrelevant. The options are not between 25kV and third rail tommorrow.
No 25kV resources will be available for decades, you can either have a third rail railway for 30 years or you can have a diesel railway for 30 years.
Most likely the third rail project with proper scoping will come out cheaper on that horizon, which is the one that really matters, as the project is the very definition of infill.
The thing that British Rail largely understood, and Network Rail sometimes forgets, is that the long term cheapest solution sometimes isn't available because in the real world we do not have unlimited capital resources to actually spend in any given year.
Sure if you had unlimited money 25kV would be better in almost every situation, but we don't. You effectively let the good become the enemy of perfect.
EDIT:
A cursory examination of the timetable indicates that it would (probably) be rare for more than 4 trains to be in the Wokingham-Aldershot South section and no more than 6 in the Shalford-Reigate section.
Trains would likely be 3 car EMUs with roughly 800 traction kilowatts each.
3200kW and 4800kW peak sounds a little small for a GSP. And I doubt conversion of Reading to Waterloo to 25kV is imminent so feeding is going to become a little problematic.
In fact a pair of tram type substations in each section could probably handle it if you gave it a supercap reinforcement once diversity is taken into account.
Think tram infrastructure, just it plugs into the juice rail instead of an overhead line.